The Weather Outlook

Remove ads from site

BJBlake
07 February 2026 23:17:28

Agree - that 1991 was like many winters in the 60s and the 80s in particular, and was not (and did not seem to those that lived through it), to be in any way abnormal. Nowadays, we would think this as extraordinary. That is explained by the fact back then, that the climate was 0.5 above pre-industrial times  - And now it is 1.5 degrees above. Huge difference both in winter and summer.  I dread to think how It will feel with 3 degrees above: Total nightmare! But it is enviable now. 

Originally Posted by: BJBlake 

Can’t believe it is 35 year ago Jiries!! 


Brecklands, South Norfolk 28m ASL
BJBlake
07 February 2026 23:20:27
Pub run is back to the downgrade of last night’s pub run. The 12z showed a much more protracted cold spell and much snowier. Does anyone know why we are seeing this pattern of pub run and 12z being so different? Experience tells me the pub run’s rejection of anything more than a brief cold snap is probably the accurate one.
Brecklands, South Norfolk 28m ASL
Retron
08 February 2026 04:05:17

Agree - that 1991 was like many winters in the 60s and the 80s in particular, and was not And did not seem to those that lived through it, to be in any way abnormal. Nowadays, we would think this as extraordinary. That is explained by their fact back then, the climate was 0.5 above pre-industrial times And now it is 1.5 degrees above. Huge difference both in winter and summer.  I dread to think how t will fee with 3 degrees above: Total nightmare! But it is enviable now. 

Originally Posted by: BJBlake 

As I've said before, down here the climate has warmed 1.5C in just 30 years:

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/maps-and-data/uk-climate-averages/u10eu40xb 

When I was younger I thought a warming of a degree or two would be largely unnoticeable. After all, what difference really would it make it if was 32 as a high in summer instead of 30, or -1 as a high in an easterly spell rather than -3? But clearly it doesn't work like that - the extra warming completely changes our weather patterns and amongst other things means we no longer get the classic easterlies fuelled by extensions of the Siberian High, followed by ping-ponging between Scandinavia and Greenland.

The tipping point seems to have been in the mid 2000s, with 2005 being the last textbook easterly spell - just as Philip Eden thought it would be.


Leysdown, north Kent
Roger Parsons
08 February 2026 05:32:10
General discussion seems the right place for this story. But Mods are welcome to relocate it.

"People across Japan are braving snow to vote in a snap election called by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, whose coalition is expected clinch a decisive win, according to polls.

This is first mid-winter election in 36 years in Japan, which usually holds polls during milder weather. But Takaichi called an election to seek the public's mandate soon after winning the party's leadership race.

Polls show her Liberal Democratic Party's (LDP) coalition with the populist Japanese Innovation Party could bag up to 300 of the 465 seats in the Lower House.

This is a turnaround for the LDP, which lost its decades-old coalition ally and parliamentary majority because of corruption scandals and rising costs."

Japanese people brave snow to vote in snap election 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cx2y7d2z29xo 


RogerP

West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire

Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.

William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830

Chunky Pea
08 February 2026 05:59:31

 with 2005 being the last textbook easterly spell - just as Philip Eden thought it would be.

Originally Posted by: Retron 

Would not the late Feb/early March 2018 easterly not count as 'textbook'? 

Took this photo from the back window in the late afternoon of the 28th Feb that year before the blizzard hit that night. Visibility incredibly low with the wind driven dusty snow squall. Temp was abou -5.0c at the time.

UserPostedImage


Patrick,

East Galway, Ireland.

Retron
08 February 2026 06:10:24

Would not the late Feb/early March 2018 easterly not count as 'textbook'? 

Originally Posted by: Chunky Pea 

Nope.

It was a blink and miss it reminder of what we once had - there was no longevity whatsoever.

It was also at the arse end of winter, so of course went "poof" very quickly. It was, however, nice to see powder snow for the first time in decades, and it was also nice to see that despite everything we *can* still see record-breaking cold for the time of year. The fact that nearby Faversham was the coldest place in the UK that winter was also remarkable, I suspect I'll never see the likes again.


Leysdown, north Kent
Chunky Pea
08 February 2026 06:14:48

Nope.

It was a blink and miss it reminder of what we once had - there was no longevity whatsoever.

(It was also at the arse end of winter, so of course went "poof" once the sun came out!)

Originally Posted by: Retron 

That is true regarding how the snow just 'disappeared' rather than melted over the following couple of days. 


Patrick,

East Galway, Ireland.

Retron
08 February 2026 06:22:11

That is true regarding how the snow just 'disappeared' rather than melted over the following couple of days. 

