Edging up and will gain a little more traction this week. Hopefully there will be a couple of warm days at the very end of the month to push it upwards but to get anywhere near my 11.61C prediction there would need to be some serious heat and that is very unlikely at this timescale. If only May could be extended to the 36th or so I would probably do very well:)

I'm sure that there will be the usual month end downward adjustment too. 

Met Office Hadley      9.7c        Anomaly       -1.3c provisional to 26th

Metcheck                   9.26c      Anomaly       -2.15c

Netweather                9.86c      Anomaly       1.45c

Peasedown St John    9.79c     Anomaly       -2.61c.   

Looks like we’re on the up now.  Sadly nowhere near enough for my 12.4c guess!  A bit too optimistic and although my glass is always half full, it seems it was overflowing and a little wasteful of my early lead!  

Yes Caz - the warm up has come a little late for we high predictors but just in time for the official start of Summer!

Yes Caz - the warm up has come a little late for we high predictors but just in time for the official start of Summer!

Still on the rise  Met Office Hadley     9.8c    Anomaly    -1.2c Provisional to 27th

Metcheck           9.38c       Anomaly      -2.03c

Netweather        9.97c       Anomaly      -1.34c

Peasedown St John  9.39c   Anomaly   -3.01c.

Nearly time to make my June prediction

Early indications suggest June could be nearer 15c which is big jump on May which is likely to end up about 10.1c

My May CET estimate currently stands at 9.60C with three days to go. The end of the month now looking quite a bit warmer than it did a week ago.

Final CET is now estimated to finish above 10C at 10.11C.

Expect a downwards adjustment of about 0.3C from the provisional Hadley this month.

Chart 1

Chart 2

My May CET estimate currently stands at 9.60C with three days to go. The end of the month now looking quite a bit warmer than it did a week ago.

Final CET is now estimated to finish above 10C at 10.11C.

Expect a downwards adjustment of about 0.3C from the provisional Hadley this month.

IMAGE. Members enable at bottom of page

Chart 1

IMAGE. Members enable at bottom of page

Chart 2

That'll do! 

My May CET estimate currently stands at 9.60C with three days to go. The end of the month now looking quite a bit warmer than it did a week ago.

Final CET is now estimated to finish above 10C at 10.11C.

Expect a downwards adjustment of about 0.3C from the provisional Hadley this month.

IMAGE. Members enable at bottom of page

Chart 1

IMAGE. Members enable at bottom of page

Chart 2

Thanks Simon. Still coolest May for 25 years after coolest April for 35 years 

Met Office Hadley          9.9c       Anomaly      -1.1c provisional to 28th

Metcheck                       9.54c     Anomaly       -1.87c

Netweather                    10.11c   Anomaly       -1.2c

Peasedown St John      9.87c      Anomaly    -2.53c.       

 

 

Thanks Simon. Still coolest May for 25 years after coolest April for 35 years 

The combined April and May must be the coldest for many a year.

 

The combined April and May must be the coldest for many a year.

 

If the 10.1 estimate for May is right I make that the coldest April-May since 1941

2021 wiould be 8.25 and 1941 was 7.90

 

If the 10.1 estimate for May is right I make that the coldest April-May since 1941

2021 wiould be 8.25 and 1941 was 7.90

 

Amazing, and to my knowledge no long range forecast had a clue.

and to my knowledge no long range forecast had a clue.

Who'd have thunk? 

Met Office  Hadley        10.1c       Anomaly      -0.9c provisional to 29th

Metcheck                      9.67c       Anomaly      -1.74c

Netweather                   10.3c       Anomaly      -1.01c

Peasedown St John     9.70c      Anomaly      -2.64c. 

Met Office  Hadley        10.1c       Anomaly      -0.1c provisional to 29th

Metcheck                      9.67c       Anomaly      -1.74c

Netweather                   10.3c       Anomaly      -1.01c

Peasedown St John     9.70c      Anomaly      -2.64c. 

I thought the mean was 11.2, not 10.2 Art. That would make the anomaly -1.1C not -0.1C.

Final May CET still looking like coming in around 10.1C

June thread coming shortly.