Gavin D
27 December 2019 15:51:02

Wednesday 1 Jan -  Friday 10 Jan


After any frost or fog clears, Wednesday morning will be mostly dry and cloudy with some bright or sunny spells in central and eastern areas. Further north, it will turn increasingly windy during the day with outbreaks of rain developing for a time. Quite mild across the northwest, but temperatures near normal elsewhere. Looking further ahead, there looks to be something of a northwest/southeast split. The majority of the wet and windy weather seems to be confined to the northwest with spells of heavy rain and strong winds. The region may also see some showery interludes with possible snow over the northern hills. Further south, it looks to be more settled with longer drier, brighter periods as well as occasional overnight frost and fog.


Friday 10 Jan - Friday 24 Jan


There looks to be a continuation of the northwest/southeast split through much of January. Spells of heavy rain and strong winds look most likely across northern and western parts. These could be interspersed by more showery interludes where some snow could fall over higher ground. The best of any bright and dry conditions appear most probable in the east and southeast, though some rain may reach here for a time. Temperatures may be above average in the north at first, though some brief colder interludes are still likely. In the more settled spells in the southeast, it is likely to be colder generally, with an increased risk of fog overnight. Temperatures near normal in the south.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

tallyho_83
27 December 2019 23:50:32

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 


Wednesday 1 Jan -  Friday 10 Jan


After any frost or fog clears, Wednesday morning will be mostly dry and cloudy with some bright or sunny spells in central and eastern areas. Further north, it will turn increasingly windy during the day with outbreaks of rain developing for a time. Quite mild across the northwest, but temperatures near normal elsewhere. Looking further ahead, there looks to be something of a northwest/southeast split. The majority of the wet and windy weather seems to be confined to the northwest with spells of heavy rain and strong winds. The region may also see some showery interludes with possible snow over the northern hills. Further south, it looks to be more settled with longer drier, brighter periods as well as occasional overnight frost and fog.


Friday 10 Jan - Friday 24 Jan


There looks to be a continuation of the northwest/southeast split through much of January. Spells of heavy rain and strong winds look most likely across northern and western parts. These could be interspersed by more showery interludes where some snow could fall over higher ground. The best of any bright and dry conditions appear most probable in the east and southeast, though some rain may reach here for a time. Temperatures may be above average in the north at first, though some brief colder interludes are still likely. In the more settled spells in the southeast, it is likely to be colder generally, with an increased risk of fog overnight. Temperatures near normal in the south.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/



South West* is what they meant? as the south east was already mentioned for it to be colder?


Looking very mild across the pond as well as eastern Europe: DC could reach 20c on Monday:


https://www.accuweather.com/en/us/washington/20006/daily-weather-forecast/327659?day=4


 


Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


Gavin D
28 December 2019 10:27:04

BBC monthly outlook


Summary


Generally mild but wet and windy in January


_________________________________


Saturday 28 December – Sunday 5 January


Mild and drier with a cold snap around New Years


This weekend a mild but dreary weather pattern is expected, with temperatures widely into double figures and reaching the mid-teens in some places. However, it will be a grey affair with largely overcast skies across the country, particularly on Saturday. Things will be mostly dry except for northwestern areas of Scotland and parts of eastern Northern Ireland, where weak fronts will linger and bring some patches of rain. From Monday, the clouds should finally break across much of England and Wales, but northern parts of the country will stay damp and dreary.


On New Years Eve high pressure will begin to build over the UK and the clear skies and calm winds overnight will allow temperatures to fall away. Frost is expected for northern areas with overnight lows into the low single figures in the south. The rest of the week and into the following weekend will see the New Years Eve high pressure gradually slide away and allow frontal systems to reach into the UK from the west. It will be more frequently wet and windy in the northwest, whilst southern and eastern parts of Britain see some lengthy dry and clear spells. It will be mild for the time of year.


Monday 6 January – Sunday 12 January


Staying mild but wet and windy at times


We expect to see a slight shift in the weather pattern heading into the first full week of the new year, but high pressure will often lurk nearby to the south. This will create a distinct north and south split in the weather across the country. Southern areas will see greater influence from high pressure and will tend to be drier and brighter with occasional wet and windy days as cold fronts dive south. Meanwhile, northern parts of the UK will see more frequent fronts and therefore more in the way of wet weather.


Scotland and Northern Ireland will see the bulk of this rain, but parts of northern England will be fairly wet at times too. However, despite this north-south split, mild conditions are expected for all and overall temperatures will run several degrees above where they should be in early January. Behind the passage of cold fronts, there will be a few cold nights with a chance for some frost. It is still January after all, and mild weather at this time of year can still feel pretty chilly!


