The Beeb seem fairly confident ..................well confident enough to show a band crossing the UK 

Yes let's hope so Marcus:

Not sure if I like the time of it between 0100 and 0500 am on Sunday early Sunday - We many would all be asleep, however this is an upgrade if this comes about. 

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Yes let's hope so Marcus:

Not sure if I like the time of it between 0100 and 0500 am on Sunday early Sunday - We many would all be asleep, however this is an upgrade if this comes about. 

A bit later for me Tally . hopefully I will get out for a walk in it 

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Tuesday 26 Jan - Thursday 4 Feb

The start of the period remains unsettled with strong winds and frequent outbreaks of rain across much of the country, particularly in the north and west. This will likely fall as snow over high ground and may also at times fall to lower levels too, especially over northern and eastern areas. Further into this period unsettled conditions look most likely with low pressure dominant across the UK, bringing changeable weather with periods of rain, showers, and strong winds. Northerly winds are expected at times, increasing the risk of snowfall especially in the north. In the south, milder interludes may occur bringing at or above average temperatures. Overall temperatures are likely to be rather cold in the north but close to average in the south.

Thursday 4 Feb - Thursday 18 Feb

Confidence for this period is low, though low pressure is likely to be dominant at first with an increased chance of northerly winds. This will therefore increase the risk of snowfall especially in the north along with colder than average temperatures, potentially bringing wintry hazards more widely. Through mid-February higher pressure may develop for a time which would bring drier conditions with an increased likelihood of fog and cold, frosty nights.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

I know this has been debated many times before but what I used to find frustrating and now completely ignore are the online Meto city forecasts.

This upcoming channel low is a perfect example.

Over the last couple of days and until this morning High Wycombe had plenty of rain and sleet snow symbols gradually changing to snow symbols (a couple heavy snow) for Friday night, Saturday morning and 1 or 2 on Sunday 

At lunchtime all precipitation symbols have been removed and there is only a 5-10% chance of any precipitation.

At precisely the same time the updated BBC forecast provided by the Meteo Group bods shows a potentially heavy band of precipitation of mostly snow moving across the country.

So Meto and Meteogroup are at polar (scuse the pun) opposites regarding the forecast of the evolution of the front passing through on Sunday

I think this shows a few things

Even at +60 hours forecasting is an inexact science, let alone trying to work out what may happen at +240 hours

On the basis that there is no consensus amongst the best meteorologists in the land, we should expect nothing or anything to fall out of the sky

Model watching and each person's take is interesting and fun and if someone says it is not going to be cold or snow in 10 days time based on what is shown or not shown on the charts, that's fine because that person does not know and nor to Meteogroup or Meto.

 

Richy Rich going for ‘increasingly mild later next week with occasional cold incursions in the far north’

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John Hammonds Monthly update is interesting 

 

MONDAY 25th JANUARY – SUNDAY 31st JANUARY

Mild air briefly fights back

MONDAY 1st FEBRUARY – SUNDAY 7th FEBRUARY

Dice loaded towards cold

MONDAY 8th FEBRUARY – SUNDAY 21st FEBRUARY

Continental cold

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John Hammonds Monthly update is interesting 

 

MONDAY 25th JANUARY – SUNDAY 31st JANUARY

Mild air briefly fights back

MONDAY 1st FEBRUARY – SUNDAY 7th FEBRUARY

Dice loaded towards cold

MONDAY 8th FEBRUARY – SUNDAY 21st FEBRUARY

Continental cold

Is this weather trending or could up send link pls? thanks

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Is this weather trending or could up send link pls? thanks

Weather Trending mate , go have a read 

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Yellow warning for Snow and ice over much of the country for today.🤔

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Here is the link everyone:

https://weathertrending.com/2021/01/22/john-hammonds-month-ahead-days-get-longer-cold-grows-stronger/ 

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If you subscribe and pay does it increase the chance of cold and snow.

 

If so, I'm in! 

If you subscribe and pay does it increase the chance of cold and snow.

 

If so, I'm in! 

