The Weather Outlook

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SJV
14 December 2018 16:42:15

Looks like the warning is mostly now for freezing rain as the warning area has been extended southwards

Originally Posted by: Crepuscular Ray 

Pretty horrendous conditions possible in a few places due to the freezing rain. I think Sheffield later tomorrow could be pretty treacherous with snow over higher ground in the west and a freezing rain risk elsewhere 

johncs2016
14 December 2018 16:55:58

 

I assume that is because the NE of Scotland "sticks out" into the North Sea so the SE winds are blowing over a relatively warmer sea track.    Most of the rest of the country will be wind blowing over land.  I have a sneaky feeling I might see a few wet flakes.  Richard will be apoplectic!

Originally Posted by: howham 

Yes, I know that a wind from the SE isn't exactly Richard's favourite wind direction although we have the same problems here in Edinburgh when the wind is directly from the east or from the ENE for exactly the same reasons, especially here in the north of Edinburgh and right on the coast itself (further inland, that effect is often not as bad).

 


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

Iceman
14 December 2018 17:54:21
That's a nasty severe warning of freezing rain from the Met Office! I hope its wrong. Freezing rain is nasty but snow is beautiful!
East Kilbride 480 ft
doctormog
14 December 2018 18:04:01

 

I assume that is because the NE of Scotland "sticks out" into the North Sea so the SE winds are blowing over a relatively warmer sea track.    Most of the rest of the country will be wind blowing over land.  I have a sneaky feeling I might see a few wet flakes.  Richard will be apoplectic!

Originally Posted by: howham 

Yes, I think that sums it up very nicely. 


lassy
14 December 2018 20:15:27
I am really, really hoping we get at least a bit of a covering but nothing at all yet.
The first fall of snow is not only an event, it is a magical event. You go to bed

in one kind of world and wake up in another, quite different. and if this is not

enchantment then where is it to be found?

J.B Priestley

  

doctormog
14 December 2018 20:17:31

I am really, really hoping we get at least a bit of a covering but nothing at all yet.

Originally Posted by: lassy 

It’s not due until early afternoon tomorrow. Whether you have enough elevation or are far enough inland is another issue. I wouldn’t like to call it and you may end up with a lot of cold rain (like here) or a lot of snow (like to your west).


Tim A
14 December 2018 21:39:18

Good test tomorrow for  Met Office automated vs text forcasts with the former predicting snow most of the afternoon and the later (and warnings) freezing rain. Be interesting to see the outcome.


Tim

NW Leeds

187m asl

 My PWS 

snowish
15 December 2018 00:02:02

Hi all, I am not sure what to expect of this event at 460 ish feet above sea level. I will report sat dinner on said conditions. Solar cycs is to the west of me but not sure of his elevation. (HI MATTY) cheers Paul S


Paul S, Burnley
AJ*
  • AJ*
  • Advanced Member
15 December 2018 01:02:55

 

https://www.gavsweathervids.com/

 

Originally Posted by: nsrobins 

Ah, thanks Neil! I'm familiar with Gavin's Week Ahead forecast, which he posts a link to in a thread each Saturday, but I hadn't realised that he did lots more.  (And thanks also to johncs for the YouTube link.)


Angus; one of the Kent crew on TWO.

Tonbridge, 40m (131ft) asl

johncs2016
15 December 2018 01:21:16

 

Ah, thanks Neil! I'm familiar with Gavin's Week Ahead forecast, which he posts a link to in a thread each Saturday, but I hadn't realised that he did lots more.  (And thanks also to johncs for the YouTube link.)

Originally Posted by: AJ* 

Yes, and that also includes being a member of this forum.

Apart from the usual Gavin's Thoughts threads which he starts here every weekend, he also occasionally contributes to other threads such as the MO thread and the media thread although he doesn't post as often on here as the likes of you and I since he also runs his own discussion chat stuff (which you can access just by being a member of Disqus).

Also if you have been to his website and looked at any of his videos from there by clicking on them, you might also notice that what you are actually clicking on there is just a link to that video on his YouTube channel.

 


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

Retron
15 December 2018 07:59:21
Conditions look good for snow at the moment down here: not only is the MetO raw output showing some later today, the dewpoint is well below zero as layers of cold air are being dragged in from France, ahead of the Atlantic front.

Whether the dewpoint remains low enough, or the cold layer remains intact for long enough, remains to be seen!


Leysdown, north Kent
Gusty
15 December 2018 08:03:24

A cloudy and bitterly cold feeling morning with a 20mph SE'ly blowing off the continent.

+1.2c with a dewpoint of -2c


Steve - Folkestone, Kent

Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 

Join Kent Weather on Facebook.

https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/ 



nsrobins
15 December 2018 08:32:28

Conditions look good for snow at the moment down here: not only is the MetO raw output showing some later today, the dewpoint is well below zero as layers of cold air are being dragged in from France, ahead of the Atlantic front.

