The Weather Outlook

Remove ads from site

Hungry Tiger
16 August 2026 14:20:06
Speak of the devil. There's another one showing up for the last week of August going into September.ย  ๐Ÿ™‚๐Ÿ™‚๐Ÿ™‚
Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - [email protected]

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.



DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
16 August 2026 14:24:04

A crap week coming up with temps only in the mid 20s and even the odd illegal spot of rain may make it this far south, but after that the GFS has the next heatwave waiting to cover us

Originally Posted by: Matty H 

The ens temp graphs from GFS stay refreshingly close to norm; only in the last day or two of August do op and control take off as outliers from the main pack - and as for ECM quite boringly average from all members. Don't bet the farm yet.


It's not the voting that's democracy, it's the counting - Tom Stoppard

Chichester 12m asl

Jiries
16 August 2026 14:27:03

When I see some more models showing it, I'll call heatwave No7. I reckon we've got 10 days before it shows. ๐Ÿ™‚๐Ÿ™‚๐Ÿ™‚

Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger 

I see now hints of warmer weather slowly rising from end of the weekend to September.ย  I see some very cool 850's t hit Nicosia on last day of August which was not there on 00z runs show possible cooler weather in E Med and warmer to hotter here by September.ย 

Sadly we need to bypass the anti summer/heat haters/rain lovers protesters on the M25 today as they are on the gantry with their banners up.ย  Lot of hatred and dimissing toward GFS on 06z. never seen this outrage before toward a model.

If we need rain can we do Nicosia type that come with big storms, hail, heavy proper rain that we should be looking for on the models but there no sign of it.ย 

Today here so far 28.5C still warm but no heatwave threshold for me as i set it at 30C plus.ย 

Rob K
16 August 2026 15:21:53

Speak of the devil. There's another one showing up for the last week of August going into September.ย  ๐Ÿ™‚๐Ÿ™‚๐Ÿ™‚

Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger 

Really? The 850s head up to the teens but the 2m temperatures only give a couple of days of 27-28 max in the south then back to the lower 20s.


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." โ€” Jerome K. Jerome

Retron
  • Retron
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
16 August 2026 18:07:59
27.0 East Malling, so the heatwave continues by the skin of its teeth. 27.6 Charlwood is the highest I can see, but the heatwave threshold there is 28.

EDIT: 25 here tomorrow and 27 on Tuesday going by the 12z GFS, so there may well be a couple more days to eke out yet. After that though it looks like a cold front will finally make it through - all the others so far have been feeble affairs, or have undergone frontolysis as they're passing.


Leysdown, north Kent
bledur
16 August 2026 18:13:07

27.0 East Malling, so the heatwave continues by the skin of its teeth. 27.6 Charlwood is the highest I can see, but the heatwave threshold there is 28.

Originally Posted by: Retron 

Should be finally gone by Wednesday , hopefully for good this year . ๐Ÿค—

Jiries
16 August 2026 18:52:54

Should be finally gone by Wednesday , hopefully for good this year . ๐Ÿค—

Originally Posted by: bledur 

The cooler duration of 4C on the 12z ensembles had been delayed and dowgraded from a 5-6 days to 2-3 days before rising back to average so temperatures likely to be low 20's to mid 20s.ย  Today was 28.8C under 11C 850s so down to 4C mean 22-23C here.ย  Will warm up at the end of the month for September possible heatwave but not showing at the range yet.

Hungry Tiger
17 August 2026 00:33:16
Tomorrow I'll move this to the classics thread.ย  ๐Ÿ™‚๐Ÿ™‚๐Ÿ™‚
Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - [email protected]

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.



The Beast from the East
17 August 2026 00:36:14
Another almost tropical night, 19c and very humid.ย  Hopefully the last uncomfortable nights sleep until next year!


Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President

picturesareme
17 August 2026 13:21:18
Not quite heatwave conditions however with light winds and high humidity it feels very uncomfortable in the sun outside.

Currently 27C

Dew point 20C ๐Ÿฅต

Retron
  • Retron
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
17 August 2026 13:30:14
27.2 Heathrow, but below the 28C heatwave threshold there. 27s at Exeter and Southampton weather centre - as per NW - but I'm not sure if they're rounded. It's close to another heatwave day...

https://www.netweather.tv/live-weather/daily-top-20/maxt 


Leysdown, north Kent
Jiries
17 August 2026 14:06:33
Still warm here 26.8C with hazy sunshine today, not sure where the pollution clouds came from but very dirty looking skies.ย  I think is the smoke fire causing the dirty skies.
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
17 August 2026 14:09:04
28.1C at home at 1500 - so one of the official sites might get to 28 yet.
It's not the voting that's democracy, it's the counting - Tom Stoppard

Chichester 12m asl

Ally Pally Snowman
17 August 2026 14:50:54
Teddington 28.2c

Last day over 28c for a while maybe the last day this year. All looks a little bit meh after tmrw.


