August starts off at 21.8 to 1st!

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

Suspect we'll see that lower somewhat in the next few weeks.

Wouldn't it be fantastic to have a whole month at that level. An entire month of days like yesterday would be utter perfection.

August starts off at 21.8 to 1st!

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

Suspect we'll see that lower somewhat in the next few weeks.

Wouldn't it be fantastic to have a whole month at that level. An entire month of days like yesterday would be utter perfection.

Perhaps when global warming's done it's worst we'll get to expriance a 21-22c CET summer month!

August starts off at 21.8 to 1st!

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

Suspect we'll see that lower somewhat in the next few weeks.

Wouldn't it be fantastic to have a whole month at that level. An entire month of days like yesterday would be utter perfection.

Perhaps when global warming's done it's worst we'll get to expriance a 21-22c CET summer month!

An ever larger part of me thinks that it won't take that; given the likely link between solar activity and jet stream behaviour, if the next solar cycle turns out to be as weak as predicted, it might give rise to locked-in blocked patterns the likes of which we haven't seen in living memory.

While that would favour very cold winters, this July has proved that even after an exceptionally cold March and the legacy that leaves in the SSTs, a very warm month can still be achieved through a blocked pattern. So what if we get the pattern locked into something very warm for the UK (in terms of the synoptic pattern) for an even longer period of time and after an average (let alone warmer than average) late winter and early-mid spring?

Something to ponder over/dream about

My Mean  20.6c.

N-W        20.7c.     Anomaly    4.5c.

Metcheck    20.38c.  Anomaly   4.16c.

Met Office Hadley   21.0c.  Anomaly  4.9c.   Provisional  to 2nd.

Nemi is having problems logging in at the moment, he would like 16.9C (he actually asked this yesterday, so if there are any late penalties can these be waived? )

Sure no problem

Here are the predictions for August. There are 66 in total. The general consensus is for another above average month.

My Mean   19.5c.

Metcheck  19.63c.    Anomaly  3.40c. 

N-W        19.88c.      Anomaly  3.68c. 

Met Office Hadley  19.9c.   Anomaly 3.8c.   Provisional   to 3rd.

Here are the predictions for August. There are 66 in total. The general consensus is for another above average month.

Nice Chart ...3.40c. Difference between top and bottom..

August starts off at 21.8 to 1st!

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

Suspect we'll see that lower somewhat in the next few weeks.

Wouldn't it be fantastic to have a whole month at that level. An entire month of days like yesterday would be utter perfection.

Perhaps when global warming's done it's worst we'll get to expriance a 21-22c CET summer month!

An ever larger part of me thinks that it won't take that; given the likely link between solar activity and jet stream behaviour, if the next solar cycle turns out to be as weak as predicted, it might give rise to locked-in blocked patterns the likes of which we haven't seen in living memory.

While that would favour very cold winters, this July has proved that even after an exceptionally cold March and the legacy that leaves in the SSTs, a very warm month can still be achieved through a blocked pattern. So what if we get the pattern locked into something very warm for the UK (in terms of the synoptic pattern) for an even longer period of time and after an average (let alone warmer than average) late winter and early-mid spring?

Something to ponder over/dream about

Now that's an excellent thought.

 My   Mean    18.7c.

Met Office Hadley   19.2c.   Anomaly  3.0c.    Provisional  to 4th.

Metcheck      19.22c.      Anomaly    2.99c.

N-W       19.47c.        Anomaly      3.27c.

Met Office Hadley  18.9c.    Anomaly  2.76c.   Provisional  to  5th.

Metcheck      18.56c..  Anomaly  2.34c.

N-W        19.79c.    Anomaly     2.59c.

My mean     18.4c.

Met Office Hadley   18.2c.   Anomaly  2.1c.   prvisional to 6th

N-W     18.4c.     Anomaly    2.2c.

Metcheck  18.16c.  Anomaly  1.93c.

  My Mean 18.0c.

Met Office Hadley  17.9c.  Anomaly  1.9c.  Provisional  to 7th.

Metcheck 17.86c.  Anomaly  1.63c.

N-W      18.12c.   Anomaly    1.92c.

My  Mean   17.8c.

17.9C

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

That's good for the first week.

Hope we don't fall too much further.

Met Office Hadley  17.6c.   Anomaly   1.6c.  Provisional to 8th.

Metcheck     17.9c   Anomaly  1.69c.

N-W        18.2c.    Anomaly  2.0c.

My Mean  18.0c.

The cool Tuesday night knocked it down a bit.

Met Office Hadley 17.6c.   Anomaly 1.6c.  Provisional to 9th.

Metcheck             17.75c.  Anomaly  1.53c.

N-W                     18.03c  Anomaly   1.83c

 My  Mean             18.0c.

A hot start to the month - I get a CET of 23C for the first day which is much higher than Hadley. Only 2 days in July 2006 were warmer than the 1st of August this year.

The temperature is now drifting back towards average and my prediction calls for the mean CET to track the 1981-2010 mean over the next 2 weeks. So looking like a very average month overall unless the final week brings something different.

Met Office Hadley 17.5c. Anomaly 1.5c. Provisional to 10th

N-W          17.9c  Anomaly  1.7c.

 Metcheck   17.64c. Anomaly 1.42c.

My    Mean  17.9c.