Still no Hadley figure then!  Although it's not the first time it's been offline. 

Still no Hadley figure then!  Although it's not the first time it's been offline. 

Hope they're back soon.

Well... raw values from the somewhat insane GFS 12z run suggest my local mean to dip to around 17.4*C to the end of Friday before climbing relentlessly upward to finish the month at between 18.6 and 19.0*C. 

Allowing for typical underestimation of temperatures and a finish some way into the 19s is a reasonable interpretation from that particular run.

A very rough CET estimate given the lack of recent updates places the finishing number using this run as between 18.0 and 18.5*C. 

This is of course just for fun because support is very limited for such events to take place as that op run depicts; just 5 GEFS members go into anything like that sort of territory for heat late-month, and the other models pretty much don't want to know about much other than a cut-off low nearby this weekend that drifts across Mon-Tue before finally clearing away east but with only tenuous ridging from the Azores. No 19s finishes here from those runs, or 18s for the CET region for that matter.

Could still achieve a respectable final number though, down to some fairly mild nights at least; this relating to a propensity for a lot of tropical maritime air to be fired our way across the Atlantic by some deep troughs near Greenland.

IT'S BACK!!!!!!! 

Met Office Hadley            17.4c.         Anomaly        1.5c.. Provisional to 17th.

Metcheck                         17.58c.      Anomaly         1.12c.

Netweather                      17.94c.      Anomaly         1.45c.

Peasedown St John        18.8c.         Anomaly        0.6c.   

Heh heh!  Well done Art; they had to let it out eventually.

 Met Office Hadley near my prediction of 17.52 for this month. 

Met Office Hadley       17.5c.         Anomaly       1.6c.  provisional to 18th.

Metcheck                    17.68c.       Anomaly       1.22c.

Netweather                 18.04c.       Anomaly       1.54c.

Peasedown St John    19.0c.         Anomaly        0.8c.

Met Office Hadley            17.6c.           Anomaly     1.7c.   Provisional to 19th.

Metcheck                         17.72c.         Anomaly      1.26c.

Netweather                      18.1c.           Anomaly       1.61c.

Peasedown St John        19.0c.           Anomaly      0.8c.     

Met Office Hadley          17.5c.       Anomaly       1.6c. Provisional to 20th.

Metcheck                       17.59c.     Anomaly       1.13c.

Netweather                    18.0c.       Anomaly       1.51c.

Peasedown St John         18.9c        Anomaly       0.7c.

Met Office Hadley          17.5c.        Anomaly   1.5c. Provisional to 21st.

Metcheck                       17.51c.      Anomaly    1.05c.

Netweather                    17.95c.      Anomaly    1.46c.

Peasedown St John     18.7c.          Anomaly    0.5c.   

Met Office Hadley          17.4c.       Anomaly     1.4c. Provisional to 22nd.

Metcheck                       17.34c.     Anomaly     0.88c.

Netweather                    17.83c.     Anomaly     1.34c.

Peasedown St John     18.5c.        Anomaly      0.3c. 

Some Of the others.

Metcheck     17.27c.    Anomaly     0.8i1c.

Netweather   17.71c.   Anomaly     1.22c.

Peasedown St John  18.3c. Anomaly 0.1c.     

Met Office Hadley           17.3c.     Anomaly      1.3c. Provisional to 24th.

Metcheck                        17.20c.   Anomaly      0.74c.

Netweather                     17.64c.   Anomaly      1.15c.

Peasedown St John      18.3c.        Anomaly     0.1c.   

18.3 here (+1.1)

Met Office Hadley         17.3c.      Anomaly       1.3c.    Provisional to  25th.

Metcheck                      17.20c     Anomaly       0.74c.   

Netweather                   17.6.       Anomaly       0.1c.

Peasedown St John       18.4c.     Anomaly        0.2c.   

Met Office Hadley         17.3c.      Anomaly       1.3c.    Provisional to  25th.

Metcheck                      17.20c     Anomaly       0.74c.   

Netweather                   17.6.       Anomaly       0.1c.

Peasedown St John       18.4c.     Anomaly        0.2c.   

Thanks for the update Art; it's holding up well after a few cooler days & even two chilly nights.

I'm guesstimating the CET will end up somewhere in the region of 17.0 - 17.1c. 

Currently here in Dover the monthly mean is  18.2c.

Certainly July is going to be another warmer than the l.t.a. month, to add to June.

Taking CET figures then, one of the warmer summers in the long term record based on the first 2 months, if there are any statos around it would be interesting to see where June and July taken together ranks temperature-wise compared to existing records.

Met Office Hadley  DAY 4 on 17.3c.

Met Office Hadley          17.3c.         Anomaly     1.3c.  provisional to 26th.

Metcheck                       17.16c.         Anomaly      0.69c.

Netweather                    17.58c.       Anomaly      1.09c.

Peasedown St John      18.4c.         Anomaly      0.2c.              

It just needs to rise a couple of points for me but the outlook isn't giving me a lot of faith at the moment.