Originally Posted by: Chunky Pea 

By comparison, the 2005 spell - the last true easterly - saw 14 days in a row of snow falling and 14 days in a row of complete snow cover here. It was at a similar time of year and the temperatures weren't as cold as 2018 - indeed, there were no ice days - but the sheer amount of snow overwhelmed what melting there was. It was localised but I'll never forget it. Oh, it was also the last time we saw a textbook warm front end to the spell too, you know the sort of thing where the sky turns milky, then overcast, then you get fine snow, followed by big splodgy flakes which pile up quickly. And then after two or three hours it fizzles out into drizzle, before skies clear and the thaw begins. 

Once upon a time that sort of breakdown was common (and indeed in the 80s sometimes it stayed as snow throughout) but the nearest  we've had in the 21 years since then was some freezing rain at the end of the 2018 spell. It was so brief that the cold air didn't fully embed as it did in 2005 - the boundary layer was too thin.

EDIT: I've not posted this pic before, but 2005 was the last time the horizon disappeared. It used to be a common thing in the snows of the 80s, I remember my mum back then warning me about how dangerous it could be to go wandering in heavy snow as you could lose your bearings easily. I strongly suspect this picture will have been the last time I ever see that particular phenomenon!

https://ukwct.org.uk/weather/horizon.jpg 

UserPostedImage


Leysdown, north Kent
johncs2016
08 February 2026 09:53:26
With the days now becoming longer and with the midday Sun getting higher in the sky with every day, this is usually the time of the year when we would normally start to feel the heat of that Sun on our faces.

Sadly though, the Sun needs to actually be shining in order for that to happen which has not really been the case so far this month. As I write, the measly total of just 1.9 hours of sunshine has been recorded for this month so far at Edinburgh Gogarbank, even though we are now a quarter of the way through this month and in addition to that, the last 5 days in a row have now been completely sunless. This means that there is certainly chance of us feeling the effect of the Sun on our faces on this occasion, especially as the current permacast hell (now into its sixth day here) goes on.

In addition to that, I can also add that not only has this month been completely snowless here so far, we have only had just the one ground frost at Edinburgh Gogarbank so far this month and not a single air frost. Given that we are now a quarter of the way through what is still supposed to be a "winter" month, that is absolute pathetic!! 


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

doctormog
08 February 2026 10:02:57
1.9 hours? I’d bite your hand off for that. The last sunshine here was for about 5 minutes 18 days ago. (No sadly that is not any form exaggeration).
johncs2016
08 February 2026 11:45:43

1.9 hours? I’d bite your hand off for that. The last sunshine here was for about 5 minutes 18 days ago. (No sadly that is not any form exaggeration).

Originally Posted by: doctormog 

Yes, it was recently announced that Aberdeen was currently experiencing its longest run of completely sunless days on record.

I therefore wouldn't be the least bit surprised if Richard from your neck of the woods who used to regularly post on here, is currently raising that as a major point over on Netweather's moaning thread just now.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

doctormog
09 February 2026 20:34:38
I noticed on the BBC forecast earlier that Aboyne has now had 47% of its long term average annual rainfall.

Still no sun here (19 days since the last minute of sunshine now) and a weather warning for rain tomorrow and Wednesday.


doctormog
10 February 2026 18:09:23
As an update, Aberdeen has had as of the morning of the 10th of February:

  • 200% of the long term average monthly rainfall
  • 0% of the long term average monthly sunshine


Jiries
10 February 2026 21:07:28

As an update, Aberdeen has had as of the morning of the 10th of February:

  • 200% of the long term average monthly rainfall
  • 0% of the long term average monthly sunshine

Originally Posted by: doctormog 

Terrible isn't is?  At least the break down it on the way soon to see proper sunshine and after that back to normal pattern so to see sunshine at times.  I am sure my conservatory will able to see temperatures rising to over 21C for the first time this year, had 23.3 last year Jan and 27.6 on 6th Feb as this time of the year regardless to outside temperatures it time to see temperatures in the low 20's to high 20's end of the month on any given sunny days.  

Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
10 February 2026 21:09:34
I suppose I’m in good company as I’m here to moan about the grey, damp/wet foggy sunless monotony.  When will it brighten up?  I don’t remember such a long spell of mizzle.
Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.

tallyho_83
10 February 2026 22:22:08

As an update, Aberdeen has had as of the morning of the 10th of February:

  • 200% of the long term average monthly rainfall
  • 0% of the long term average monthly sunshine

Originally Posted by: doctormog 

I heard on the news that Aberdeen has been 3 weeks (21 days) without any sun or something like that? Hopefully by Thursday you will see some sun. Finally!

