Any update about Ewell horse pond that by the main road I used to see very low to dried up before up to 1996 then never again as Epsom council decided to pump fresh water just to keep flowing and preventing natural dry up. It was interesting to watch the water level dropping each day until they pump water in. They only turn off during big freeze which the water levels dropping again.  I wonder if they banned wasting fresh water this time?

Interesting take, as the facts don’t support your opinion. 

Give me some post-Nino hot summers then. 

We had a few drops on that day, but nothing you could record.  We havent had any proper rain since that massive thunderstorm at the start of the second heatwave in June. 

1999, 2017, 2025. 

Also Wetterzentrale.de have improved the chart so you can see it much more clearly now. 👍

https://wetterzentrale.de/en/topkarten.php?map=20&model=ecm&var=17&run=0&time=162&lid=OP&h=0&mv=0&tr=3#mapref 

Those are 2 years after the Nino peak. The equivalent would be 2028.

The El Niño ran into the subsequent year. So the year before each date I listed, so my comments are correct 

https://www.newshub.co.uk/news/2026/06/25/el-nino-2026-how-the-uks-weather-may-change-due-to-the-super-el-nino-phenomenon/ 

El Niño peaks over Christmas, so there’s always an onset year (like 1982, 1997, 2006, 2015, and 2026) and then a falling year when global temperatures are at their peak but Nino 3.4 is declining (1983, 1998, 2007, 2016, 2027). 

Those second years, which 2027 will be, have a pretty poor recent history in British summers. The big exception being 1983 (notably that event started and peaked much later than others, which maybe has something to do with it). So I am pessimistic about 2027 for that reason. 

The years after - 1984, 1999, 2008 etc - are La Niña years. They seem a bit more of a mixed bag. 

Feels like hairs are being split a little

The 2023/2024 El Niño peaked in January 2024, before fading in May 2024. The following UK summer (the summer after in 2025) was the hottest UK summer on record 

Important for 2027 predictions though. This event will peak sometime between Dec 2026 and Jan 2027, so 2024 is the reference year for 2027.

I’d love for 2027 to buck the trend though. And it’s almost certainly not going to be as cold as 1998 or as wet as 2007. 

21/19/19/22/26/24/21 so no heatwave again but a decent week coming up, rain tomorrow then I'm hoping for blue sky and to get rid of this persistent SW wind which blows strongly every day!

Sounds like bliss TBH!

Meanwhile down here in the desert it's now 27.1 - the next heatwave has arrived.

In this day and age you’d suspect even if it was a wet summer it would still somehow feature in the top 20 warmest 

https://images.meteociel.fr/im/95/9086/120_580UKrqh1.GIF 

https://images.meteociel.fr/im/57/27471/120_101UKbsx5.GIF 

Because it's not the 6th heatwave for everybody.

For some hotspots (including here) 5th to 13th became one heatwave. 

It’s still factually inaccurate. It’s like saying it didn’t rain here so it didn’t rain anywhere

Edit: by that logic - there’s been no heatwaves in the far north of Scotland. Therefore there have been no heatwaves  

No it isn't for everybody.

Of course if geography is the issue then maybe it's the twentieth or something for Arizona.

The irony (frustrating in some ways if it's the count you're after) is that hotter places may have fewer heatwaves as they merge into longer ones.

I imagine the wider heatwave thresholds haven't been met in many places (a focus on the SE for the 27s and 28s).

I had one heatwave in May, one in June, two in July and am awaiting number 5, which now looks as if it won't come until later next week. 2 days doesn't count. 10 days doesn't count as two.

This makes no sense

None of the heatwaves so far this year have affected the whole UK. Therefore by that logic this is heatwave 1, which probably won’t count either come the end

Never say never.

I remember when GEM (bless)  was quoted as excessive when it forecast ridiculously high temperatures for the end of June. And then.