The Weather Outlook

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Matty H
03 February 2026 18:47:04
It’s snowing here and I’m not even watching it, because I don’t care

Moan about that snow lovers!!!! 🤣🤣😜


Yate, Nr Bristol

TBFTEIARBSC

Jiries
04 February 2026 05:53:52

I'll be honest, winter lovers have my sympathy here. The current pattern (-NAO, southerly tracking jet and easterly winds) would be perfect for cold and snow, but without any real cold to tap into, it's useless. You'd be forgiven for thinking the current setup was courtesy of a gloomy, Atlantic westerly, though just a few degrees colder.

Originally Posted by: Bolty 

It all down to stupid models blocking our chances to get 80’s winter type and last night we had unexpected snowfall leaving up to 1cm on settled surfaces.  As if the snow trying to sneak in without the Scrooge idiots models knowing it before it run away again as milder air get in.   

Retron
04 February 2026 05:57:44

It all down to stupid models blocking our chances to get 80’s winter type and last night we had unexpected snowfall leaving up to 1cm on settled surfaces.  As if the snow trying to sneak in without the Scrooge idiots models knowing it before it run away again as milder air get in.   

Originally Posted by: Jiries 

You've seen more snow than we've had in 5 years here.

I continue to think that the best chance of seeing snow on the ground here is as the block collapses late next week, but I'll not get my hopes up. It really is most frustrating how snowless it's been down here, considering how snowy it used to be in the first half of my life!


Leysdown, north Kent
Jiries
04 February 2026 06:16:46

You've seen more snow than we've had in 5 years here.

I continue to think that the best chance of seeing snow on the ground here is as the block collapses late next week, but I'll not get my hopes up. It really is most frustrating how snowless it's been down here, considering how snowy it used to be in the first half of my life!

Originally Posted by: Retron 

Yes I seen more snow but less cold temperatures really irritating as I want like what I seen in the past.  My concern that this winter in Lapland to Europe having excellent deep cold winter might not have this next winter for us as tap to it.  

Chunky Pea
04 February 2026 06:54:45
Current temp profile over northern Europe. Frozen air blowing westwards out of Scandinavia for days now but just desolves into nothing over the North Sea. 

UserPostedImage


Patrick,

East Galway, Ireland.

Retron
04 February 2026 07:10:53

Current temp profile over northern Europe. Frozen air blowing westwards out of Scandinavia for days now but just desolves into nothing over the North Sea. 

Originally Posted by: Chunky Pea 

It's because there's been an ESE'ly steering flow, the deep cold has been pulsing over Shetland, missing most of the UK. Shetland, incidentally, has a snow warning today and there's plenty of snow there on the MetO raw forecast. If only, eh?


Leysdown, north Kent
roadrunnerajn
04 February 2026 07:26:23
So if you are 400 miles south of the Arctic Circle you can get snow today. ..great.
Germoe, part of the breakaway Celtic Republic. 80m asl
Chunky Pea
04 February 2026 08:23:12

It's because there's been an ESE'ly steering flow, the deep cold has been pulsing over Shetland, missing most of the UK. Shetland, incidentally, has a snow warning today and there's plenty of snow there on the MetO raw forecast. If only, eh?

Originally Posted by: Retron 

Yep, true. The 'earthnullskool' windflow map confirms:

https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-6.63,58.14,2005/loc=0.098,51.662 

It is interesting though that the winds over Scotland are coming straight in from the Baltic. Can only imagine the brutish windchill that is bringing there. 


Patrick,

East Galway, Ireland.

Brian Gaze
04 February 2026 08:32:57
Last night must have been one of best examples of "close but no cigar" in much of southern and central Britain. It would have taken very little change for heavy and disruptive snow. If the event had happened in the 80s I wonder if the outcome would have been different?
Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 

"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan

Bolty
04 February 2026 08:52:10

It all down to stupid models blocking our chances to get 80’s winter type and last night we had unexpected snowfall leaving up to 1cm on settled surfaces.  As if the snow trying to sneak in without the Scrooge idiots models knowing it before it run away again as milder air get in.   

Originally Posted by: Jiries 

Why would the models block the chances of cold? They don't make the weather, they just forecast it. If they back away from a cold spell it's because their algorithm has interpreted more up to date data and suggested that the chances of cold have decreased.


Scott

Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.

My weather station 

Jiries
04 February 2026 09:36:55

Last night must have been one of best examples of "close but no cigar" in much of southern and central Britain. It would have taken very little change for heavy and disruptive snow. If the event had happened in the 80s I wonder if the outcome would have been different?

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

Yes likely good chance like in the 80's as there was no models existing that time.  See how the snow sneaked in here last night and caught out everyone surprise when the models was very persistant saying NO NO NO as Maggie Thatcher say before,

Snow Hoper
05 February 2026 10:50:12

Last night must have been one of best examples of "close but no cigar" in much of southern and central Britain. It would have taken very little change for heavy and disruptive snow. If the event had happened in the 80s I wonder if the outcome would have been different?

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

I've been wondering that if this winters synoptic pattern had occurred in 1947 would it have been similar?


Going to war over religion is like killing each other to see who has the better imaginary friend.

Home : Mid Suffolk.

48m Asl

nsrobins
05 February 2026 16:17:03
Confession - sick of the winter of ‘no winter’ now. One frost and a flake of sleet doth not winter make and it’s all the worst for the ‘so close’ Synoptics.