Monday 13 January – Sunday 26 January


Temperatures nearer normal, perhaps stormy


For mid and late January, a gradual shift in the weather pattern is expected across Europe, with low pressure tracks able to dip further south into France or Spain. This will expose the UK to more wet and windy weather, as opposed to mainly just northern areas of the country. Some of these low pressure systems may be quite strong and bring in some very stormy weather. This will also bring an end to the mild spell, with temperatures returning to nearer the norm for January. As a result, snow showers will become increasingly likely for Scotland and parts of northern England.

Towards the end of the month the southern plunge of the low pressure tracks will likely wave back north. Fronts would then return to mainly impact northern areas with some high pressure creeping into the south of the country at times. Likely turning mild again, with no strong signals at this time for any widespread or prolonged cold outbreaks. Confidence is low towards late January, mainly due to how influential high pressure may be.


Further ahead


Will we be able to cling on to a mild winter, or will storms in mid-January herald a return of the cold?


https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

Gavin D
28 December 2019 10:54:54

UK to hit temperatures of 15-16C over the weekend - hotter than Athens and Rome




Quote



 Parts of Britain will be hotter than Athens and Rome this weekend as the country experiences unusually warm temperatures. Some areas of the UK could hit 15-16C (59-60.8F) today and tomorrow, according to the Met Office.


In Athens, the predicted high is 10C (50F) today, while it is expected to reach 12C (53.6F) in Rome. The warmest parts of the UK are likely to be parts of northeast England and north Wales. 





https://news.sky.com/story/uk-to-hit-temperatures-of-15-16c-over-the-weekend-hotter-than-athens-and-rome-11896530


Gavin D
28 December 2019 15:09:07

Thursday 2 Jan - Saturday 11 Jan


After any frost or fog clears, Thursday will be mostly cloudy and dry in central and eastern areas, with showers confined to western coasts and heavy rain across Scotland. Blustery showers will follow the rain over Scotland, with the northwest of England also seeing strengthening winds. Temperatures should become mild, especially in northern Scotland. Looking further ahead, there seems to be something of a northwest/southeast split. The majority of the wet and windy weather seems to be confined to the northwest, with spells of heavy rain and strong winds. The region may also see some showery interludes with possible snow over the northern hills. Further south, it looks to be more settled with longer drier, brighter periods as well as occasional overnight frost and fog.


Saturday 11 Jan - Saturday 25 Jan


There looks to be a continuation of the northwest/southeast split through much of January. Spells of heavy rain and strong winds look most likely across northern and western parts. These could be interspersed by more showery interludes where some snow could fall over higher ground. The best of any bright and dry conditions appear most probable in the east and southeast, though some rain may reach here for a time. Temperatures may be above average in the north at first, though some brief colder interludes are still likely. In the more settled spells in the southeast, it is likely to be colder generally, with an increased risk of fog overnight. Temperatures near normal in the south.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Gavin D
28 December 2019 20:20:44

Early January


Slowly changeable
Mostly mild
Occasional wetter spells
Little wintry weather


https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/50935846

Gavin D
29 December 2019 15:39:52

Friday 3 Jan - Sunday 12 Jan


Feeling cold on Friday, as a band of rain continues to clear southeastwards across the UK followed by clearer skies and showers. There is a risk that these showers could turn wintry across northern areas. It will be windy, with a risk of gales to the north of Scotland and northeast England. Looking further ahead, there seems to be something of a northwest/southeast split. The majority of the wet and windy weather seems to be confined to the northwest, with spells of heavy rain and strong winds. The region may also see some showery interludes with possible snow over the northern hills. Further south, it looks to be more settled with longer drier, brighter periods as well as occasional overnight frost and fog.


 Sunday 12 Jan - Sunday 26 Jan 


There looks to be a continuation of the northwest/southeast split through much of January. Spells of heavy rain and strong winds look most likely across northern and western parts. These could be interspersed by more showery interludes where some snow could fall over higher ground. The best of any bright and dry conditions appear most probable in the east and southeast, though some rain may reach here for a time. Temperatures may be above average in the north at first, though some brief colder interludes are still likely. In the more settled spells in the southeast, it is likely to be colder generally, with an increased risk of fog overnight. Temperatures near normal in the south.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Gavin D
29 December 2019 19:34:28

Early 2020


High pressure
Settled
Mist and fog


https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/50942104

Gavin D
30 December 2019 11:39:43

UK weather: Unusual phenomenon brings 16.8C to Scottish Highlands at 3am 




Quote


The UK has witnessed an "exceptional" temperature for late December - but it was so early in the morning that most people slept through it. According to the Met Office, 16.8C (62.2F) was recorded in north Scotland at 3am on Sunday in the town of Cassley. The average night-time temperature for that area in late December is about 0C (32F).





https://news.sky.com/story/uk-weather-exceptional-16-8c-seen-in-scottish-highlands-at-3am-in-the-morning-11897894


