Well this month has been a total basket of dog eggs as far as model signals versus reality go; a strong and persistent low heights signal over Greenland totally failed to materialise for mid-month and has instead taken until the final days of the month to come together.
Too little, too late to save the situation following over a week of mostly negative returns when they were expected to be predominantly positive.
Perhaps next year I'll ditch trying to guide my estimates with the various model outputs for days 1-21, leaving it largely down to 'gut instinct' as I did during the early years of my time on here (aside from the first 5-7 days obviously) and we can see how well that fares 
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https://twitter.com/peacockreports 2021's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.4°C 21st Jul | T-Min: -6.8°C New Years Day! | Wettest Day: 34.1mm 2nd Oct | Ice Days: 2 (27th Jan & 8th Feb)
Keep Calm and Forecast On