Model runs over the past week have suggested anything between 13.9*C and 15.9*C to be possible so that's helpful
Seeing a consistent signal for a lot of warm air to move NE from the N. Atlantic toward the UK so even if it's mostly via balmy nights I can see plenty of relatively high CET returns for the middle part of the month at least.
Enough that I'm prepared to be a little bold and go for 15.4*C.
Hopefully September can recover 2017's reputation a bit after such a shortfall relative to the consistent signals back in July for some decent warmth on multiple occasions in August.
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[email protected] https://twitter.com/peacockreports 2023's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.2°C 9th Sep (...!) | T-Min: -7.1°C 22nd & 23rd Jan | Wettest Day: 25.9mm 2nd Nov | Ice Days: 1 (2nd Dec -1.3°C in freezing fog)
Keep Calm and Forecast On