The Weather Outlook

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fairweather
22 May 2026 09:12:44

...and several planning inquiries, followed by an appeal via the planning inspector and then several high court challenges! Typical that they should dawdle so much on fixing it, isn't it?

It's looking like a remarkable spell on the way, GFS has continued to move towards UKV/MetO and now has several days of 27 here, the Saturday rain which it's been consistently showing has been downgraded and, I suspect, the MetO forecast of full sunshine will be the one that "wins". 

I'm still very puzzled as to why the models are showing such heat here considering the onshore breeze that's forecast to pick up over the weekend, the MetO for example having 31C with 17mph easterlies (from a sea which is still only 13C). 

The only other thing worth commenting on is just how unremarkable people seem to find such heat these days. We will perhaps see a couple of date records fall, an exceptional spell (just 12C above average here!), yet people seem to just take it for granted.

Originally Posted by: Retron 

Well your Council are busy - voting in singing of the National Anthem and saying the Lords prayer before the start of Council meetings!

S.Essex, 42m ASL
The Beast from the East
22 May 2026 09:38:33

Same with me. It's like rings in a tree. You can tell a person's age from the "magic number" as you call it. 

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

The old BBC symbols used to turn red for 25c, so that was considered hot in the 80s  

I miss those old stick on symbols. Must have been such fun to play with those!

Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

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+2
BYF1
  • BYF1
  • Advanced Member
22 May 2026 09:52:47
Yes I remember that well, 25c + had the orange symbol, I remember 30c being forecast in the 80s as a kid. If my memory serves me correct I think 2005 I remember locally here in Kent we had a hair dryer day at the very end of May, where temperatures were 31-32c for one day with quite a strong hot wind. This coming spell will last much longer though but I doubt as hot locally.
North downs, near Folkestone, 177m asl.
+1
bledur
22 May 2026 11:10:59

The old BBC symbols used to turn red for 25c, so that was considered hot in the 80s  

I miss those old stick on symbols. Must have been such fun to play with those!

Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 

That is just weird..🤣

bledur
22 May 2026 11:13:10
Lovely day here today ,gonna hit about 24-25 , nice breeze. Shame it is going to get hotter as this is warm enough without being too warm for lengthy outside work.
+2
Ally Pally Snowman
22 May 2026 15:24:19
Plenty of 28s today , Cambridge 29c is the highest I can see so far.
Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Heavy Weather 2013
22 May 2026 15:28:11
Aperge has put out at 35C run around the Reading area for Monday. 
Mark

Beckton, E London

Less than 500m from the end of London City Airport runway.

+1
Roger Parsons
22 May 2026 15:36:46
Garden thermometer on 28C at 4pm today.
RogerP

West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire

Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.

William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830

Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
22 May 2026 16:11:48
My station is showing 28.4 c.  Other local stations are showing similar.  
Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

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Ally Pally Snowman
22 May 2026 16:28:34

Aperge has put out at 35C run around the Reading area for Monday. 

Originally Posted by: Heavy Weather 2013 

Arpege 12z actually has 36c on both Monday and Tuesday 

Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Brian Gaze
22 May 2026 16:57:27
Arpege may have a 37C on the full grid. 36C on the thinned grid. 

Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

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+2
ozoneaurora
22 May 2026 17:04:18
28 C in Sheffield today.
Bertwhistle
22 May 2026 17:15:05

Arpege may have a 37C on the full grid. 36C on the thinned grid. 

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

Possible? Beating the June record in May?

Bertie, Itchen Valley.

Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.

scillydave
22 May 2026 17:59:27

Possible? Beating the June record in May?

Originally Posted by: Bertwhistle 

Crazy times.

Currently living at roughly 65m asl North of Cowbridge in the Vale of Glamorgan.

Formerly of, Birdlip, highest village in the Cotswolds and snow heaven in winter; Hawkinge in Kent - roof of the South downs and Isles of Scilly, paradise in the UK.

Ally Pally Snowman
22 May 2026 18:12:58
Heathrow,  Cambridge and Cramwell all 28.4c. 

Loads of other 28s, Very widespread and similar temps today.

Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Tim A
22 May 2026 18:43:00
26c max here. Rapid drop now to 19c as colder air moves in from the West. Cooler here tomorrow , 20-21c before getting very warm again .
Tim

NW Leeds

187m asl

 My PWS 

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
22 May 2026 21:38:09
Max 28.2C - in good company with other stations
War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

Retron
23 May 2026 04:06:12
27.3 was the high here yesterday, in quite gusty southerlies. The MetO raw has 30 here today under initially SE'lies, but later this afternoon under NE'lies - I could imagine 30 as long as the wind stays south of east, but I still can't see how we could reach or sustain 30 under a sea breeze.

Next week looks interesting in terms of temperature variety here: Monday and Tuesday have 30 and 31 respectively, again under NE'lies, then just 19 on Wednesday - which is average - under slightly stronger NE'lies, before going back to 25 the day after. 

We'll see whether those very high temperatures are reached, if they are it's a win for the MetO raw. GFS has 25 and 26 on Sunday and Monday and that's more what I'd expect with a sea breeze.

Leysdown, north Kent
Crepuscular Ray
23 May 2026 06:12:32
Interesting thread and it looks like the South and Midlands are going to see some exceptional Spring heat, possibly record breaking?

As for Northern England and Scotland, nothing too dramatic. Low 20's for most with more cloud but the warmth may spread further north for Tuesday and Wednesday? I'll be keeping an eye on the temperature reports in here

Jerry

Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill

scillydave
23 May 2026 06:27:38
The first 30c of the year looks possible today - the South Coast and Kent being the favoured spots. One for Faversham I suspect. 
Currently living at roughly 65m asl North of Cowbridge in the Vale of Glamorgan.

Formerly of, Birdlip, highest village in the Cotswolds and snow heaven in winter; Hawkinge in Kent - roof of the South downs and Isles of Scilly, paradise in the UK.

Ally Pally Snowman
23 May 2026 06:52:20
Arpege still going for 35c Monday and 36c Tuesday on its 0z run this morning. 
Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
+2
Heavy Weather 2013
23 May 2026 07:24:18

Arpege still going for 35c Monday and 36c Tuesday on its 0z run this morning. 

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

I know UKV tends to overcook, but my understanding is that Aperge is quite good at temps. If we do get 36C it would be a good win for UKV also. 

Mark

Beckton, E London

Less than 500m from the end of London City Airport runway.

Ally Pally Snowman
23 May 2026 07:28:27

I know UKV tends to overcook, but my understanding is that Aperge is quite good at temps. If we do get 36C it would be a good win for UKV also. 

Originally Posted by: Heavy Weather 2013 

Yes normally Arpege is more sensible.  It can over do things but not normally by that much. 

Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
johncs2016
23 May 2026 08:02:06
I see that the Met Office are going for a possible maximum temperature of around 27°C here in Edinburgh by next Thursday and as long as the wind continues to come from a SSW direction without any influence from the North Sea, that could easily end up happening with the highest temperatures in such a set-up probably being recorded at the botanic gardens in such a scenario.

If there is a North Sea influence though, that is probably unlikely to happen and in that scenario, the botanic gardens would probably see the coolest temperatures in Edinburgh due to its relatively close proximity to the coast.

At the moment, the models are then suggesting that it may well cool down again and become more unsettled just in time for the start of the meteorological summer which would just be like the thing. However, that is all in the extended range and given that warm, dry and sunny weather at this time of the year appears to be the norm now, I would be very surprised if that actually came off.

That said, there has been numerous years in the past in which we have had a similarly high temperature at around this time of year only for that to then be the highest temperature of the entire year in the end. Quite frankly, I would much rather be getting that in the actual summer itself rather than right now when we're technically still in spring but I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if that ended up happening.

The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

scillydave
23 May 2026 12:28:42
A couple of 28s as of 1pm (Southend and London City Airport) and a whole pile of 27s.

Looks like 30c is still possible somewhere today.

Currently living at roughly 65m asl North of Cowbridge in the Vale of Glamorgan.

Formerly of, Birdlip, highest village in the Cotswolds and snow heaven in winter; Hawkinge in Kent - roof of the South downs and Isles of Scilly, paradise in the UK.

+1

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