Whether the dewpoint remains low enough, or the cold layer remains intact for long enough, remains to be seen!

Originally Posted by: Retron 

Touch and go for you Darren. The ppn is ahead of most high-res solutions by a few hours so the mixing from the west might occur more rapidly than forecast.


Neil

Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)

Stormchaser, Member TORRO

Retron
15 December 2018 08:38:46

Touch and go for you Darren. The ppn is ahead of most high-res solutions by a few hours so the mixing from the west might occur more rapidly than forecast.

Originally Posted by: nsrobins 

Indeed, it's going to be knife-edge stuff! (Although it usually is - aside from the Beast earlier this year).

+ 0.7, dew -2.5C right now, so for the time being the cold air holds firm in this corner of England. The rain / snow / whatever on the radar is really struggling to move NE at the moment, as it's fizzling in the cold, dry air over Kent and East Sussex. I guess that when it starts making it further east it'll be a sign the low-level cold and dry air has been mixed out...


Leysdown, north Kent
Tim A
15 December 2018 08:41:11

Cloudy and frosty here with a temp of -0.8c.

No idea what will happen this afternoon but i am getting my jobs done this morning and staying indoors


Tim

NW Leeds

187m asl

 My PWS 

roadrunnerajn
15 December 2018 08:43:52
Just to give you some contrast-

Here it's 11.5c well and truly in the mild air... We've got more change of finding gold plated hens teeth than getting snow when the Atlantic moves in against a cold block down here.

Ironic that this is how most of the U.K. sees it's snow!!

I'll be looking at webcams of the Peak District to get my snow fix...🙄


Germoe, part of the breakaway Celtic Republic. 80m asl
fairweather
15 December 2018 09:21:57

Conditions look good for snow at the moment down here: not only is the MetO raw output showing some later today, the dewpoint is well below zero as layers of cold air are being dragged in from France, ahead of the Atlantic front.

Whether the dewpoint remains low enough, or the cold layer remains intact for long enough, remains to be seen!

Originally Posted by: Retron 

Same here across the Estuary. 1.4C. DP -2.1C


S.Essex, 42m ASL
doctormog
15 December 2018 09:27:37

5°C and very windy here. The SEly wind that brings others wintry presents brings nothing but the meteorological equivalent of a lump of coal. It will also be of interest to see who ends up on the ice list. (I will resist the one about freezing rein-deer ).


Steve Murr
15 December 2018 09:31:05

0.6c here @930am
Milky white sky moving in...

if it snows today it will have snowed here

Nov Dec 17

Jan feb Mar 18

Nov Dec 18

fullybhoy
15 December 2018 09:35:08
Been snowing here on and off since about 5am
Alan

Glasgow 165m/asl

Crepuscular Ray
15 December 2018 09:50:13

Been snowing here on and off since about 5am

Originally Posted by: fullybhoy 

Same here Alan, there's a snow reports thread active. I've put a couple of reports in there 👍


Jerry

Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill

Joe Bloggs
15 December 2018 10:11:21

The temperature at 850 hPa is forecast to be above freezing here around now, ahead of the front, so not expecting any snow here.

Thats despite the promising surface parameters. Currently +2C/-4C .

Will also be interesting to see if the precipitation breaks up as it hits Greater Manchester/North Cheshire as so often happens when there’s a SE’ly element to the wind. 

AJ*
  • AJ*
  • Advanced Member
15 December 2018 10:54:01

I noticed on the Metcheck precip. type radar (https://www.metcheck.com/WEATHER/precipitype.asp#) that there was some snow on the leading edge of the ppn from the Sussex coastal area southwards, but it pretty much disappeared around 10.00am. So if it doesn't reappear, we'll be looking at sleet down here (Edited to add: even the area of sleet is diminishing rapidly).  That's assuming the precip. type display is accurate, and I haven't seen any opinion that it isn't. 


Angus; one of the Kent crew on TWO.

Tonbridge, 40m (131ft) asl

Bolty
15 December 2018 11:14:52

So it's now looking like quite a widespread freezing rain event? That in itself is pretty interesting as I am in the understanding that freezing rain is remarkably rare in the UK, especially over such an area.


Scott

Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.

My weather station 

Saint Snow
15 December 2018 11:39:41

Conditions look good for snow at the moment down here: not only is the MetO raw output showing some later today, the dewpoint is well below zero as layers of cold air are being dragged in from France, ahead of the Atlantic front.

Whether the dewpoint remains low enough, or the cold layer remains intact for long enough, remains to be seen!

Originally Posted by: Retron 

 

Good luck, Darren.

The PPN has arrived here and it's nothing but very cold rain, not a hint of even sleetiness.


Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."

Aneurin Bevan

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