Thank you for the info kev.

Im looking forward to the slot dedicated to the weather on this morning Monday the 5th between 1040 and 11am. Should the schedule not be changed, an insight of how nature can tell us of future weather events many months in advance.

Chris, I have dipped into this thread from time to time and the consistent themes are your strangely arrogant attitude, your refusal to engage in any meaningful discussion and the seemingly large chip on your shoulder. 

All you have to do is describe your approach and techniques, give some solid proof and engage in proper discusssion. It's not at all difficult unless you're not interested.

Statement I made 8th Jan 2017 Looking ahead to mid Jan much colder weather is going to hit the UK for sometime. Result = Folk were aloud to take the piss with out reprimand , but I got barred for quoting a few lines from Showaddywaddy.

Statement I made on the 16th Feb 2018 .End of February is shaping up to close down the South of the country of which charts are showing - 10 to -15 being the norm for the South of the UK for a time. Result = Folk aloud to take the piss call me names, defame my character and they still here.

Whether it's just me there is so much information available to any weather watcher that they can make a informed prediction. I sense there a lot of embarrassed folk on this site judging by the insults I received whilst proving them wrong. No apologies which really is beneath those.

Please remember I started the topic with good intention and got clouted playground bullies. Respectfully Caz told me to ignore them however they wasn't reprimanded and kicked off site for a period of time.

Sadly folk are still suffering the fall out of the disruptive weather and it's still not done with us as the milder conditions is just a lull before winter bites again even in parts of southern Uk.

Having stated that the winter will be with us for sometime I can finally see a final improvement in the weather conditions over the UK however 4 more weeks and spring will finally be here. Thank goodness. In the meantime enjoy the incoming snow.

I think you will be right on this.One of my observations over the years has been cold februarys mean late springs and mild februarys,eg Feb 2011 and 2017 mean early springs.

Bitter cold returns this weekend with some #snow. The air on the whole looks too dry for widespread disruption just flurries, but shower streams could bring some localised issues, perhaps Kent, also Lincs to East Midlands with longer sea-track.

https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twocommunity/default.aspx?g=posts&t=18470

I was just looking at my Topic I started above 8th Jan which i got barred from weather outlook for a time. It certainly shows that there is something to say for the alternative weather club. Making long term predictions is no joke and takes great skill and knowledge. A friend of mine has been hitting the headlines for his Annual predictions and his book is selling out no sooner than they go to press , so well done mate. I promised I wouldn't mention his name through fear of ridicule again and possible law suits should his character be defamed.

Spring being 4 weeks late which as been the case and yet the Met office were adamant it was not. I praise Brian  on Weather Outlook, for being more productive with his forecast and looking further in to the meteorological future with excellent results, may be the man has the advantage of experience of the countryside and looks at what nature is doing,

I was hoping personally for the cold to hurry up and go but even Easters looking chilly with Sunnier interludes on Easter sunday with chill in the air but dry. I better be right as the Mrs has now booked a Car boot. 

Back to the here and now. The Met office has forecast the likelihood of snow dependent on the low pushing up from Italy however if the Isobars snake to the right of Southern counties moisture could be dragged in from the east creating further chance of the white stuff.

Stay warm and safe and remember the infirm.

A great call. Christopher. Bang on with that. Well done. 

Are you going to do a Summer LRF ? 

Sorry, I'm less impressed. The actual prediction posted on Jan 8th was

Looking ahead to mid Jan much colder weather is going to hit the UK for sometime

 ' mid Jan ...for sometime' implies that Jan should have been the cold month, not March

I do get your point however there is sufficient information with in my posting to show it was not dedicated to just January, I made '' According to many longterm advanced member claims which could never happen and that there is no evidence on any charts to suggest this.'' I will be smug and not arrogant, as one suggested, I told you so. 

Ah now. Christopher. I'm not sure that you have cause to be smug just yet. All I can see is that you made a forecast that suggested that there would be "much colder weather" from mid-January. The cold weather arrived 6 weeks later than mid-January. However, being charitable, I will accept that the week or so of much colder weather in late Feb/early March and another couple of cold days next weekend means that your forecast was just about correct(though the cold didn't go on for "some time"). However, it doesn't exactly make you an expert forecaster to basically forecast a period of "much colder weather" in the two month period following mid-January. You could forecast that in the majority of winters and be correct. It amounts to stopped clock forecasting - bound to be correct twice a day.

Let's see if I can forecast as well as you. I forecast a period of much warmer weather this summer after the beginning of July. Watch this space and see if I'm correct...... 

With respect Lionel. You have not read the topic The point I did make earlier is that I am a complete amateur proving that any one can make informed forecasting using common sense , seeing what Mother Nature is doing and other factors, plenty of alternative info out there rather than number crunching. 

If you made a reasonably detailed forecast that has since been shown to be correct, then fair play to you and I'd be interested to know what methods you use. Who knows, there could be something to it. However, I haven't seen anything that suggests that you made any such forecast apart from the "much colder after mid-January".

I wonder how Bonacina would categorise this season, now?