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Retron
  • Retron
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
17 August 2026 14:57:35

Teddington 28.2c

Last day over 28c for a while maybe the last day this year. All looks a little bit meh after tmrw.

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

And Hurn 27.1, so the heatwave continues (just). As you say - one more day, then we're back to normal... can't wait for Wednesday TBH, it'll feel wonderful! ๐Ÿ˜


Leysdown, north Kent
Ally Pally Snowman
17 August 2026 15:05:46

And Hurn 27.1, so the heatwave continues (just). As you say - one more day, then we're back to normal... can't wait for Wednesday TBH, it'll feel wonderful! ๐Ÿ˜

Originally Posted by: Retron 

Boooooooo!

I have loved this summer and you do get used to the heat, 21c is going to feel chilly.


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Brian Gaze
17 August 2026 15:10:48

Boooooooo!

I have loved this summer and you do get used to the heat, 21c is going to feel chilly.

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

Agree completely. However, I'd like to see some mobility as we head into the autumn, with active weather fronts reaching the south east. Like thunder and snow, it also seems there has been a reduction in this type of thing too.ย 


Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 

"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan

Essan
17 August 2026 15:20:59
27.4c at Pershore College (27.3c at Throckmorton) - so the heatwave officially continues into it's 7th day here in the Vale of Evesham
Andy

Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl

Weather & Earth Science News 

Look in the doubt we've wallowed, look at the leaders we've followed, look at the lies we've swallowed, and I don't want to hear no more

Retron
  • Retron
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
17 August 2026 15:23:41

Boooooooo!

I have loved this summer and you do get used to the heat, 21c is going to feel chilly.

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

Hah, some of us never get used to the heat! 24 here today but with a 19 dewpoint it's continued to feel very sticky. GFS has much the same here until Friday, except tomorrow where it's 26 (and no doubt warmer inland)... but Friday, a max of 18 and a 10 dewpoint... well, that may well feel fresh! ๐Ÿ˜(I'd also say it's odds-on not to max out in the teens, but we'll see).

27.4c at Pershore College (27.3c at Throckmorton) - so the heatwave officially continues into it's 7th day here in the Vale of Evesham

Originally Posted by: Essan 

That'll give the CET a bit of a kick too, albeit Stonyhurst is letting things down - just 18.3!


Leysdown, north Kent
tierradelfuego
17 August 2026 17:33:49
We got to 28.8c here today, way warmer than expected and with a pretty high DP around 17c or so, it felt hot in the sun when it appeared.
Bucklebury

West Berkshire Downs AONB

135m ASL

VP2 with daytime FARS

Rainfall collector separated at ground level

Anemometer separated above roof level

WeatherLink Live (Byles Green Crew )

TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
17 August 2026 20:03:12
Looks like 29 in the end at Heathrow, despite largely cloudy skies.ย 

I was sitting at home this evening thinking โ€œthe heatwaveโ€™s over, why do I still feel hotโ€, then I reminded myself that I still feel hot because it still is hot. 26C indoors and 25C outside currently.ย 

Funny how rarely Heathrow has been the hotspot this summer. Considering its reputation as the climate scepticโ€™s favourite UHI meme, itโ€™s routinely been beaten by Wisley, Kew, various places on the South Coast and in East Anglia.ย 


Brockley, South East London 30m asl
Rob K
18 August 2026 11:24:36
Today is the 50th day in a row that has reached 25C somewhere in the UK. That's totally unprecedented as far as I am aware. The longest such run I could find was 40 days in 1995.
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." โ€” Jerome K. Jerome

Retron
  • Retron
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
18 August 2026 15:03:32
27.4 Hurn, so the heatwave goes on. Today really should be the end of it though!
Leysdown, north Kent
saxtemp
18 August 2026 16:07:34
Absolutely love weather today, was perfect in Preston earlier, just the slightest drizzle, low humidity, so fresh.
Oxfordshire, 184m asl
picturesareme
19 August 2026 01:23:36
28.6C at hurn so i guess this page was moved to early.

Remove ads from site