The Weather Outlook

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Christopher O'shea
16 February 2018 11:32:27

Last year I started a topic which was very interesting to many but unfortunately the few did not like my predictions, however he who last first last laughs. It was ok for those bullies to ridicule me however , they sulked and reported me so I got blocked and my topic locked , shame on you . Enough said.

 

My weather prediction winter 2017 2018 was one to be remembered due to continue cold and Snow. i was right with predicting Snow XMas day and those who took my advice and had a punt at the bookies could had had a nice return with bets placed early enough. End of February is shaping up to close down the South of the country of which charts are showing - 10 to -15 being the norm for the South of the UK for a time.

Further information on this is now freely out there. I just like to thank those who privately supported me and shown interest. Its good to see that Scientist are sitting up with interest.  

 

 

 https://www.netweather.tv/weather-forecasts/news/8740-sudden-stratospheric-warming-brings-weather-model-mayhem

 

 

Christopher O'shea
16 February 2018 11:36:24
The above link provided in know way is to detract from Weather outlook, it is to show the model.

idj20
16 February 2018 11:47:43

Hold a sec . . .



Okay, I'm all set.

Home location: Folkestone Harbour.
Tim A
16 February 2018 11:53:06
I don't understand this thread.

The title relates to forecasting using natural phenomenon, the content is a mix of a self-congratulatory post about correct predictions , a tribute to some believers and negative remarks about others. There is a link to a Netweather article written by a third party around the current SSW and how it is causing model mayhem .

What are you wanting us to discuss?

Tim

NW Leeds

187m asl

 My PWS 

idj20
16 February 2018 13:34:31

I don't understand this thread.
The title relates to forecasting using natural phenomenon, the content is a mix of a self-congratulatory post about correct predictions , a tribute to some believers and negative remarks about others. There is a link to a Netweather article written by a third party around the current SSW and how it is causing model mayhem .


What are you wanting us to discuss?

Originally Posted by: Tim A 



One word: troll.

I'll give it until the end of today before this thread disappears into the ether.

Home location: Folkestone Harbour.
speckledjim
16 February 2018 14:13:47

Last year I started a topic which was very interesting to many but unfortunately the few did not like my predictions, however he who last first last laughs. It was ok for those bullies to ridicule me however , they sulked and reported me so I got blocked and my topic locked , shame on you . Enough said.

 

My weather prediction winter 2017 2018 was one to be remembered due to continue cold and Snow. i was right with predicting Snow XMas day and those who took my advice and had a punt at the bookies could had had a nice return with bets placed early enough. End of February is shaping up to close down the South of the country of which charts are showing - 10 to -15 being the norm for the South of the UK for a time.

Further information on this is now freely out there. I just like to thank those who privately supported me and shown interest. Its good to see that Scientist are sitting up with interest.  

 

 

 https://www.netweather.tv/weather-forecasts/news/8740-sudden-stratospheric-warming-brings-weather-model-mayhem

 

 

Originally Posted by: Christopher O'shea 

 

Where? Temperatures above average for Dec and Jan and not much snow to get excited about either. Are you a clone of James Madden?

Thorner, West Yorkshire



Journalism is organised gossip

Whiteout
16 February 2018 14:33:49

[quote=idj20;973245]



One word: troll.

I'll give it until the end of today before this thread disappears into the ether.

[/quote

Umm, what a great topic lol. Some light relief for a Friday afternoon before the 12z come out. 

Home/Work - Dartmoor

240m/785 ft asl

springsunshine
16 February 2018 19:44:53

Last year I started a topic which was very interesting to many but unfortunately the few did not like my predictions, however he who last first last laughs. It was ok for those bullies to ridicule me however , they sulked and reported me so I got blocked and my topic locked , shame on you . Enough said.

 

My weather prediction winter 2017 2018 was one to be remembered due to continue cold and Snow. i was right with predicting Snow XMas day and those who took my advice and had a punt at the bookies could had had a nice return with bets placed early enough. norm forEnd of Febrbeing thuary is shaping up to close down the South of the country of which charts are showing - 10 to -15 e the South of the UK for a time.

