Tricky one this - looking set for a steady slide after a very warm initial day or two, but with the possibility of some form of recovery later on in the month if another summery spell manages to find its way to us.
Most unhelpful of all is the potential for troughing across Europe to interfere with the broad pattern and keep/feed warm to hot air across England in particular. The models aren't very keen this evening, yet the idea refuses to subside completely.
Then there's a potential ex-tropical feature which ECM has turned into a violent storm two runs in a row.
Going for an uncertain 16.7°C
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https://twitter.com/peacockreports 2021's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.4°C 21st Jul | T-Min: -6.8°C New Years Day! | Wettest Day: 34.1mm 2nd Oct | Ice Days: 2 (27th Jan & 8th Feb)
Keep Calm and Forecast On