The Weather Outlook

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Windy Willow
01 February 2025 19:43:20

Moon and Venus westering now....

Originally Posted by: Roger Parsons 

Too cloudy for me, glad you're enjoying though.

South Holland, Lincs 5m/16ft ASL

When I saw corruption, I was forced to find truth on my own. I couldn't swallow the hypocrisy.

Barry White

It’s the end of the world as we know it (and I feel fine) - R.E.M.

Roger Parsons
01 February 2025 19:51:51

Too cloudy for me, glad you're enjoying though.

Originally Posted by: Windy Willow 

Not brilliant here now either.....

"It does not matter if you look down or up as long as you look." Ed Ricketts.

RogerP

West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire

Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.

William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830

+1
Roger Parsons
02 February 2025 16:25:06
If it's clear tonight - and it's looking promising here, look at the Moon and Venus.

Crescent Moon and Venus light up the night sky

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/articles/c3914yk4g7wo 

RogerP

West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire

Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.

William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830

+1
Roger Parsons
02 February 2025 18:51:30

If it's clear tonight - and it's looking promising here, look at the Moon and Venus.

Crescent Moon and Venus light up the night sky

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/articles/c3914yk4g7wo 

Originally Posted by: Roger Parsons 

Go and look west NOW - brilliant.

R.

RogerP

West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire

Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.

William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830

Gandalf The White
03 February 2025 18:01:53
A asteroid 40-90 metres across has been identified with a currently estimated 1% chance of colliding with Earth on 22 December 2032.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cqx9dgpx98go 

Location: South Cambridgeshire

130 metres ASL

52.0N 0.1E



DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
03 February 2025 18:24:56

A asteroid 40-90 metres across has been identified with a currently estimated 1% chance of colliding with Earth on 22 December 2032.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cqx9dgpx98go 

Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White 

First posted and replied to 31st January in this thread. Keep up at the back there!

War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

lanky
03 February 2025 19:48:18

A asteroid 40-90 metres across has been identified with a currently estimated 1% chance of colliding with Earth on 22 December 2032.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cqx9dgpx98go 

Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White 

Having been to Meteor Crater in Arizona and seen what a 30-50m wide meteorite can do, I don't fancy a 50-100m meteorite landing anywhere near here. The "tiny" probability stated by the EU of 13 in 1000 still sounds too close for comfort for something of that magnitude

Martin

Richmond, Surrey

Saint Snow
03 February 2025 21:04:55

Having been to Meteor Crater in Arizona and seen what a 30-50m wide meteorite can do, I don't fancy a 50-100m meteorite landing anywhere near here. The "tiny" probability stated by the EU of 13 in 1000 still sounds too close for comfort for something of that magnitude

Originally Posted by: lanky 

Hopefully it hits 26.6771° N / 80.0370° W

Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."

Aneurin Bevan

Roger Parsons
03 February 2025 21:15:24
Spaceweather writes: "A sunspot complex more than 500,000 km wide is crossing the solar disk and crackling with solar flares. In the past 24 hours alone there has been one near-X flare and a half-a-dozen shortwave radio blackouts. This sets the stage for a week of potentially high solar activity."

https://spaceweather.com/ 

https://aurorawatch.lancs.ac.uk/ 

RogerP

West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire

Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.

William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830

Gandalf The White
03 February 2025 22:13:16

First posted and replied to 31st January in this thread. Keep up at the back there!

Originally Posted by: DEW 

It was date stamped today so I assumed it was a new item.

I did check your original post and the link doesn’t go to the right place.  Maybe I’m not the only one not keeping up…. 😉

Location: South Cambridgeshire

130 metres ASL

52.0N 0.1E



DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
03 February 2025 23:33:01

It was date stamped today so I assumed it was a new item.

I did check your original post and the link doesn’t go to the right place.  Maybe I’m not the only one not keeping up…. 😉

Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White 

I'm sorry you had to wait for the BBC article to appear on 3rd Feb when the news had broken 3 days earlier. A pity that you weren't keeping an eye on what others post in this thread.

The link in my post originally referred to the daily display of front pages produced by the BBC, and was obviously valid at the time as Roger found it to work - witness his post #815. The link now takes you to a  text summary of front pages from 31st Jan, and indeed to a page I'd not seen before. I assume the BBC must have edited the original to keep the text without the graphics (and left out some of the papers). Obviously it helps if you read the item and use the link when it's posted and rather than 3 days later.