Rob K
30 December 2019 11:51:12

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 


UK weather: Unusual phenomenon brings 16.8C to Scottish Highlands at 3am 




Quote


The UK has witnessed an "exceptional" temperature for late December - but it was so early in the morning that most people slept through it. According to the Met Office, 16.8C (62.2F) was recorded in north Scotland at 3am on Sunday in the town of Cassley. The average night-time temperature for that area in late December is about 0C (32F).





https://news.sky.com/story/uk-weather-exceptional-16-8c-seen-in-scottish-highlands-at-3am-in-the-morning-11897894




"The town of Cassley"? Quality fact-checking there 


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
The Beast from the East
30 December 2019 13:34:41

Twister is on now ITV


Looks very dated, but still love it


Shame there was never a modern version considering what they could now do with the CGI


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Gavin D
30 December 2019 15:54:29

Saturday 4 Jan - Monday 13 Jan


It looks likely to stay unsettled across the northwest with spells of locally heavy rain and strengthening winds interspersed with scattered showers. These showers could turn to snow over higher ground. Across the southeast it should be more settled with light winds and longer drier, brighter periods with some sunshine possible at times. Some rain is still possible at times but any rain is likely to be short lived. Away from the northwest, patchy frost and fog may develop overnight and be locally slow to clear. Temperatures look to be above average across the north with the potential for some very mild conditions locally. Further south, temperatures should be be around normal for the time of year.


Monday 13 Jan - Monday 27 Jan


Spells of heavy rain and strong winds look most likely across northern and western parts. These could be interspersed by more showery interludes where some snow could fall over higher ground. The best of any bright and dry conditions appear most probable in the east and southeast, though some rain may reach here for a time. Temperatures may be above average in the north at first, though some brief colder interludes are still likely. In the more settled spells in the southeast, it is likely to be colder generally, with an increased risk of fog overnight. Temperatures near normal in the south.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

tallyho_83
30 December 2019 18:19:01

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 


Saturday 4 Jan - Monday 13 Jan


Temperatures look to be above average across the north with the potential for some very mild conditions locally. Further south, temperatures should be be around normal for the time of year.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/



Very mild' wasn't in forecast a few days ago or over past week or so.


Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


Gavin D
30 December 2019 18:40:16

Early 2020


Mainly dry
Some rain in north & west
A little cooler
Overnight mist & fog


https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/50951461

dagspot
30 December 2019 23:24:23

1M snow to blanket Europe


Neilston 600ft ASL
tallyho_83
31 December 2019 01:23:35

Originally Posted by: dagspot 


1M snow to blanket Europe



Now:


https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/1222095/uk-weather-forecast-map-winter-heatwave-met-office-long-range-new-years-eve-day-weather


So no bitter cold and snow or storm they mentioned a few days ago then? 


Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


Gavin D
31 December 2019 15:00:19

Sunday 5 Jan - Tuesday 14 Jan


It looks likely to stay unsettled across the northwest with spells of locally heavy rain and strengthening winds interspersed with scattered showers. These showers could turn to snow over higher ground. Across the southeast it should be more settled with light winds and longer drier, brighter periods with some sunshine possible at times. Some rain is still possible at times but any rain is likely to be short lived. Away from the northwest, patchy frost and fog may develop overnight and be locally slow to clear. Temperatures look to be above average across the north with the potential for some very mild conditions locally. Further south, temperatures should be be around normal for the time of year with some colder interludes possible.


Tuesday 14 Jan - Tuesday 28 Jan


Spells of heavy rain and strong winds look most likely across northern and western parts. These could be interspersed by more showery interludes where some snow could fall over higher ground. The best of any drier and brighter conditions appear most likely across the east and southeast. There is still a chance for some rain here at times. Temperatures look to be above average across the north with the potential for some colder spells. Further south, temperatures should be be around normal for the time of year but may be rather cold at times.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

dagspot
31 December 2019 18:59:02

Actually the highest temp in Dec of 18.7dc now being reported in media in far northwest Scotland. Impressive. Though not sure that location can be attributed to foehn effect on west coast?


Neilston 600ft ASL
Rob K
31 December 2019 19:13:25

Originally Posted by: dagspot 


Actually the highest temp in Dec of 18.7dc now being reported in media in far northwest Scotland. Impressive. Though not sure that location can be attributed to foehn effect on west coast?



Yes, Achfary - not a station I've heard of.


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
doctormog
31 December 2019 19:15:22

Originally Posted by: dagspot 


Actually the highest temp in Dec of 18.7dc now being reported in media in far northwest Scotland. Impressive. Though not sure that location can be attributed to foehn effect on west coast?



With a wind direction from the SSW and mountains to that direction I would expect a Föhn effect to be responsible.


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