The Weather Outlook

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Devonian
29 May 2026 10:44:40

And I’m going to enjoy the drier weather and higher temps. Heat and humidity are my things. Love it. Far more people die from cold weather than hot, but I don’t think I’ve ever seen any guilt-shaming for that on here. I get the heat is about a trend toward hotter and drier conditions, and it’s not just the UK, it’s globally, but the argument is a tad boring. As I said the other day, I’m sure we all do our bit, but nations and policies affect this sort of thing to a level that influences actually change. 

Originally Posted by: Matty H 

Yes, enjoy it, but spare a thought for those of us who find 25/27+ just awful. As I do you with cold.

As to deaths.  I don't think I've mentioned that but, as it's here, my concern is that as heatwave get beyond 40C more  people will die of the human body just not being able to function at such temperatures. But, India is roasting atm so we'll see how many do die there.

Rob K
29 May 2026 10:46:00
I don't think being concerned about the root causes of the heat necessarily means that you can't enjoy the heat as well. I have thoroughly enjoyed this hot weather even though the reasons for it may be concerrning.

What I do find odd is how the baseline perception of what the UK weather "should" be like has shifted. Social media has been full of people saying "it's been freezing for months before this hot spell", when the reality is that we had a week or two of somewhat cooler than average (but not really cold) weather in May, off the back of an exceptionally warm February, March and April. Only January had a proper spell of "cold" weather and even then it came in comfortably above average on a CET basis.


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

Devonian
29 May 2026 10:51:58

I don't think being concerned about the root causes of the heat necessarily means that you can't enjoy the heat as well. I have thoroughly enjoyed this hot weather even though the reasons for it may be concerrning.

What I do find odd is how the baseline perception of what the UK weather "should" be like has shifted. Social media has been full of people saying "it's been freezing for months before this hot spell", when the reality is that we had a week or two of somewhat cooler than average (but not really cold) weather in May, off the back of an exceptionally warm February, March and April. Only January had a proper spell of "cold" weather and even then it came in comfortably above average on a CET basis.

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

Indeed.

Because many of the young have never experience 'proper' uk cold and because there are god knows how many bots out there?

Brian Gaze
29 May 2026 10:53:50

I don't think being concerned about the root causes of the heat necessarily means that you can't enjoy the heat as well. I have thoroughly enjoyed this hot weather even though the reasons for it may be concerrning.

What I do find odd is how the baseline perception of what the UK weather "should" be like has shifted. Social media has been full of people saying "it's been freezing for months before this hot spell", when the reality is that we had a week or two of somewhat cooler than average (but not really cold) weather in May, off the back of an exceptionally warm February, March and April. Only January had a proper spell of "cold" weather and even then it came in comfortably above average on a CET basis.

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

Totally agree with this. 


Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

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"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan

Heavy Weather 2013
29 May 2026 18:44:24

I don't think being concerned about the root causes of the heat necessarily means that you can't enjoy the heat as well. I have thoroughly enjoyed this hot weather even though the reasons for it may be concerrning.

What I do find odd is how the baseline perception of what the UK weather "should" be like has shifted. Social media has been full of people saying "it's been freezing for months before this hot spell", when the reality is that we had a week or two of somewhat cooler than average (but not really cold) weather in May, off the back of an exceptionally warm February, March and April. Only January had a proper spell of "cold" weather and even then it came in comfortably above average on a CET basis.

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

Very please to see you back on this thread Rob K. I was worried you had left TWO.

I also agree with this point.


Mark

Beckton, E London

Less than 500m from the end of London City Airport runway.

Hungry Tiger
29 May 2026 19:11:45

New May record in Portugal at 40.3C

Originally Posted by: DEW 

I saw that.  Incredible,  and that's in May. 😵😵😵😵😵


Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - [email protected]

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.



Hungry Tiger
29 May 2026 19:12:34

I don't think being concerned about the root causes of the heat necessarily means that you can't enjoy the heat as well. I have thoroughly enjoyed this hot weather even though the reasons for it may be concerrning.

What I do find odd is how the baseline perception of what the UK weather "should" be like has shifted. Social media has been full of people saying "it's been freezing for months before this hot spell", when the reality is that we had a week or two of somewhat cooler than average (but not really cold) weather in May, off the back of an exceptionally warm February, March and April. Only January had a proper spell of "cold" weather and even then it came in comfortably above average on a CET basis.

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

Nice post there Rob. 🙂🙂🙂🙂


Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - [email protected]

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.



Matty H
30 May 2026 06:49:41

I don't think being concerned about the root causes of the heat necessarily means that you can't enjoy the heat as well. I have thoroughly enjoyed this hot weather even though the reasons for it may be concerrning.

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

It’s not so much that - it’s the incessant mentioning of it. We get it. We understand (not you by the way)


Yate, Nr Bristol

TBFTEIARBSC

Ally Pally Snowman
30 May 2026 07:55:27
The last hot day of this spell today can we squeeze another 30c?

With the GW debate , for me there's a statistical interest just how warm/hot can the UK get. We can tick off 35c in May. What's next 100f in June 40c in June? Unthinkable a few years ago now possible perhaps even likely. 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
The Beast from the East
30 May 2026 09:00:35
Could this be the last day of Summer?!!  

Bit like when we have snow in November.  the rest of the winter is usually bollox. 


Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President

Rob K
30 May 2026 09:36:25

It’s not so much that - it’s the incessant mentioning of it. We get it. We understand (not you by the way)

Originally Posted by: Matty H 

I find the incessant points-scoring and politicisation annoying in both directions. 