 

 it sure does but it is free to subscribe 

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Yellow warning for Snow and ice over much of the country for today.🤔

Yes, I was surprised to see that. Looks like a band of showers could be heading south east later today. Let's see if this materialises!

There is also a Snow & Ice weather warning in the South of England for Sunday. Personally, I'm expecting a southward adjustment of this band of precipitation as we get closer to the event.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/warnings-and-advice/uk-warnings#?date=2021-01-24

 

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Yes, I was surprised to see that. Looks like a band of showers could be heading south east later today. Let's see if this materialises!

I fell asleep on the sofa yesterday evening and woke up to the 11pm forecast. Think it was Chris Fawkes who first mentioned the clump of cloud in the Atlantic that they were keeping an eye on for today. Lots of ifs and buts but maybe something to watch.

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Wednesday 27 Jan - Friday 5 Feb

Unsettled conditions look likely to dominate for this period, with low pressure across the UK. This should bringing changeable weather to most of the country, with periods of rain, showers, and strong winds at times. While westerly and southwesterly winds are expected to be dominant for most of the period, occasional northerly winds are possible, brining a chance of snowfall, likely confined to the far north. Milder conditions in generally may start to spread across most of the UK at points during most of this period. Towards the end of the period, we may see high pressure bringing a higher than average chance of cold weather with wintry outbreaks. However, there is a chance of drier than average conditions, which would bring increased frost and fog risks.

Thursday 4 Feb - Thursday 18 Feb

Confidence for this period is low, though low pressure is likely to be dominant at first with an increased chance of northerly winds. This will therefore increase the risk of snowfall especially in the north along with colder than average temperatures, potentially bringing wintry hazards more widely. Through mid-February higher pressure may develop for a time which would bring drier conditions with an increased likelihood of fog and cold, frosty nights.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

looks like a bit of a cold weather upgrade from the Met... and a return of these wintry outbreaks [for Chichester, a light frost and maybe a bit of sleet if we are really lucky! - but hopefully much better for those up north!]

Ben Rich 

Snow crossing Central and Southern England and Wales could give a few cm's or more ( big emphasis on more )

A lot of uncertainty though 

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The Beeb now firming up on the snow coming in tomorrow - some lucky areas could get 10cm's 

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Yes the firming up is beginning now. Here is the Met Office's take for Kent, Sussex and Surrey. - Road forecast.

Largely cloudy Saturday afternoon, with clear spells readily developing from the west. Skies will clear from the west during the evening and into the first half of the night. As a result RSTs will fall below freezing from early evening. Largely clear skies overnight with a risk of widespread frost. Cloud increasing from the west early Sunday morning with a band of rain, sleet and snow pushing eastwards across Area 4 from 1000. This band of precipitation will push eastwards Sunday morning falling readily as snow away from coasts and over high ground. Accumulations are possible with 1-3cm in places away from the coast and 5-10cm above 200m however confidence on details is low. RSTs are likely to remain below freezing throughout Sunday morning.

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Yes the firming up is beginning now. Here is the Met Office's take for Kent, Sussex and Surrey. - Road forecast.

Largely cloudy Saturday afternoon, with clear spells readily developing from the west. Skies will clear from the west during the evening and into the first half of the night. As a result RSTs will fall below freezing from early evening. Largely clear skies overnight with a risk of widespread frost. Cloud increasing from the west early Sunday morning with a band of rain, sleet and snow pushing eastwards across Area 4 from 1000. This band of precipitation will push eastwards Sunday morning falling readily as snow away from coasts and over high ground. Accumulations are possible with 1-3cm in places away from the coast and 5-10cm above 200m however confidence on details is low. RSTs are likely to remain below freezing throughout Sunday morning.

Thats a positive update and the timing has shifted to earlier rather than later. Not great timing in terms of diurnal heating but it is what it is.

Seems like the hill tops could get a decent covering. Caution still advised though Steve.  The feature that brings this mix of rain sleet and snow is still in 'embryonic form' in the Atlantic  and could be subject to 'genetic abnormalities' before it arrives in Kent.

Edit - I note some of the hi res French models don't have the precipitation arriving here until 6pm!  there is still WAY too much uncertainty over where, when and if....

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