theweatheroutlook

scillydave
22 April 2023 21:07:16
Originally Posted by: DEW 

Waterspout crashes on to beach full of people (video from Miami)
 https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/world-us-canada-65358298 
 


I love the person person end of the clip who calmly cycles through the middle of the tornado!
Currently living at roughly 65m asl North of Cowbridge in the Vale of Glamorgan.

Formerly of, Birdlip, highest village in the Cotswolds and snow heaven in winter; Hawkinge in Kent - roof of the South downs and Isles of Scilly, paradise in the UK.
Jerry P
23 April 2023 09:42:21
Spain likely to break April maximum temp records this week with over 38C a possibility 
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/apr/21/weather-tracker-heat-spain-could-smash-april-temperature-record 

This follows on from March’s high temps
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/mar/27/weather-tracker-spain-edges-towards-record-march-heat 

A bit worrying as we could well be exposed to this extreme weather pattern (plumes of subtropical air) in the summer as per last year.

 
West Somerset, 103m asl
Nick Gilly
23 April 2023 17:03:08
Originally Posted by: Jerry P 

Spain likely to break April maximum temp records this week with over 38C a possibility 
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/apr/21/weather-tracker-heat-spain-could-smash-april-temperature-record 

This follows on from March’s high temps
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/mar/27/weather-tracker-spain-edges-towards-record-march-heat 

A bit worrying as we could well be exposed to this extreme weather pattern (plumes of subtropical air) in the summer as per last year.

 



BBC video suggests that 40C could be reached:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/av/65366703 

That's insane.
polarwind
24 April 2023 08:23:21

I have read today, that globally, this April is running colder than March.
Looking at the Arctic Ice extent record, presently the ice melt rate is much the same as it was in March which is usually higher.
North Atlantic synoptics have since last November been similar to those observed in the 1960's and 70's (IMO).
Is there any connection?
"The professional standards of science must impose a framework of discipline and at the same time encourage rebellion against it". – Michael Polyani (1962)
"If climate science is sound and accurate, then it should be able to respond effectively to all the points raised…." - Grandad
"The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, and wiser people so full of doubts". - Bertrand Russell
"Science is the belief in the ignorance of the experts" – Richard Feynman
"A consensus means that everyone agrees to say collectively what no one believes individually.”- Abba Eban, Israeli diplomat
Dave,Derby
Ally Pally Snowman
24 April 2023 08:43:56
Originally Posted by: polarwind 

I have read today, that globally, this April is running colder than March.
Looking at the Arctic Ice extent record, presently the ice melt rate is much the same as it was in March which is usually higher.
North Atlantic synoptics have since last November been similar to those observed in the 1960's and 70's (IMO).
Is there any connection?



I think maybe just the Arctic region is running colder. Asia, South America and Northern and South Africa have all been experiencing significant heatwaves this month.
 
Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Ally Pally Snowman
24 April 2023 08:47:54
Originally Posted by: Nick Gilly 

BBC video suggests that 40C could be reached:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/av/65366703 

That's insane.



Indeed 850s 10c to 15c above average this week in southern Spain. Spanish April record will likely be smashed. 37.4c to beat.

https://www.wetterzentrale.de/en/show_diagrams.php?geoid=31543&model=ecm&var=2&run=0&lid=ENS&bw=1 
 
Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Tom Oxon
24 April 2023 15:38:02
Originally Posted by: Jerry P 

Spain likely to break April maximum temp records this week with over 38C a possibility 
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/apr/21/weather-tracker-heat-spain-could-smash-april-temperature-record 

This follows on from March’s high temps
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/mar/27/weather-tracker-spain-edges-towards-record-march-heat 

A bit worrying as we could well be exposed to this extreme weather pattern (plumes of subtropical air) in the summer as per last year.

 



What's driving the exceptional heat in Spain is the bone dry ground, which is how we got to 40+ last summer.  With ground moisture conditions in the UK much improved at the moment, I would view something similar as quite unlikely here.
S Warwickshire countryside, c.375ft asl.
ozone_aurora
30 April 2023 19:01:59
According to the BBC Weather the maximum temperature forecast for New Delhi on 1st May is only 24 C, with thundery showers, some 14 degrees below normal. It would be an equivalent of a maximum of 3 C in London! 🙄
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
03 May 2023 20:40:59
2 killed by floods in Italy
https://watchers.news/2023/05/03/widespread-floods-hit-emilia-romagna-italy/ 

and separately hailstorms from a week ago in USA

https://watchers.news/2023/04/27/severe-thunderstorms-drop-grapefruit-sized-hail-over-texas-historic-hailstorm-over-florida-u-s/ 
 
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
GezM
  • GezM
  • Advanced Member
04 May 2023 07:29:50
Originally Posted by: ozone_aurora 

According to the BBC Weather the maximum temperature forecast for New Delhi on 1st May is only 24 C, with thundery showers, some 14 degrees below normal. It would be an equivalent of a maximum of 3 C in London! 🙄



Some welcome respite from the horrendous heat they experience this time of year. That is exceptionally cool for early May and it is only making a slow recovery. Looking like still below average by the end of next week at a cool 39C. 
Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)
Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)
picturesareme
05 May 2023 23:05:43
Saw this video on Instagram of possible ball lightning. Not sure what it was but it does seem legit. 

https://www.instagram.com/reel/CrsXsEpOoD2/?igshid=MDJmNzVkMjY= 

 
Ally Pally Snowman
07 May 2023 17:10:25
Extraordinary heatwave in SE Asia . Vietnam breaks it's all time record. 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-65518528 
 
Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
polarwind
09 May 2023 06:53:42
More floods in New  Zealand.