Further information on this is now freely out there. I just like to thank those who privately supported me and shown interest. Its good to see that Scientist are sitting up with interest.  

 

 

 https://www.netweather.tv/weather-forecasts/news/8740-sudden-stratospheric-warming-brings-weather-model-mayhem

 

 So where are these charts showing this??

-10 to-15 in any part of the uk at this time of year would be a 1 in 100 year event and impossible in the south. Also where did it snow in the uk last xmas day?

You are a nut job!

Originally Posted by: Christopher O'shea 

Christopher O'shea
17 February 2018 12:25:05
Thank you for the positive replies I am receiving.

It would be helpful for those who feel the need to use bullying tactics to engage with themselves and seek some calm. You really need to reflect on what has happened in your past to warrant calling people's names and making comparison when you don't even know them. You are rally letting yourself down you naughty naughty boys.

SJV
17 February 2018 12:27:55
Brian better be paying you for this.

Darren, James, etc, take note.

Christopher O'shea
17 February 2018 15:15:44
So Im a Nut Job .

I am glad Im not the only one who actually checks my facts before making long term predictions. Even in the weather world there are name caller and bullies .Which I had hoped I left behind on the previous thread instead of being followed by trolls.

https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twoother/twocontent.aspx?type=hp1_1_sta&id=1615 

picturesareme
17 February 2018 15:59:08

Has moomin resorted back to old ways of yesteryear under an alias?

Just kidding moomin  :)

picturesareme
17 February 2018 16:03:05

Last year I started a topic which was very interesting to many but unfortunately the few did not like my predictions, however he who last first last laughs. It was ok for those bullies to ridicule me however , they sulked and reported me so I got blocked and my topic locked , shame on you . Enough said.

 

My weather prediction winter 2017 2018 was one to be remembered due to continue cold and Snow. i was right with predicting Snow XMas day and those who took my advice and had a punt at the bookies could had had a nice return with bets placed early enough. End of February is shaping up to close down the South of the country of which charts are showing - 10 to -15 being the norm for the South of the UK for a time.

Further information on this is now freely out there. I just like to thank those who privately supported me and shown interest. Its good to see that Scientist are sitting up with interest.  

 

 

 https://www.netweather.tv/weather-forecasts/news/8740-sudden-stratospheric-warming-brings-weather-model-mayhem

 

 

Originally Posted by: Christopher O'shea 

Exaclty what charts are showing -10 to -15 even occurrng in the south let alone being the norm??

Or are confusing the 850's for actual temps? 

Christopher O'shea
20 February 2018 03:02:53

 

Exaclty what charts are showing -10 to -15 even occurrng in the south let alone being the norm??

Or are confusing the 850's for actual temps? 

Originally Posted by: picturesareme 

 

My ridiculous prediction which I Made a while back is becoming reality and the Weatheroutlook is now reporting the same as with the Met office, Record Breaking temperatures , Disruptive snow.. I made my predictions as early as December and got mocked. however some sensible folk saw that I could be right and made serious comments but that thread got shut down and I was barred from the site , but not the name callers or those who mocked me and still did until a few days ago. I was warned that this would happen though.

Move on I will.

Picturesareme.

A fellow Pompey neighbour. Thank you for your serious question. Having been brought up in the countryside of Warwickshire and gained much knowledge from nature and a different view of the changing Seasons which is no comparison to what I now experience living in a built up area in Pompey. After I moved here many years ago now I enjoyed working on the sea and gaining further knowledge from the weather charts. It became second nature to understand to some degree how to understand differing influences affecting the causes of weather events .

I have a condition 24/7 where pain varies and difficult to control. Notably during the changing air pressure I am somewhat affected much of the days, so not only instinct but varying difference in pain is a key to knowing when low pressures are moving in which goes some way as to why it feeds my interest in the Weather and as a consequence learning more of how air pressure, changing Moon cycles and the power of the Sun or lack of can affect the physiological actions of the body.

