I’ve just posted on the MO thread, that for my location, this year seems to be tracking 2019 as far as Spring goes, but 2018 was also very much the same to this point.  Very dry and warm with dips in temp at the beginning of months.  Does anyone have any comparison charts?

Met Office Hadley            12.5c          Anomaly          1.3c. Provisional to 28th

Metcheck                         12.57c       Anomaly           1.16c

Netweather                      13.08c       Anomaly           1.37c

Peasedown St John         12.3c        Anomaly            0.54c    

Here is some food for thought for the summer. 

Looking at the stats for Spring this year will be the sunniest on record. If we look at rainfall this Spring is likely to be the 6th driest on record for the EWP series. Also likely to be the 6th warmest Spring on record for the CET series.

I have looked at the top 20 Springs for sun, rain and warmth since 1929 (I picked that year because the sunshine data only goes back to 1929).

We see that there are six years since 1929 which all fell into the top 20 for sun, rain and warmth. A further 8 matched two of the three parameters (4 matching sun and rain, 3 matching sun and temperature and 1 matching rain and temperature.

If we look at the summer CET for those years we find that for years with two matches the CET is generally close to average, although August looks very poor (the data is skewed slightly by having one very warm year - 1995 which has the record August CET).

If we look at the summer CET for those years with 3 matches we see a similar picture for June and July, generally around average. However, August looks better with three very warm years (but that is still only 50% of the sample).

So my gut feel is that we should not expect a particular warm summer this year. Maybe August is the best chance of a warm month. But otherwise the odds are on a fairly average and perhaps rather boring summer. Of course the weather was bound to change as the lockdown is lifted!

Table1

Table2

Here is the latest May CET tracker. Looking like a 12.51C finish at present

Chart1

Chart2

Met Office Hadley            12.6c          Anomaly           1.5c

Metcheck                         12.67c        Anomaly           1.27c

Netweather                      13.21c        Anomaly           1.92c

Peasedown st John        12.4c          Anomaly            0.64c.  

Here is some food for thought for the summer. 

Looking at the stats for Spring this year will be the sunniest on record. If we look at rainfall this Spring is likely to be the 6th driest on record for the EWP series. Also likely to be the 6th warmest Spring on record for the CET series.

I have looked at the top 20 Springs for sun, rain and warmth since 1929 (I picked that year because the sunshine data only goes back to 1929).

We see that there are six years since 1929 which all fell into the top 20 for sun, rain and warmth. A further 8 matched two of the three parameters (4 matching sun and rain, 3 matching sun and temperature and 1 matching rain and temperature.

If we look at the summer CET for those years we find that for years with two matches the CET is generally close to average, although August looks very poor (the data is skewed slightly by having one very warm year - 1995 which has the record August CET).

If we look at the summer CET for those years with 3 matches we see a similar picture for June and July, generally around average. However, August looks better with three very warm years (but that is still only 50% of the sample).

So my gut feel is that we should not expect a particular warm summer this year. Maybe August is the best chance of a warm month. But otherwise the odds are on a fairly average and perhaps rather boring summer. Of course the weather was bound to change as the lockdown is lifted!

IMAGE. Members enable at bottom of page

Table1

IMAGE. Members enable at bottom of page

Table2

Met Office Hadley             12.8c          Anomaly         1.5c

Metcheck                          12.80c        Anomaly          1.40c

Netweather                       13.32c        Anomaly          2.03c

Peasedown St John          12.6c         Anomaly          0.64c       

We finished at 12.49C. Snowshoe and "sussex snow..." were 0.01C out.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_mean_2020

We finished at 12.49C. Snowshoe and "sussex snow..." were 0.01C out.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_mean_2020

👏👏👏👏👏

Metcheck for May        12.93c.   

Netweather                 13.46c  Anomaly   2.17c.

Metcheck for May        12.93c.   

Netweather                 13.46c  Anomaly   2.17c.

Met office Hadley we're looking for.

 

Met office Hadley we're looking for.

 

It was 12.49C as I posted further up the page.

 

According to Gavin P., that came out as 12.6°C.

 

No, it was 12.49C as I posted further up the page.

 

No, it was 12.49C as I posted further up the page.

Sorry, I have now deleted my comment accordingly and I don't think that I will ever post anything on these CET threads again as I never somehow, manage to get anything right here whereas I don't seem to have that issue on very many of the other threads on these forums.

We finished at 12.49C. Snowshoe and "sussex snow..." were 0.01C out.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_mean_2020

I was 0.5 out which wasn’t as bad as I thought earlier in the month. 

12th May 2020 had a CET minimum of -0.9C

That is cold for the time of the year and I think it maybe the lowest  daily CET minimum recorded during May since 3rd May 1967.

12th May 2020 had a CET minimum of -0.9C

That is cold for the time of the year and I think it maybe the lowest  daily CET minimum recorded during May since 3rd May 1967.

Yes.  It is good to see that even in a rapidly warming climate its still possible to attain freakish low daily minimums and cold maximums. The trend overall though is inexorably in the other direction. 

Congrats to the snows!   

Not all of them