See - https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-65530096  
"The professional standards of science must impose a framework of discipline and at the same time encourage rebellion against it". – Michael Polyani (1962)
"If climate science is sound and accurate, then it should be able to respond effectively to all the points raised…." - Grandad
"The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, and wiser people so full of doubts". - Bertrand Russell
"Science is the belief in the ignorance of the experts" – Richard Feynman
"A consensus means that everyone agrees to say collectively what no one believes individually.”- Abba Eban, Israeli diplomat
Dave,Derby
polarwind
09 May 2023 11:28:03

It looks likely to me, looking at the North Atlantic pressure distribution both foretasted and over recent months, that we could well see much more thundery weather than we've seen for several decades.
Any views on this?
"The professional standards of science must impose a framework of discipline and at the same time encourage rebellion against it". – Michael Polyani (1962)
"If climate science is sound and accurate, then it should be able to respond effectively to all the points raised…." - Grandad
"The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, and wiser people so full of doubts". - Bertrand Russell
"Science is the belief in the ignorance of the experts" – Richard Feynman
"A consensus means that everyone agrees to say collectively what no one believes individually.”- Abba Eban, Israeli diplomat
Dave,Derby
picturesareme
15 May 2023 01:10:34
https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/2023-05-11-atlantic-subtropical-storm-january-hurricane-season?cm_ven=dnt_social_instagram 

A sub tropical storm formed according to the NHC back in January however it won't be named. This is the earliest official tropical Atlantic system. 

More info from NOAA..

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/text/PNSNHC/2023/PNSNHC.202305111500.txt 
 
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
15 May 2023 06:24:08
Note = picturesareme has sensibly opened a dedicated a hurricane thread for this and future tropical storms in 2023
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
GezM
  • GezM
  • Advanced Member
15 May 2023 14:54:40
Much of Western Canada is experiencing a late spring heatwave. In particular southern British Columbia is going to see temperatures in the low 30s for all of this week, with a forecast peak of 35C on Friday - https://weather.gc.ca/city/pages/bc-45_metric_e.html  . 

Even northern BC will get into the low 30s and rapid snowmelt is forecast in the mountains.

These conditions will extend northwards into North West Territories where Fort Simpson could reach 30C on Thursday - https://weather.gc.ca/city/pages/nt-4_metric_e.html  .

 
Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)
Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)
Retron
15 May 2023 16:02:10
Originally Posted by: GezM 

Much of Western Canada is experiencing a late sprint heatwave. In particular southern British Columbia is going to see temperatures in the low 30s for all of this week, with a forecast peak of 35C on Friday - https://weather.gc.ca/city/pages/bc-45_metric_e.html  .
 


Ah, Kamloops - went there 5 years ago and stayed at a Holiday Inn Express opposite a casino... popped over there and everyone was on strike, picketing outside the casino. Great fun!

It's one of those places where things can switch from winter to high summer (and back again!) in a matter of days.
Leysdown, north Kent
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
17 May 2023 16:44:41
Rainfall in Italy has taken the north of that country from extreme drought to serious floods with 8 people drowned.

https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/151324/a-deluge-in-italy 

The link (with aerial photos) states 8" of rain in 24 hours in some areas, and the river Lamone rising from 1m depth to 11m in that time. However, there may still be droughts again this summer, as the depth of the snowpack in the Alps is much less than usual. 

Even a large river like the Po rose 5m - but it had been 3.3m below normal as recently as the end of March.
https://www.euronews.com/green/2023/02/20/po-river-winter-brings-little-relief-for-italys-drought-struck-waterway 

The charts don't offer much relief from heavy rain for the next two weeks
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
Chunky Pea
22 May 2023 11:09:17
The Canadian wildfire smoke trail seems to have initiated its own circulation over the Dakotas. 

Update: remarkable "smoke cyclone"/ "smokestorm" has now moved south into central U.S., crossing the Canadian border near the MT/SD border. This low pressure system has entrained a massive amount of smoke from numerous large boreal forest fires in central Canada.#MTwx #SDwx #COwx

https://twitter.com/Weather_West/status/1660093019398483968 
Current Conditions
https://t.ly/MEYqg 

"You don't have to know anything to have an opinion"
--Roger P, 12/Oct/2022
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