The Weather Outlook

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picturesareme
15 July 2026 18:12:51

Well it is . Family in Scotland 700 miles North

If I go south 700 miles I am just off the coast of Algeria

It is quite a latitude difference and the climate in the far North of Scotland is very different.

I can land at Inverness Airport sometimes in the Summer and the temp is around 21 c

Travel up to the Kyle of Sutherland and the temp will drop 5or 6 degrees.Days over 25 are fairly rare and very rarely consecutive.

Originally Posted by: bledur 

But it's not 700 miles. 

Latitude speaking and as the Crow flies it's around 465 miles measured from Southsea seafront to Peterhead and 545 to Thurso. 

bledur
15 July 2026 18:35:55

But it's not 700 miles. 

Latitude speaking and as the Crow flies it's around 465 miles measured from Southsea seafront to Peterhead and 545 to Thurso. 

Originally Posted by: picturesareme 

Yes  quite correct , heat is addling my brain🤦‍♂️

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
16 July 2026 06:09:57
17.6 C sunny, calm, a few fragments of cirrus
It's not the voting that's democracy, it's the counting - Tom Stoppard

Chichester 12m asl

Crepuscular Ray
16 July 2026 07:11:11
Yet another dull start 12 C (min 11 C). I wonder what time the crap will burn off today and will we reach 20 C again?
Jerry

Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill

NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
16 July 2026 07:31:51
More or less the same as it's been for what seems weeks. 
Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

Roger Parsons
16 July 2026 08:10:22

More or less the same as it's been for what seems weeks. 

Originally Posted by: NMA 

A perfect day for clearing up the fallen Lime tree inflorescences. Useful fact...

"Botanically, the entire structure that falls is a cyme attached to a bract (a pale-green, ribbon-like leaf). While "blossom" is the collective term, the individual drooping floral clusters are simply flower clusters."


RogerP

West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire

Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.

William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830

johncs2016
16 July 2026 08:23:35

Yet another dull start 12 C (min 11 C). I wonder what time the crap will burn off today and will we reach 20 C again?

Originally Posted by: Crepuscular Ray 

We may or may not see another 20+°C maximum today but one thing which the last couple of days has taught us is that this is likely to depend on how quickly the Sun breaks through.

If the Sun comes out fairly early like it did yesterday, a 20+°C is probably a dead cert but if the Sun takes quite a long time to break through as was the case a couple of days, it is then unlikely that we will get that 20+°C maximum. The Met Office has the Sun coming out quite early here but isn't going for a 20+°C maximum here.

At the moment, there is nothing to suggest that the Sun will break through quite quickly this morning because if that was going to happen, I would already be starting to see some signs of that even as I write which is not actually the case just now.

Nevertheless, it is clear from recent days that the Sun is obviously going to break through in the end, so we might actually end up not being all that far away from another 20+°C in the end. Nevertheless, recent Met Office forecasts had suggested that today would be the day when we start to lose that North Sea influence as the high pressure to our NW drifts a bit southwards over the Atlantic Ocean, but the latest data is showing that there are are no signs of that happening as of yet. If we do lose that North Sea influence later on though, that could increase our chances of a 20+°C maximum even if it takes a while for the Sun to actually break through.

EDIT:

Turns out that I didn't have to wait all that long whilst I was out and about for the clouds to start to break up and for the Sun to begin to come through (that is a process which usually happens so quickly that I rarely actually get a chance to report that process itself whilst it is in the process of actually happening).

Even before the Sun has fully broken through here and even with a lot of cloud still around here, the Sun has probably already broken through a bit further inland in locations such as the in the south of Edinburgh and I can tell that the Sun is probably now shining at Gogarbank as the temperature has suddenly jumped up to around 16°C there whilst remaining stuck at around 14°C at the other local stations in Edinburgh.

Since this is happening only an hour later than it did yesterday, a 20+°C maximum at Gogarbank is probably looking fairly likely now, so there's probably not much point in me reporting much else from now on as the rest is just going to be boring and predictable once again.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

picturesareme
16 July 2026 10:01:40
Knocking on 27C already at 11am, and with a forecasted high of 29C for here by the metoffice i wouldn't be surprised if we got another 30C.

Humid feeling.

Crepuscular Ray
16 July 2026 10:59:00
The sun broke through here at 10am today. It's almost 18 C at noon with light winds so I'm confident we will reach 20 C again today 🙂
Jerry

Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill

johncs2016
16 July 2026 11:39:55

The sun broke through here at 10am today. It's almost 18 C at noon with light winds so I'm confident we will reach 20 C again today 🙂

Originally Posted by: Crepuscular Ray 

Yep!! Just the same old story yet again which is why it's all just really boring, predictive and repetitive now which is why I see no point in providing any further updates here myself any more.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

Crepuscular Ray
16 July 2026 12:06:08
Swanston (my nearest station) hit 20 C at 1300! 😎☀️
Jerry

Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill

picturesareme
16 July 2026 12:19:33
Already 30.3C at 1pm here and it's more humid than recently.

