Good old MetO - got to love the way it goes overboard with the minima!

https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/charts/ukguk/12_162_2m_min_temp.png 

(There's a -25 lurking there...)

Originally Posted by: Retron 

The fascinating thing at this stage of the game is that we still can't be at all confident how this will play out. For all we know, we could be heading for a winter that will be remembered as one of the all time classics, ranking alongside 47, 63 and 79. On the other hand, it's more than feasible that it could amount to several days of cold weather with snow in the favoured locations, and then "spring". It would be difficult to conjure up a more interesting outlook with the limitations of current technology.

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

The 16 year "cold winter" cycle would be kicking in in 2026.

Originally Posted by: westv 

The fascinating thing at this stage of the game is that we still can't be at all confident how this will play out. For all we know, we could be heading for a winter that will be remembered as one of the all time classics, ranking alongside 47, 63 and 79. On the other hand, it's more than feasible that it could amount to several days of cold weather with snow in the favoured locations, and then "spring". It would be difficult to conjure up a more interesting outlook with the limitations of current technology.

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

Ecm 12z is another very snowy run. The 12s set overall is about as good as you can hope for if you love cold and snow.

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

Same to 12z ensembles for here and not bone dry but lot of precips every day at near -10C mean line.  I notice the app removed the snowflakes but put awful tiny flakes with blue lines symbols?  Dont like that as it also show for Toronto and Lapland.

Originally Posted by: Jiries 

Yes it always seems to say “wintry mix” even with temperatures way below zero. Not sure why. 

FWIW I now have two days (Sunday 4th and Monday 5th) not rising above zero on the app. But the fateful “no precipitation expected in the next 10 days” too. 

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

Good old MetO - got to love the way it goes overboard with the minima!

https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/charts/ukguk/12_162_2m_min_temp.png 

(There's a -25 lurking there...)

Originally Posted by: Retron 

Jan 1881 repeat

Originally Posted by: CField 

GFS pub run is hands down the snowiest I can ever remember.  A thing of beauty 

Originally Posted by: scillydave 

Wait until you see AIFS 18z. One of the coldest Ops I've ever seen. Astonishing run

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

So on the big picture we continue to see upgrades, heights remain strong in Greenland for what seems longer and longer with each new run. The UK zonally sits right in the middle of the jet trough as far as it is possible to be from the danger zone in the west (the dreaded toppler) or the east (the west based GH). I'd like to continue seeing this, if we do the only thing that could spoil this would be short wave features that somehow introduce milder air into the setup (always possible).

Best northerly setup for a while and at a very good time of year. High SSTs are good for lake effect too.

Originally Posted by: Quantum 

Seems almost like an exact repeat of last autumn and winter, with the cold snap in November and this possible cold spell at exactly the same point as the one last January. Who knows how the rest of Winter plays out but on the balance of probabilities then more likely to be similar to last Winter than a proper classic. Not sure we will go straight to "Spring" though just that the rest of Winter could be quite ordinary.

Originally Posted by: Taylor1740