I wonder how Richard's mental health is as well!? I know he struggled with his mental health during winter in particular calling it vile most of the time but he has kept a low profile of late...


Home Location - Vixen Tor Close, Okehampton, Devon (221m ASL)

---------------------------------------

Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

Matty H
10 February 2026 23:22:56

I heard on the news that Aberdeen has been 3 weeks (21 days) without any sun or something like that? Hopefully by Thursday you will see some sun. Finally!

I wonder how Richard's mental health is as well!? I know he struggled with his mental health during winter in particular calling it vile most of the time but he has kept a low profile of late...

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 

Posts on NW. maybe he’s fed up of Presutti-isms in the snow potential thread here. 


Yate, Nr Bristol

TBFTEIARBSC

Brian Gaze
14 February 2026 10:49:46
Huge falls of snow (100cm in places) in the French Alps in recent days. 
Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 

"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan

Jiries
14 February 2026 19:46:40
Finally today near wall to wall sunshine brought my first 25.1C in the conservatory for the first time to breach over 20.0C and 70F.  Was 0.8 this morning while outside was frosty.  Can't wait to see first 30C soon some point in March.
Retron
15 February 2026 03:36:40
The radar this morning sums up the winter in a nutshell. Up north, loads of snow. France? Loads of snow. Down here - a few patches of light drizzle. Awesome.

https://ukwct.org.uk/weather/radar4.jpg 

UserPostedImage

It's now the longest period in my 46-year life since there was a covering of snow on the ground at 9AM (i.e. an official snow day). Depressing, frankly - will I ever wake up to a bright bedroom due to light reflecting off snow again? Sometimes I wonder...


Leysdown, north Kent
sunny coast
15 February 2026 09:37:23
Another awful bland winter despite the promising charts of early jan  and the sunny interlude around xmas and new year . Instead relentless grey wet frostless drudgery . Awful winter 
Tim A
15 February 2026 10:05:25
I think a lot of that snow on the radar image in the North didn't settle. Certainly around here it settling snow only above 150m.

The winter has been cold here so far, but not snowy. Fleeting bits of snow from cold air incursions from the NE , so close to something special but was not to be. 

Normally small marginal snowfalls of 1-3cm come from the West or North West. But in recent years there has been almost an absence of PM incursions and wintry showers. (Might have read someone in Glasgow at 200m has had no snow this winter!) Do worry that they may become a thing of the past and were enhanced briefly in the last decade due to the usually cold pool in the N Atlantic which has now disappeared. 


Tim

NW Leeds

187m asl

 My PWS 

Lumi
15 February 2026 11:52:52

I think a lot of that snow on the radar image in the North didn't settle. Certainly around here it settling snow only above 150m.

The winter has been cold here so far, but not snowy. Fleeting bits of snow from cold air incursions from the NE , so close to something special but was not to be. 

Normally small marginal snowfalls of 1-3cm come from the West or North West. But in recent years there has been almost an absence of PM incursions and wintry showers. (Might have read someone in Glasgow at 200m has had no snow this winter!) Do worry that they may become a thing of the past and were enhanced briefly in the last decade due to the usually cold pool in the N Atlantic which has now disappeared. 

Originally Posted by: Tim A 

Thought this was going to be the year in the 13 years we have been here. Saw the 2018 late winter spell which was good but not on a par with past Easterly spells in the late 70s, the 80s and some others when we were in lowland South Yorkshire (these spells would have been extreme up here) . Its been frustrating and very disappointing watching what the models were indicating that never came to fruition. Our most notable snow falls up here, other than the 2018 one, have come from polar maritime air (thunder snow etc). We have seen quite a few snowfalls this season ( probably the most in number) but it has been less than impressive and always wet borderline snow. Hope we don't have this probable upcoming mild spell followed by a colder wet early spring. It would be the ultimate of disappointments.


Thurlstone

South Yorkshire

230m AMSL

Brian Gaze
15 February 2026 14:03:46
As far as I can see, this winter is going to fall into the "mild" category for the southern half of the UK, at least. The early January cold snap was quite pleasant, delivering a little snow, but the rest of the winter has been a miserable experience. On a personal level the best thing I did was resist the temptation to go to the Alps in December and wait until late January instead. That resulted in experiencing "proper" winter and enjoying good skiing conditions. Fortunately, as well as enjoying cold and snow I am firmly in the "heat hound" category, so roll on summer. Even a relatively poor one is likely to deliver 30C or higher at some point down here.

UserPostedImage


Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 

"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan

BJBlake
15 February 2026 15:06:11
A spectacular unexpected snowfall today - over 3   Cm in 4 hours of heavy snow !! 
Brecklands, South Norfolk 28m ASL

Remove ads from site