The Weather Outlook

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Retron
12 August 2025 06:19:43

Thank you for that note of optimism Darren. Yesterday's high a tad over 29C felt warm but not unbearable.

Best get my garden watering out of the way or I'll have to hire a skip.

Originally Posted by: NMA 

It's a double-edged sword, really. Would you rather have say 27C and a dewpoint of 20C, which feels stifling and which won't cool down very quickly at night (as we'll have here), or say 32C and a dewpoint of 3C, as the GFS shows for parts of the Midlands today? The latter will feel more pleasant all round, but will dry things out that much more...

Incidentally both the GFS and MetO show 850s of 22C or more over Cornwall this weekend. That's very unusual this late in the year, but the fact Cornwall is a peninsula should temper the heat a bit. Just as well it's over there, as those sort of 850s would support 35 or 36 over here!


Leysdown, north Kent
Jiries
12 August 2025 06:24:38

Last night's cloud and rain were more extensive than modelled. I suspect they may peg back temperatures a little today, but we shall see, with tomorrow perhaps being the peak.

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

Was so furious to see dampness and overcast skies this morning so like you said can’t see temps reaching near mid 30s here as previous heatwaves  that brought those temps was super clear skies breezy dry air and real heat last seen here Sept 2023 and last month short 2 days spell.   

I wonder why all forecasts and models had been very wrong this time as we under HP meant to be hot dry and sunny set up not unsettled weather. I feel envy that Europe see their heatwave done well and high temps achieved without any hindrance.

 

Let see if this weekend one deliver higher temps sunny and properly run heatwave.  Forget about today or tomorrow. 

Devonian
12 August 2025 06:27:25

Darren is being realistic. If this weather continues as modeled the the water situation can only deteriorate, quite seriously IMO.

Crepuscular Ray
12 August 2025 06:51:32

We 'might' reach heatwave threshold here today (25 C) I doubt it would last 3 days but at last it's turning warm and sunny 😁


Jerry

Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill

Brian Gaze
12 August 2025 06:51:34

I've just moved a post to the breakout thread where the discussion can be continued if you wish. This thread is for the mid August heatwave only.


Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

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Brian Gaze
12 August 2025 07:09:04

UKV showing 37C tomorrow.

UserPostedImage


Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

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Jiries
12 August 2025 07:41:21

Oh dear they not back down those high temps with no sun and recent rain will put a lid on high temps.  More like mid 20s without sun.

doctormog
12 August 2025 08:22:28

Oh dear they not back down those high temps with no sun and recent rain will put a lid on high temps.  More like mid 20s without sun.

Originally Posted by: Jiries 

For your location I would be very surprised if it did not reach 30°C (at least) today.

It should reach the mid 20s again here today which would be very nice.


Jiries
12 August 2025 08:37:01

For your location I would be very surprised if it did not reach 30°C (at least) today.

It should reach the mid 20s again here today which would be very nice.

Originally Posted by: doctormog 

Still very dull and cloudy and much cooler so now have to wait for next batch to deliver much hotter and sunnier weather this weekend as this one failed and once it failed no recovery can work. 

The Beast from the East
12 August 2025 08:40:34

Interestingly the BBC also quote the 34-  30c days in 1995 at the end of this article. So maybe some accuracy to it.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/czerrzdewzxo 

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

It was a great summer, though I cant believe it had so many plus 30 days. 


Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

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Essan
12 August 2025 08:50:59

Still very dull and cloudy and much cooler so now have to wait for next batch to deliver much hotter and sunnier weather this weekend as this one failed and once it failed no recovery can work. 

Originally Posted by: Jiries 

It may have failed to deliver where you are, but fortunately for the rest of us it's still not yet 10am so we won't know for a least another 8 hours 😉  


Andy

Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl

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Saint Snow
12 August 2025 08:54:45

Lashing it down here 🤷


Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

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Ally Pally Snowman
12 August 2025 09:02:14

It was a great summer, though I cant believe it had so many plus 30 days. 

Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 

It was a good one that's for sure. Lots of fires where I lived in Sussex, probably the driest landscape of my lifetime.  Should be remembered more than it is really 76 gets all the glory.


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
scillydave
12 August 2025 09:02:49

Quite the opposite here in normally soggy South Wales Saint - it's bone dry with a dessicating stiff easterly breeze. 

Stepping outside already feels like being in a hair dryer.


Currently living at roughly 65m asl North of Cowbridge in the Vale of Glamorgan.

Formerly of, Birdlip, highest village in the Cotswolds and snow heaven in winter; Hawkinge in Kent - roof of the South downs and Isles of Scilly, paradise in the UK.

lanky
12 August 2025 09:08:45

It was a great summer, though I cant believe it had so many plus 30 days. 

Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 

These are the Met Office diary daily max T readings from 1995

This shows the 27 days of 30C+ I mentioned and referenced earlier in the thread and the following 7 to get to 34 over 30C

There would have to have been a lot of later amendments to the diary to get to 34 IMO

It is interesting that the 30C records were less SE centric than in this years heat

UserPostedImage


Martin

Richmond, Surrey

warrenb
12 August 2025 09:17:04

10am and it was 26.2c


Ally Pally Snowman
12 August 2025 09:24:56

These are the Met Office diary daily max T readings from 1995

This shows the 27 days of 30C+ I mentioned and referenced earlier in the thread and the following 7 to get to 34 over 30C

There would have to have been a lot of later amendments to the diary to get to 34 IMO

It is interesting that the 30C records were less SE centric than in this years heat

UserPostedImage

Originally Posted by: lanky 

Would be interesting to know where the BBC got the 34 days from. There is obviously some merit to the stat. Not sure how we find out?


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Ally Pally Snowman
12 August 2025 09:26:25

Already 28c in Frittenden 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
warrenb
12 August 2025 10:14:53

11am and it was 28.3c


GezM
  • GezM
  • Advanced Member
12 August 2025 10:17:19

Would be interesting to know where the BBC got the 34 days from. There is obviously some merit to the stat. Not sure how we find out?

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

Looking at that list of 30C plus days reminds me of a couple of weather stations that don't seem to get mentioned any more. When I were a lad, I'd love reading the list of max temperatures around the country in the national paper (my Dad used to buy the Daily Telegraph). In widespread heatwaves you'd often see Saunton Sands at or near the top of the list. And then there's Barbourne which features strongly in the 1995 list. I'm guessing both of these have been decommissioned?    


Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)

Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)

Ally Pally Snowman
12 August 2025 10:19:22

Already 28c in Frittenden 

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

Frittenden 29.6c at 11am , could be another Brogdale day.


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Brian Gaze
12 August 2025 10:23:22

See this thread wrt 1995. Sryan is a brilliant weather stats guru.


Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

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Retron
12 August 2025 10:27:29

Frittenden 29.6c at 11am , could be another Brogdale day.

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

The wind's wrong for Brogdale - it's off the sea today.


Leysdown, north Kent
NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
12 August 2025 10:29:57

28.2C. Cloudless and more or less calm.


Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

doctormog
12 August 2025 10:39:14

24.0°C here just now. It could be two consecutive days above 25°C, and if that was the case tomorrow too it would reach the heatwave threshold. It’s still a tough challenge, but it is possible.


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