I have tried searching Rtavn061, 062, 063, 064, 065, 067 all of these display other DATA maps!.

The Weatheroutlook is very wet and often Stormy, even today as we all know and there is another 8 days of bad weather to com, and some days wintry showers with temperatures night and day average or slightly below average for time of year.

I hope the experts can assist in this query?.

Oh my god, I found it myself now I just make it easily accessible by the way skystef.be still shows the old charts but I chose this other method anyway.http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn0615.gif 

Amazing chart from the west -10 almost into western ireland

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rgme662.html

Not bad - widespread uppers at or below -5 and from the Atlantic, just shows how cold it is over the other side of pond.

http://modeles2.meteociel.fr/modeles_gfs/runs/2014020812/81-7UK.GIF?08-12

And the risk of snow especially in the west, could be a fair few cm for some of us by Wednesday morning.

http://modeles2.meteociel.fr/modeles_gfs/runs/2014020812/69-574UK.GIF?08-12

http://modeles2.meteociel.fr/modeles_gfs/runs/2014020812/72-574UK.GIF?08-12

http://modeles2.meteociel.fr/modeles_gfs/runs/2014020812/78-574UK.GIF?08-12

http://modeles2.meteociel.fr/modeles_gfs/runs/2014020812/84-574UK.GIF?08-12

Good evening. Here is tonight's report on the 12z outputs from GFS, UKMO, GEM, NAVGEM and ECM for today Saturday February 8th 2014 and taken from my website at http://www.norton-radstockweather.co.uk/Model-Analysis(2859336).htm

All models show a deep depression near Northern Ireland drifting North through Scotland tomorrow and away to the North thereafter filling steadily. A very showery period is to come with some heavy and thundery showers in places but with some drier spells too, these becoming more prevalent through Monday. On Tuesday a vigorous trough looks like tracking East over the UK with squally winds and heavy rain sweeping East followed by further showers.

GFS then shows further unsettled weather thereafter as the blustery Atlantic theme continues with further vigorous Lows delivering further spells of rain and gales towards the end of next week and weekend. Through the latter stages tonight the theme is still generally an unsettled one but with a little more in the way of drier weather possible between rain bouts later.

The GFS Ensembles show a reduction in rain amounts later in the run but until then it's more of the same from most members with rain and showers at times. There is a lot of spread between the members later in the run.

UKMO tonight shows complex Low pressure over the West of the UK later next week with further rain at times in less strong winds than of late and with temperatures close to average. The rain could be heavy in places especially towards the west and South-west.

GEM maintains very unsettled conditions tonight throughout the final section of it's run with strong winds and heavy rain at times continuing to dominate the UK weather. A ridge of High pressure does edge in from the West at Day 10 to bring a temporary respite from the wet of late.

NAVGEM shows next weekend as unsettled and probably a little chilly with Westerly winds decreasing with time but continuing to feed occasional rain and showers across the UK with snow on hills of the North.

ECM tonight tries it's hardest to get us into something a little drier and more average instead of the extreme conditions that has afflicted the UK for so long now. We have another week or so before such improvements become apparent due to Low pressure moving to more Northerly latitudes taking the heavier rain and windier conditions with them.

The Jet Stream Summary shows the flow remaining in an Eastwards motion across the Atlantic and through France and Spain. Through Week 2 the flow shows signs of migrating Northward over the British Isles.

In Summary tonight the weather remains generally quite unsettled and windy with heavy rain and gales at times for the next week at least. There are some indications of a slow improvement through Week 2 as the pattern weakens and the Jet flow steers Low pressure areas further North. I get the feeling though that improvements at a meaningful level are going to occur painfully slowly with many rocky roads to negotiate along the way and even probable setbacks.

Thanks Martin.

One step forward, two steps back with my eye's AND with any change to drier weather at the moment.

I am truly fascinated by this minature storm that keeps cropping up on various model runs. The ECM version is particularly striking in terms of having an intense but highly confined wind field - just like a small tropical storm.

It does have it's origins in the tropics, so it's funny that it should maintain that sort of appearance across thousands of miles of the Atlantic - the vast temperature contrast that it encounters seems to give it the energy to survive as an independant systems on runs like the ECM and GEM 12z.  UKMO is close.

It could well wrap some cold air into it and create a snow event, especially if it causes the nearby/associated front to slow and be overrun by cold air streaming in from the west.

GFS is completely out of kilter with the others regarding that system (sent hurtling into France), so perhaps it's not to be taken too seriously tonight. For once, the least credible output is the one with the lowest chance of a snow event!

Well the the one good thing - if there is anything to teleconnections - is that the Pineapple Express now appears to be gearing up with a vengeance.

Without intending to go OT - I wonder what sort of temperatures Cyprus will get from a synoptic chart like that.

No more wrong than any sustained period of samey type weather - such as Winter 62-63, Summer 76, Winter's of 2009-10/2010-11 etc. Just the way the weather cookie crumbles. It is interesting though that this prolonged period of cyclonic waether was preceeded by an unusully long period of the anticyclonic type.

Here in Ireland, although very wet and as equally unsettled as the UK, very few period records broken regarding rainfall - we've certainly had wetter winters, and certainly no wind speed records broken either.

http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2014020818/gfs-0-102.png?18

http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2014020818/gfs-0-126.png?18

Queing up

 Give us a break

On the +186 frame of GFS it almost looks like the next low is disrupting?

Either that or I've had one too many Captain Morgans Spiced Recipe LOL

Well it looks like the 18Z wants me to win the bet :P

Signs of something that most people will appreciate anyway. 

http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/2014/02/08/basis18/ukuk/rart/14021112_2_0818.gif

http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/2014/02/08/basis18/ukuk/rart/14021118_2_0818.gif

J F F At least some will see snow ...............according to GFS

http://modeles2.meteociel.fr/modeles_gfs/runs/2014020818/138-289UK.GIF?08-18

Have we done something to irritate the GFS model? The storm is not only still there on the 18z, it's further south too!

Before then, the SE'rn third should keep one eye on possible rainfall Monday night, as GFS has been edging this NW with each new operational run and it now affects quite a large area for a fair number of hours:

http://modeles2.meteociel.fr/modeles_gfs/runs/2014020818/33-779UK.GIF?08-18

...but WRF doesn't have quite as much precipitation and NAE just shows some showers so this is far from settled.

The Tuesday system is different again - the secondary low is a bit further north and more developed compared with the 12z, and this influences the frontal system enough to produce some back-end snowfall even across the south.

There are so many uknowns from tomorrow night onwards, it feels like the models have been out down the pub too often.

http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gens/run/gensnh-0-1-312.png?18

Not for the first time the control is keen on a colder flow

Shame the Control is out on its own on this one though or at least in terms of the depth of cold carried on the easterly.

http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/fax/fax24s.gif?08-18 

And ask yourself, where is there any high pressure? There is not one centre of high pressure showing anywhere.

The highest isobar showing I can work out is 1028mb way down towards the Azores and that is it in that whole area which covers many hundreds of square miles.