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6z GFS keeps going
from tomorrow
29c, 31c, 34c, 38c, 36c, 36c, 29c, 32c, 34c, 30c
Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman
Yep, my "relief from the heat" comment sees temps down to "just 29c" for one day (Saturday). Longer term, the high pressure repositions itself and then sits over the UK. A very long dry spell looks a certainty, on top of the extreme heat this week.
I wouldn't be surprised if this isn't the hottest spell of the summer, with July and August to come.
This could be "the one" the new Daddy of UK summers.
100m ASL
Originally Posted by: moomin75
Could be, but the British summer will always be unpredictable. But the way heat domes are forming over the continent this year suggests it's a possibility.
TBFTEIARBSC
It's terribly sad. A week of super hot and dry air will do much damage (some permanent) to vegetation and our trees.
Originally Posted by: Devonian
Yes, but who cares if you can get a nice tan or a new record? I fully understand that there is nothing that can be done short term and people that enjoy this are entitled to enjoy it and observe new records being made. What I don't get is the gleeful attitude of many towards Net Zero becoming unpopular and the usual pathetic "what difference will my bit do" attitude. I could understand it if it was just the petrol heads and erstwhile climate change deniers but it's not is it. Even some intelligent people seem to going with this current trend. You can have a successful economy and big profits for a while but it won't make water or replace the life forms that are rapidly declining because of it. Believe me the mass extinction has started and like everything else we are just accepting it as a nuisance and poodling along!
GFS 6z from tomorrow
29c, 31c, 34c, 38c, 36c, 36c, 29c
Actually even hotter than that on the high-res grid. I make it:
29C, 31C, 35C, 38C, 36C, 37C, 30C, 33C, 34C, 30C, 30C, 32C, 28C, 25C, 23C.
11 consecutive 30C days which would be 19 in total by July 2nd.
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Originally Posted by: Rob K
And yet some people will still claim 76 was hotter as it gets shunted even further down the list
Met Office automated output has certainly ramped up from yesterday. For my location max/min from today to Friday are now:
Sat: 25/14
Sun: 30/17
Mon: 32/18
Tue: 36/19
Wed: 35/21
Thu: 33/20
Fri: 32/20
BBC is a little cooler, peaking at 34/19 on both Tue and Wed.
Already gone higher - now
Sat: 25/15
Mon: 33/18
Tue: 37/19
Wed: 36/22 (!)
Thu: 34/21
Fri: 32/20.
I think even back in 2022 the auto forecast for here never went above 37. Certainly not four days ahead.
Originally Posted by: Matty H
This is an interesting graph, posted on Twitter last year, showing the number of 30C days each year. 1995 was in a league of its own but even 2018 surpassed 1976. I am not sure what the final total for 2025 was.
https://x.com/SnowbieWx/status/1943327382267404334?s=20
Also interesting to note that both 1995 (34 days) and 2018 (28 days) each had more 30C days than the entire 1960s (25 days in total!). The 60s really did have rubbish summers didn't they?
Originally Posted by: fairweather
The problem is, there is almost becoming a view that people are not allowed to enjoy a hot spell any more because of it's seen as celebrating climate change. It's also getting to a point where every notable warm spell is always immediately blamed on it, and I think both of those attitudes are unhelpful. And yes, on the flip side, I also direct criticism towards the "but 1976" brigade downplaying genuine notable heat. Both sides are becoming too polarised and militant about it, and it's deeply irritating.
Sure, in this case, what is being modelled is not natural for the UK, so I accept that point. However, from a purely personal point of view, it won't stop me enjoying it and making the most of it and hoping for more heat later on in the summer. As a weather enthusiast and a heat lover, it will a nice change from the weeks of mid-teens, rain and overcast skies with an annoying stiff wind that this area has had here since the last week of May. I make absolutely no apologies for that.
Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.
My weather station
Berkhamsted
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"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
It's a fascinating outlook. The AIFS suggests a higher degree of confidence from 28/06 into early July than on the details for the coming week. So I think there's still a fair amount of doubt about how high temperatures will go in the coming days.
Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze
It's odd that the amber warning is only for Monday and Tuesday when most of the modelling suggests Wednesday will be the hottest, and Monday will barely hit 30C.
What more do you expect people to do? Governments, corporations and many individuals are going gung ho towards renewables, climate aside, because the economics makes sense. Solar is so cheap now that why wouldn't you try to harvest as much of it as possible? Shy of just turning civilisation off, the world is moving as fast as it can in the right direction.