It feels like we’ve been flogging a dead horse now for weeks and I can’t wait for the sun and warmth and please something dry.


Neil

Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)

Stormchaser, Member TORRO

Saint Snow
05 February 2026 16:28:56

Confession - sick of the winter of ‘no winter’ now. One frost and a flake of sleet doth not winter make and it’s all the worst for the ‘so close’ Synoptics.

It feels like we’ve been flogging a dead horse now for weeks and I can’t wait for the sun and warmth and please something dry.

Originally Posted by: nsrobins 

Just wait till April - the Beast will finally find its satnav and roar into the country in a rage of wet snow that settles into a mass of slushy puddles.


Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."

Aneurin Bevan

Bolty
05 February 2026 16:32:41
The forecast looks dreadful, to be honest. Low to mid-single figures, strong winds, rain and sleet and very little sunshine. It's about as dire as winter weather gets.

Roll on spring.


Scott

Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.

My weather station 

Retron
05 February 2026 16:44:05

Just wait till April - the Beast will finally find its satnav and roar into the country in a rage of wet snow that settles into a mass of slushy puddles.

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 

I'd happily take that, but it's not snowed in April here since 1984, I think it was, I've a picture of my 4-year-old self grinning away in the snow, next to my granddad. Funny to think last century there was snow in June, sleet in September... all before I was born, but there nonetheless. 

I think I've realised what my feelings are regarding the loss of snow and winters of my youth are... it's a sort of yearning, wistful feeling, a wish that I'd just realised what was to come and enjoyed it more, not taken it for granted. It's the same feeling I have when I remember my mum died 25 years ago next month... it's bereavement. 


Leysdown, north Kent
Jiries
05 February 2026 20:13:00

Confession - sick of the winter of ‘no winter’ now. One frost and a flake of sleet doth not winter make and it’s all the worst for the ‘so close’ Synoptics.

It feels like we’ve been flogging a dead horse now for weeks and I can’t wait for the sun and warmth and please something dry.

Originally Posted by: nsrobins 

We need a break down to come asap to get rid of it.  I had to wipe dry the conservatory windows inside as it been so damp after no sun for weeks.  By now it would be in the low 20's and high 20's at end of the month like last year did.  

Saint Snow
07 February 2026 12:51:13
Another possible window for snow appears... then quickly slams shut 

Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."

Aneurin Bevan

roadrunnerajn
07 February 2026 13:11:45
Down here Autumn just hands the baton straight over to Spring and Winter just shrugs its shoulders. 
Germoe, part of the breakaway Celtic Republic. 80m asl
doctormog
07 February 2026 13:18:53
Here we seemed to have had: autumn then winter (November) then autumn then winter on steroids (first third of January) and then the same day of vile weather on repeat for three to four weeks (…then winter then spring?)
Saint Snow
07 February 2026 16:16:55

Here we seemed to have had: autumn then winter (November) then autumn then winter on steroids (first third of January) and then the same day of vile weather on repeat for three to four weeks (…then winter then spring?)

Originally Posted by: doctormog 

We had autumn, a touch of winterishness in January, but soon back to autumn.

It's the Jim Bowen winter - 'Look what you could have won!'


Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."

Aneurin Bevan

Retron
07 February 2026 16:35:55
Winter was effectively a few days in January, we even had a few frosts in a row and the ground froze for a bit! 

Last winter was much the same too, condensed into a single week in January.


Leysdown, north Kent
Snow Hoper
07 February 2026 18:02:35
It's the anniversary of the last decent snowfall here overnight from 5 years ago. Barely seen any since and have to wonder how long before we do.
Going to war over religion is like killing each other to see who has the better imaginary friend.

Home : Mid Suffolk.

48m Asl

Jiries
07 February 2026 22:30:49

It's the anniversary of the last decent snowfall here overnight from 5 years ago. Barely seen any since and have to wonder how long before we do.

Originally Posted by: Snow Hoper 

it also today 35 years since -5C and -11C recorded on 7th Feb 1991 the coldest and last time to see -5c maxes, next day was -4.5, then -3.7 and -3.8 to -1 before went to 1C and -12c at night.  Was -2C ib 6th, 2c on 5th and 8C on 4th.  I thought that time -5C was normal for a cold spell I mean cold spell consist of subzero temperatures not the modern cold spells that come with less cold temperatures.

BJBlake
07 February 2026 23:14:41

it also today 35 years since -5C and -11C recorded on 7th Feb 1991 the coldest and last time to see -5c maxes, next day was -4.5, then -3.7 and -3.8 to -1 before went to 1C and -12c at night.  Was -2C ib 6th, 2c on 5th and 8C on 4th.  I thought that time -5C was normal for a cold spell I mean cold spell consist of subzero temperatures not the modern cold spells that come with less cold temperatures.

Originally Posted by: Jiries 

Agree - that 1991 was like many winters in the 60s and the 80s in particular, and was not And did not seem to those that lived through it, to be in any way abnormal. Nowadays, we would think this as extraordinary. That is explained by their fact back then, the climate was 0.5 above pre-industrial times And now it is 1.5 degrees above. Huge difference both in winter and summer.  I dread to think how t will fee with 3 degrees above: Total nightmare! But it is enviable now. 


Brecklands, South Norfolk 28m ASL

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