On one side you have people trying to blame literally anything (cold spell, hot spell, droughts, flooding) on climate change, and on the other side you have people insisting that this hot spell has not been that hot, it’s all because the Met Office take their temperature inside the exhaust plume of a 747 at Heathrow etc etc. 


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

lanky
30 May 2026 10:26:42

The last hot day of this spell today can we squeeze another 30c?

With the GW debate , for me there's a statistical interest just how warm/hot can the UK get. We can tick off 35c in May. What's next 100f in June 40c in June? Unthinkable a few years ago now possible perhaps even likely. 

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

I had a look at my database for Kew Gardens maxes and used a subset of 2000-2024 and took the last weeks of May, June and July as the hottest periods for each of those months. The May average max was 19.7, June 23.2 and July 24.3. Since we now have a 35.1 for May this is 15.4C above average.

Adding 15.4C to the June and July figures for a theoretical record beating  max gives 38.6C for June and 39.7C for July 

The actual current (Kew) records for June and July are 34.4C for June and 40.1C for July

So June still has potential for a big increase but July has already just beaten its theoretical max via this method


Martin

Richmond, Surrey

Nick Gilly
30 May 2026 12:52:24

The last hot day of this spell today can we squeeze another 30c?

With the GW debate , for me there's a statistical interest just how warm/hot can the UK get. We can tick off 35c in May. What's next 100f in June 40c in June? Unthinkable a few years ago now possible perhaps even likely. 

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

The Met Office article suggested that 45C is possible in the SE.

Ally Pally Snowman
30 May 2026 13:32:13
28.5c in Wisley,  Surrey is the highest I can see. Don't think we'll quite reach 30c
Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Jiries
30 May 2026 13:33:49
Today last day for warm and sunny weather and it been a superb heatwave and proper one we should be seeing than heat spikes.  This month far much better than dull July 2022, had 2 weeks of mostly overcast skies and again nearly 2 weeks after the 40C heat.  Around 28c in my shade of the storage wall and conservatory 40.3C now which been stable long time now.  Yesterday was 35.3C after 6 days in the 40s compare to one time last year May 1st.

Now want to see June to do the hard work to break the record as it cannot be lower than this month highest of 35.1C.  

Ally Pally Snowman
30 May 2026 14:19:51
We might just do it 

Kew 29.9c

Teddington 29.7c 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Rob K
30 May 2026 19:21:25
Both Kew and Heathrow hit 30.1C. Kew was 0.03C higher in the end (30.09 vs 30.06).

Edit: actually I think Teddington was the highest with 30.3, I hadn't checked that one.


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

Ally Pally Snowman
30 May 2026 19:34:22

Both Kew and Heathrow hit 30.1C. Kew was 0.03C higher in the end (30.09 vs 30.06).

Edit: actually I think Teddington was the highest with 30.3, I hadn't checked that one.

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

Yep seven 30c days in May , that must be a record. 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
tierradelfuego
30 May 2026 20:05:13

Yep seven 30c days in May , that must be a record. 

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

It's got to be, hasn't it!?!

I know it's not saying much but my previous May record was 27.9c and even here we had 4 consecutive days of 30+, plus a 29.8c and a 28c today.

I suppose my only hope is that this record spell lasts (in the record books) for a few decades, not just a year or two.


Bucklebury

West Berkshire Downs AONB

135m ASL

VP2 with daytime FARS

Rainfall collector separated at ground level

Anemometer separated above roof level

WeatherLink Live (Byles Green Crew )

The Beast from the East
31 May 2026 01:48:56
I wonder the odds are of not seeing 30 throughout the technical summer?  Might be worth a bet
Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President

Ally Pally Snowman
31 May 2026 06:50:35
UK maxes since 22nd May

28.4c

30.5c

32.3c

34.8c

35.1c

31.8c

32.0c

26.9c

30.3c

This will take some beating this summer. 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
31 May 2026 06:58:50
Even Chichester-by-the -sea reached 29C yesterday
War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

lanky
31 May 2026 10:08:58

I wonder the odds are of not seeing 30 throughout the technical summer?  Might be worth a bet

Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 

The list of UK hottest day by year shows 19 summers since 1875 with maxes under 30.0C

https://www.metjam.co.uk/blog/hottest-day-of-each-year-from-1875-onwards/ 

However, if basic corrections are made for the effects of GW since then this number reduces drastically to 6

All 6 (with corrections) have maxes over 29C and the most recent is 1978 (48 years ago)

I think you would need to get odds of at least 50-1 and preferably 100-1 to make it worthwhile having a punt


Martin

Richmond, Surrey

The Beast from the East
31 May 2026 11:33:22

The list of UK hottest day by year shows 19 summers since 1875 with maxes under 30.0C

I think you would need to get odds of at least 50-1 and preferably 100-1 to make it worthwhile having a punt

Originally Posted by: lanky 

Seems more likely I would get a date with Kelly Brook.  ECM has us back in the heat by next weekend, the south east anyway.  Azores/Merkel slug repeating pattern with southern england under the influence but cooler and more unsettled further north


Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President

Hungry Tiger
31 May 2026 19:14:48

UK maxes since 22nd May

28.4c

30.5c

32.3c

34.8c

35.1c

31.8c

32.0c

26.9c

30.3c

This will take some beating this summer. 

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

😵😵😵😵😵. What does that make for the CET for that last 10 days of this month.  🙂🙂🙂🙂🙂


Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - [email protected]

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.



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