To answer your question. Believing my prediction was correct I checked previous years and a pattern was emerging from various information which is out there, including nature and natural influences. My friend and advisor informed me two full moons in a Month = Very wet weather for example. You have the experts who supply info regarding Sun Spots which are weakening since 1934 and  believed to be partly responsible for colder winters. I am minded of a very interesting program recently on the BBC about the effects of the moon on the world's weather and seas, it is worth a look. http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b09qjl7g 

 

There is no surprise February is generally known for frost however its been very wet, here in the South we seen more than our average rainfall and if temperature had dropped further we would had had a lot of disruptive snow this winter, good we didn't but all change next week, Weatheroutlooks Brian is now painting the picture which I spoke about, record breaking temperatures and disruptive snow so know need for me to repeat the outlook.

My reasoning behind the temperatures I quoted was based on the fact that the winds will be coming from very cold climbs and at times from Siberia with the South taking a direct hit so -10 downwards will not be surprising to see given the windchill although at times not the constant. I haven't mentioned the Stratospheric warming event which took place recently only because changes are already a foot and as a consequence it may have triggered the reaction to draw in the colder air but , I will leave that for the scientist to debate. My prediction was that it was going to happen anyway.

 

The Met office have a multi-million pound computer crunching the figures and when that gets confused as it has done recently then the people at the Met office had to make informed choices for it based on experience etc.. showing that the best technology is still no match for human intervention, Yet ? But also reaffirming that weather forecasting is not a perfect science and yet our forefathers managed for thousand of years without the Weatherman to do a very good job. 

Thank you for taking time out to reply and look forward to more chat.

 

 

 

 

 

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
20 February 2018 08:19:35

 My friend and advisor informed me two full moons in a Month = Very wet weather for example.  

Originally Posted by: Christopher O'shea 

On this point - this claim must be invalid. Full moons occur every 28 days regardless. We humans chop the year up into arbitrary units of 30/31 days but our decision to do this can't possibly affect the weather. 

Keep to ideas which have an outside chance of being correct, or all will be discredited.

War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

Christopher O'shea
20 February 2018 10:19:18

 

On this point - this claim must be invalid. Full moons occur every 28 days regardless. We humans chop the year up into arbitrary units of 30/31 days but our decision to do this can't possibly affect the weather. 

Keep to ideas which have an outside chance of being correct, or all will be discredited.

Originally Posted by: DEW 

 

Still debated by science.

Fact that Moon's influences our Seas and Weather creating a greater chance of tidal flooding and higher water levels being affected finding precipitation rising.

Also findings suggest that the moon cause magnetosphere distortion and noted to allow more ionised particles from space into our atmosphere triggering rain once clashing with our clouds.

 

Justin W
20 February 2018 10:21:14

 

 

Still debated by science.

Fact that Moon's influences our Seas and Weather creating a greater chance of tidal flooding and higher water levels being affected finding precipitation rising.

Also findings suggest that the moon cause magnetosphere distortion and noted to allow more ionised particles from space into our atmosphere triggering rain once clashing with our clouds.

 

Originally Posted by: Christopher O'shea 

Is this raw output from Google Translate?

Yo yo yo. 148-3 to the 3 to the 6 to the 9, representing the ABQ, what up, biatch?
Christopher O'shea
20 February 2018 10:27:18

 

Is this raw output from Google Translate?

Originally Posted by: Justin W 

 

The Atmospheric Times actually .

Russwirral
20 February 2018 10:38:25
Christopher O'shea
20 February 2018 10:54:40

Im confused, is this a serious thread?

Originally Posted by: Russwirral 

 

I should had put out a warning too only engage where input is relevant as some could get confused .

