The UKMet op at +144 looks terrific to me with the Scandinavian HP being reinforced by the legion of the north. Can't see what all the gloom is about
And here goes my contribution!!.
The GFS, and UKMO and ECMWF have basically downgraded at the 144hrs, and a just 72 hour whiff Wednesday night through to Saturday morning it brings in cold air but then they have been affected by less cold 500hPa heights though 2m and the 850's should during that time be on the cold side but it loolks dryish to me.
On Either Thursday or Friday and early on or during all we can carry on with a bit of wishful thinking but the Atlantic North has actually pushed it out from Wednesday 8th...
Not much confidence on GFS, though UKMO maybe on to something but this evening ECMWF still we await, good 12z GEM at 144 but it naturally follows GFS in time🙂😂.
Update~>. The Thursday to Saturday SE tracking Low to Spain is a corker the big Q is will there be any significant précis along the low level continental SE flow that is forced by the NE Europe High over it?.
Edited by user
Friday, February 3, 2017 5:31:10 PM
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Reason: Not Specified
Climate is warming up, Scotland and N Ireland and North England still often gets some Winter frost, ice and snow, November to March, but the SE and South UK including S Central England and Wales, together with the West and North through the year, they sometimes get more rain than London and S SE England, where some longer dry fine spells without much heavy rain is seen every year.
The North Atlantic Sea often gets some much Colder Wintry conditions from November to March Months, and Mild SW and South winds tend to be more frequent over the East and SE of North Atlantic Sea, as the Azores High tends to stay in charge.
With this warmth and heat, the Central and South UK has become mostly free of snow and frost.