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ARTzeman
28 February 2015 09:34:31

Normal 31 day month and it might have gone up a little....






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
28 February 2015 11:03:19

Met Office Hadley    4.1c.      Anomaly      0.3c      Provisional  to  27th.


Metcheck                3.88c.    Anomaly     -0.32c.


N-W                        4.13c.    Anomaly     -0.08c.     


Metcheck                2.9c.       Anomaly     -1.3c.


My Mean                 3.6c.      Anomaly      -2.1c.






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Global Warming
01 March 2015 10:53:42
Grandad
01 March 2015 12:56:15


So Feb was in the end the first negative month since Aug....
At least I spotted a negative month, though I was about 2C too low!!

-0.19C vs the 1971- 2000 and -0.35C vs the 1981 - 2010.

Not far off a neutral 3 months of winter.
I am sure GW will correct me shortly!!.


 


Edit - Caz absolutely brilliant guess...... (what a shame)   frownundecidedsurprised


Never mind... The good news is you are still miles better than my guess.embarassedlaughinglaughing

Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
01 March 2015 13:28:12

Thanks Grandad!  I'm not celebrating yet until GW gives us the final figure and then works out my penalties for being late. 


Actually, if I'd seen the output and known how cold it had been here while I was on holiday, I might have guessed lower.  But when I saw I was late, I panicked and hastily plucked a figure out of thin air. 


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
ARTzeman
01 March 2015 13:51:17

Over on t' other side  N-W  have it 4.03c.  with an adjustment of  0.1c.    






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Global Warming
01 March 2015 16:59:52

Congratulations to Caz, GezM and speckedjim who all predicted 4.0C.


Here are the detailed stats for February


Interestingly Rothamsted was much cooler than Stonyhurst.


Global Warming
01 March 2015 17:13:07

Here are the charts for February. Both the maximum and minimum CET were 0.2C below average


CET for 1-11 Feb 2.2C (-2.3C)


CET for 12-28 Feb 5.2C (+1.1C)


So a cold start to the month but then rather mild for the final couple of weeks.


Global Warming
01 March 2015 17:27:09

The final winter CET came in at 4.54C which is almost exactly in line with both the 1971-2000 and 1981-2010 mean.


A very similar temperature profile to the 1983/4 winter. Much cooler than last year of course.


CET 1-25 Dec 5.8C (+0.6C)


CET 26-31 Dec 2.4C (-2.2C)


CET 1-16 Jan 6.0C (+1.7C)


CET 17-24 Jan 1.2C (-3.1C)


CET 25-28 Jan 5.7C (+1.8C)


CET 29 Jan to 11 Feb 2.3C (-2.0C)


CET 12-28 Feb 5.2C (+1.1C)


We had three distinct spells of cold weather during the winter, the first lasting 6 days, the second 8 days and the last 14 days. There was only limited snowfall away from the hills but nevertheless plenty of interest for cold weather fans this winter.


Global Warming
01 March 2015 19:28:00

CET annual prediction competition - February update


Here are the latest tables to the end of February. Unfortunately Caz is no longer at the top of the table despite her excellent prediction in February. As the prediction was very late it incurred a hefty penalty.


Our new leader is John S2 followed closely by Dingle Rob.


Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
01 March 2015 21:37:57

  Oh dear, my late penalty has lost me 19 places.    


Never mind, at least I've seen the view from the top and thankfully my February guess was accepted, which means I won't have missed a month in the competition and it's the taking part that counts! 


Thank you GW!  Keep up the good work! 


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
Hungry Tiger
03 March 2015 22:40:30

Cheers and thanks for that. I lost a bit as I was 0.5C out - A bit more than I thought. February ended up a fraction milder than I thought.


Anyway - its all good fun.


 


 


Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


Grandad
04 March 2015 20:42:07

Global Warming,

I have only just seen your stats post for the CET for february broken down by individual station.
Thank you for that.....
Certainly doesn't seem to be that much agreement on many dates, but overall the final CET is correct.

Not sure why there should be this variations. But heyho as long as it comes out right at the end.
Snow Hoper
05 March 2015 07:32:59

Thanks GW, I think that's the highest I've ever been.


Going to war over religion is like killing each other to see who has the better imaginary friend.


Home : Thorndon, Suffolk.

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