Dew point around 18C 

Crepuscular Ray
16 July 2026 14:24:26
South Edinburgh now 21 C, actually feels slightly warm today 😎☀️ 
Jerry

Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill

tierradelfuego
16 July 2026 14:45:17
30.8c the high so far today after a low of 13.3c, a second morning in a row where the windows have had condensation on the outside when I got up, even though they were wide open. 

DP is only 14c so not feeling too bad out today.


Bucklebury

West Berkshire Downs AONB

135m ASL

VP2 with daytime FARS

Rainfall collector separated at ground level

Anemometer separated above roof level

WeatherLink Live (Byles Green Crew )

johncs2016
16 July 2026 15:18:57

South Edinburgh now 21 C, actually feels slightly warm today 😎☀️ 

Originally Posted by: Crepuscular Ray 

It's forecast to get even warmer over the coming days as well, even whilst the rest of the UK cools down a bit.

By the end of this coming weekend, we might even see the other local stations such as the botanic gardens in Edinburgh which are much closer to the coast, eventually getting to join that party as the wind gradually changes direction with much less of a North Sea influence.

At the moment, there is a lot of high cloud around which is making the sky look very milky and making the sunshine very hazy.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

Crepuscular Ray
16 July 2026 16:19:36
A huge area of thick cirrostratus cloaking Scotland from the East. Did we see that coming?

However before it arrived the temperature almost reached 22 C at Gogarbank and 21 C at Swanston so feeling very pleasant today.

Might be some good sunset photos tonight with this cirrostratus, we've already had a good halo


Jerry

Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill

tallyho_83
16 July 2026 18:29:33
Okehampton just saw a thundery shower - bone dry in Exeter and nearby Crediton apparently.

Temperature dropped from 28.7c now down to 19.5c Huge water droplets - not seen rain for weeks!!

Looks like this will be it but least it will be cooler.


Home Location - Vixen Tor Close, Okehampton, Devon (221m ASL)

---------------------------------------

Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

johncs2016
16 July 2026 20:02:49

A huge area of thick cirrostratus cloaking Scotland from the East. Did we see that coming?

However before it arrived the temperature almost reached 22 C at Gogarbank and 21 C at Swanston so feeling very pleasant today.

Might be some good sunset photos tonight with this cirrostratus, we've already had a good halo

Originally Posted by: Crepuscular Ray 

That high cloud had some impact on today's sunshine totals but not all that much and the overall stats continue to be as boring as ever in my books as this month is probably still going to be sunnier than average in the end.

For those who are interested in those stats though, a total of 8.5 hours of sunshine had still been recorded for today so far at Edinburgh Gogarbank as at 7:40pm BST (18:40 UTC) this evening.

This means that today wasn't as sunny as I was expecting it to be because of that cloud cover but today was slightly warmer than yesterday with a maximum temperature of 22.02°C at Edinburgh Gogarbank and 18.04°C at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh.

The cloud appears to have thickened a bit more this evening, so Jerry is probably not likely going to be able to get any sunset photos after all but unlike on other recent nights, we can at least say that is unlikely to be due to any easterly muck coming in from off the North Sea on this occasion.

Currently around 16°C here in Edinburgh


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

Crepuscular Ray
16 July 2026 22:03:02
https://photos.app.goo.gl/qpMR9RjbBeqYUgxX6 

Hopefully you can see my sunset from the garden tonight


Jerry

Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill

picturesareme
16 July 2026 23:08:07
Temperature has stagnated with only 0.5C difference in the past 3.5 hours. 

Currently 22C

NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
17 July 2026 05:22:35
A clear, calm and sunny start. Still a whiff of smoke from a fire the other side of Dorchester yesterday. 18.1C.
Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

Crepuscular Ray
17 July 2026 05:30:37
The sunrise is just like last night's sunset, weakly shining through a veil of high cloud, some medium level and bits of low cloud, all moving in from the NE.

Minimum 12 C. Currently 13 C


Jerry

Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill

Retron
17 July 2026 05:38:46
Much the same as the past several mornings here - cloudy, a NE'ly breeze (albeit lighter) and warm (albeit not quite as warm). 

16.7, dew 14.9; the overnight low so far is also 16.7 and yesterday's high was bang on average at 23.1.


Leysdown, north Kent
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
17 July 2026 06:04:50
17.6C, overnight 15.8 C, sunny, calm
It's not the voting that's democracy, it's the counting - Tom Stoppard

Chichester 12m asl

Crepuscular Ray
17 July 2026 06:06:33
A quick look at how July 2026 is doing here:

Mean 16 C (+1.1)

Mean Max 19.4 C

Mean Min 12.7 C

Rain 8.2mm (10%)

Sun 96.4hrs (56%)

Nothing too unusual here so far. Warmer July's are:

2018 (17.3 C)

2022 (16.9 C)

2021 (16.7 C)

2014 & 2019 (16.6)

Data by kind permission of Swanston Weather Site, South Edinburgh (a SEPA rainfall site)


Jerry

Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill

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