The Weather Outlook

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GezM
  • GezM
  • Advanced Member
08 June 2026 08:28:58

used. SoAhhhh, ok.

I had it my mind it was more sophisticated than that, 😂, - the average of 24 hourly readings from all the automatic locations in the CET region. But if it is just a high/low average, no wonder all my values have been pschit!!

I demand a recount 😡🌡️

Originally Posted by: Dickieboy68 

Only 3 locations are used. Stonyhurst, Pershore and Rothamsted. 

Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)

Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)

Stormchaser
08 June 2026 08:46:16
Everyone's estimated above the 1991-2020 average (14.7°C) which is indeed very interesting considering the increasingly cool picture being painted by the short-term forecast modelling at the end of May.

I wonder how many have drawn that from longer-range forecast model signals as opposed to climate trends or gut feeling?

I have a sense of déjà vu with the same warm-cool-warm(er) signal that was present in May, and emerging signs that the last part could in fact be notably hot.

If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email [email protected]

https://twitter.com/peacockreports 

2025's Homeland Extremes:

T-Max: 32.0°C 12th Aug | T-Min: -5.4°C 4th Jan | Wettest Day: 31.8 mm 18th Dec | Ice Days: None

Keep Calm and Forecast On

+1
Gavin D
08 June 2026 13:04:38
Hadley

14.6 to the 7th

0.5c above the 61 to 90 average

0.9c above the 91 to 20 average

Spring Sun Winter Dread
08 June 2026 16:46:18
I will admit I am somewhat stunned to be bottom of the pile with what would still be a respectably warm June at 15.3c.

Definitely people are "playing on tilt" after what happened in May.

But with it not being especially cool now and a warm up starting at the weekend, who knows they may be proved right 

Bertwhistle
08 June 2026 19:06:16
I estimate that the CET before the forecast warm-to-maybe-hot spell comes into play will still be above 14 (c. 14.2?)

That's a third of the way through the month, the start of the month. That's not bad. Junes like 1989 and 1995 were worse and last year- the 5th hottest June on record- wasn't much different.

For it to only go up for the following week leaves just late June which is so much less likely to have cold nights. It would take a last third disaster to ruin my 16+ thoughts. It would also take a special (currently out of reliable timeframe) last third to get my 16.8!

Signals are wobbling but can you not feel the HP push starting to come into play?

Bertie, Itchen Valley.

Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.

Bertwhistle
08 June 2026 19:13:11
In fact, I've just checked the Hadley data and the Mean CET last year to 11th was under 13.7°C.

Who would have thought that 2 heatwaves (both short) could be responsible for lifting this to 17- and the 5th warmest June in the record?

Bertie, Itchen Valley.

Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.

Gavin D
09 June 2026 12:29:40
Hadley

14.6 to the 8th

0.5c above the 61 to 90 average

0.9c above the 91 to 20 average

Gavin D
10 June 2026 12:32:02
Hadley

14.3 to the 9th

0.2c above the 61 to 90 average

0.6c above the 91 to 20 average

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