Christopher O'shea
21 February 2018 01:49:25
For what it's worth. I don't have any formal weather training and complete amatuer, which I can and never deny and does flag up in my explanation. For someone such as I to commit and stick to my long term forecast even though no formal charts were out there at the time the methodology is pretty cool when multi million pound computer are struggling. I note latest report by on the BBC tonight is that they have no idea how far the cold is going to push across the UK, I thought go on guys take an educated guess. It's not just going to knock on the South's door and clear off, Is it ?

Folk making a predictions from spring 2017 for the year ahead with amazing accuracy using Nature and the Moon and have been 97% correct , well done you. I note a blonde Weather presenter on ITV made a dig at one of these alternative Weather forecasters stating she had a state of the art computer and he uses Seaweed . She being a presenter on a fee of £5500 thought it was funny to mock, but she was wrong in her forecast as with in 24 hours the Met office changed their forecast in keeping with what a certain Gent gave out on air.

This week converntail weather forecasters are now comparing this cold setup two at least two previous cold events. The informations out there and remember '' He who laugh last laughs the longest '' as there's a lot of critics who are quick to mock folks methodology who are now kicking their heels with egg on there faces.

Christopher O'shea
21 February 2018 01:50:17

For what it's worth. I don't have any formal weather training and complete amatuer, which I can and never deny and does flag up in my explanations. For someone such as I to commit and stick to my long term forecast even though no formal charts were out there at the time the methodology is pretty cool when multi million pound computer are struggling. I note latest report by on the BBC tonight is that they have no idea how far the cold is going to push across the UK, I thought go on guys take an educated guess. It's not just going to knock on the South's door and clear off, Is it ?

Folk making a predictions from spring 2017 for the year ahead with amazing accuracy using Nature and the Moon and have been 97% correct , well done you. I note a blonde Weather presenter on ITV made a dig at one of these alternative Weather forecasters stating she had a state of the art computer and he uses Seaweed . She being a presenter on a fee of £5500 thought it was funny to mock, but she was wrong in her forecast as with in 24 hours the Met office changed their forecast in keeping with what a certain Gent gave out on air.

This week converntail weather forecasters are now comparing this cold setup two at least two previous cold events. The informations out there and remember '' He who laugh last laughs the longest '' as there's a lot of critics who are quick to mock folks methodology who are now kicking their heels with egg on there faces.

Originally Posted by: Christopher O'shea 

springsunshine
21 February 2018 19:20:03

For what it's worth. I don't have any formal weather training and complete amatuer, which I can and never deny and does flag up in my explanation. For someone such as I to commit and stick to my long term forecast even though no formal charts were out there at the time the methodology is pretty cool when multi million pound computer are struggling. I note latest report by on the BBC tonight is that they have no idea how far the cold is going to push across the UK, I thought go on guys take an educated guess. It's not just going to knock on the South's door and clear off, Is it ?

Folk making a predictions from spring 2017 for the year ahead with amazing accuracy using Nature and the Moon and have been 97% correct , well done you. I note a blonde Weather presenter on ITV made a dig at one of these alternative Weather forecasters stating she had a state of the art computer and he uses Seaweed . She being a presenter on a fee of £5500 thought it was funny to mock, but she was wrong in her forecast as with in 24 hours the Met office changed their forecast in keeping with what a certain Gent gave out on air.

This week converntail weather forecasters are now comparing this cold setup two at least two previous cold events. The informations out there and remember '' He who laugh last laughs the longest '' as there's a lot of critics who are quick to mock folks methodology who are now kicking their heels with egg on there faces.

Originally Posted by: Christopher O'shea 

So what is your methodology for long term forecasting and what are your predictions for 2018? Just asking out of interest as im sure others on here are.

Christopher O'shea
24 February 2018 04:06:14



One word: troll.

I'll give it until the end of today before this thread disappears into the ether.

Originally Posted by: idj20 

 

Why please explain ?

Christopher O'shea
24 February 2018 04:08:20

 

 

Where? Temperatures above average for Dec and Jan and not much snow to get excited about either. Are you a clone of James Madden?

Originally Posted by: speckledjim 

 

Your not related to him by any chance , making statements which are incorrect and an insult to other professional on here ?

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