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August starts off at 21.8 to 1st!http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.htmlSuspect we'll see that lower somewhat in the next few weeks.
August starts off at 21.8 to 1st!
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html
Suspect we'll see that lower somewhat in the next few weeks.
Wouldn't it be fantastic to have a whole month at that level. An entire month of days like yesterday would be utter perfection.
August starts off at 21.8 to 1st!http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.htmlSuspect we'll see that lower somewhat in the next few weeks.Wouldn't it be fantastic to have a whole month at that level. An entire month of days like yesterday would be utter perfection.
Perhaps when global warming's done it's worst we'll get to expriance a 21-22c CET summer month!
August starts off at 21.8 to 1st!http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.htmlSuspect we'll see that lower somewhat in the next few weeks.Wouldn't it be fantastic to have a whole month at that level. An entire month of days like yesterday would be utter perfection.Perhaps when global warming's done it's worst we'll get to expriance a 21-22c CET summer month!
An ever larger part of me thinks that it won't take that; given the likely link between solar activity and jet stream behaviour, if the next solar cycle turns out to be as weak as predicted, it might give rise to locked-in blocked patterns the likes of which we haven't seen in living memory.
While that would favour very cold winters, this July has proved that even after an exceptionally cold March and the legacy that leaves in the SSTs, a very warm month can still be achieved through a blocked pattern. So what if we get the pattern locked into something very warm for the UK (in terms of the synoptic pattern) for an even longer period of time and after an average (let alone warmer than average) late winter and early-mid spring?
Something to ponder over/dream about
My Mean 20.6c.
N-W 20.7c. Anomaly 4.5c.
Metcheck 20.38c. Anomaly 4.16c.
Met Office Hadley 21.0c. Anomaly 4.9c. Provisional to 2nd.
Nemi is having problems logging in at the moment, he would like 16.9C (he actually asked this yesterday, so if there are any late penalties can these be waived? )
Sure no problem
Here are the predictions for August. There are 66 in total. The general consensus is for another above average month.
My Mean 19.5c.
Metcheck 19.63c. Anomaly 3.40c.
N-W 19.88c. Anomaly 3.68c.
Met Office Hadley 19.9c. Anomaly 3.8c. Provisional to 3rd.
Nice Chart ...3.40c. Difference between top and bottom..
August starts off at 21.8 to 1st!http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.htmlSuspect we'll see that lower somewhat in the next few weeks.Wouldn't it be fantastic to have a whole month at that level. An entire month of days like yesterday would be utter perfection.Perhaps when global warming's done it's worst we'll get to expriance a 21-22c CET summer month!An ever larger part of me thinks that it won't take that; given the likely link between solar activity and jet stream behaviour, if the next solar cycle turns out to be as weak as predicted, it might give rise to locked-in blocked patterns the likes of which we haven't seen in living memory.While that would favour very cold winters, this July has proved that even after an exceptionally cold March and the legacy that leaves in the SSTs, a very warm month can still be achieved through a blocked pattern. So what if we get the pattern locked into something very warm for the UK (in terms of the synoptic pattern) for an even longer period of time and after an average (let alone warmer than average) late winter and early-mid spring?Something to ponder over/dream about
Now that's an excellent thought.
My Mean 18.7c.
Met Office Hadley 19.2c. Anomaly 3.0c. Provisional to 4th.
Metcheck 19.22c. Anomaly 2.99c.
N-W 19.47c. Anomaly 3.27c.
Met Office Hadley 18.9c. Anomaly 2.76c. Provisional to 5th.
Metcheck 18.56c.. Anomaly 2.34c.
N-W 19.79c. Anomaly 2.59c.
My mean 18.4c.
Met Office Hadley 18.2c. Anomaly 2.1c. prvisional to 6th
N-W 18.4c. Anomaly 2.2c.
Metcheck 18.16c. Anomaly 1.93c.
My Mean 18.0c.
Met Office Hadley 17.9c. Anomaly 1.9c. Provisional to 7th.
Metcheck 17.86c. Anomaly 1.63c.
N-W 18.12c. Anomaly 1.92c.
My Mean 17.8c.
17.9C
That's good for the first week.
Hope we don't fall too much further.
Met Office Hadley 17.6c. Anomaly 1.6c. Provisional to 8th.
Metcheck 17.9c Anomaly 1.69c.
N-W 18.2c. Anomaly 2.0c.
The cool Tuesday night knocked it down a bit.
Met Office Hadley 17.6c. Anomaly 1.6c. Provisional to 9th.
Metcheck 17.75c. Anomaly 1.53c.
N-W 18.03c Anomaly 1.83c
A hot start to the month - I get a CET of 23C for the first day which is much higher than Hadley. Only 2 days in July 2006 were warmer than the 1st of August this year.
The temperature is now drifting back towards average and my prediction calls for the mean CET to track the 1981-2010 mean over the next 2 weeks. So looking like a very average month overall unless the final week brings something different.
Met Office Hadley 17.5c. Anomaly 1.5c. Provisional to 10th
N-W 17.9c Anomaly 1.7c.
Metcheck 17.64c. Anomaly 1.42c.
My Mean 17.9c.