War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

Gandalf The White
03 February 2025 23:52:20

I'm sorry you had to wait for the BBC article to appear on 3rd Feb when the news had broken 3 days earlier. A pity that you weren't keeping an eye on what others post in this thread.

The link in my post originally referred to the daily display of front pages produced by the BBC, and was obviously valid at the time as Roger found it to work - witness his post #815. The link now takes you to a  text summary of front pages from 31st Jan, and indeed to a page I'd not seen before. I assume the BBC must have edited the original to keep the text without the graphics (and left out some of the papers). Obviously it helps if you read the item and use the link when it's posted and rather than 3 days later.

Originally Posted by: DEW 

Well obviously I don’t check every thread every day; except for your daily model output summary, of course…. 🙂

Anyway, no need to be sorry but apology accepted 😉

Location: South Cambridgeshire

130 metres ASL

52.0N 0.1E



Roger Parsons
05 February 2025 09:01:36
Solar Flare possibility: "Since the week began, sunspot 3981 has produced 19 M-class solar flares. It's hyperactive. NOAA forecasters say there's a 20% chance that the sunspot could produce an X-flare on Feb. 5th, topping all of its previous explosions."

https://spaceweather.com/ 

Keep an eye on the incoming data:

https://aurorawatch.lancs.ac.uk/ 

RogerP

West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire

Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.

William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830

+1
Roger Parsons
06 February 2025 04:19:12
Starlink Re-entries: "Last month, more than 120 Starlink satellites fell out of orbit. The daily rate of reentries is unprecedented and might be altering the chemistry of Earth's atmosphere. On the bright side, they make beautiful fireballs!"

https://spaceweather.com/ 

RogerP

West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire

Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.

William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830

+1
Roger Parsons
06 February 2025 17:59:07
Clear sky here 18.00hrs with Venus, Saturn, Jupiter, Moon and Mars visible. Enjoy.
RogerP

West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire

Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.

William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830

The Beast from the East
07 February 2025 02:01:00

Clear sky here 18.00hrs with Venus, Saturn, Jupiter, Moon and Mars visible. Enjoy.

Originally Posted by: Roger Parsons 

with the naked eye? 

Sadly looks like being cloudy wet and miserable here for a while now. 

Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President

Roger Parsons
07 February 2025 05:51:17
Absolutely! A stunning sight. No stars then visible - just the "dance" of the moon and planets. No detail of course without a 'scope. Maybe this evening for you?

https://skyandtelescope.org/astronomy-news/observing-news/this-weeks-sky-at-a-glance-january-31-february-9/ 

RogerP

West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire

Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.

William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830

westv
10 February 2025 00:00:33

A asteroid 40-90 metres across has been identified with a currently estimated 1% chance of colliding with Earth on 22 December 2032.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cqx9dgpx98go 

Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White 

It's 2.9% now.

At least it will be mild!
The Beast from the East
10 February 2025 01:11:48

It's 2.9% now.

Originally Posted by: westv 

I think humanity needs to be put out of its misery and we can start again and this time make a world that doesnt make Elon Musk the most powerful man 

Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President

Roger Parsons
10 February 2025 07:34:09
"TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 11

Full Moon this evening and tomorrow evening. It's exactly full at 8:53 a.m. February 12th EST, about halfway between the two evenings for the longitudes of the Americas.

This evening the Moon rises in the east-northeast about a half hour before sunset. Watch it emerge into view through the fading daylight."

This Week's Sky at a Glance, February 7 – 16

https://skyandtelescope.org/astronomy-news/observing-news/this-weeks-sky-at-a-glance-february-7-16/ 

RogerP

West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire

Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.

William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830

Roger Parsons
11 February 2025 07:50:42
Wish I'd seen this...

"My friends and I drove 4 hours from cloudy Tromso to clear skies in Finland," says Horálek. "We stopped at a frozen lake where a giant herd of reindeer were crossing. The auroras overhead were truly brilliant with 'spike' structures that I had never seen before."

https://spaceweather.com/images2025/10feb25/reindeer_strip.jpg 

https://spaceweather.com/ 

RogerP

West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire

Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.

William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830

+1
Roger Parsons
13 February 2025 15:10:44
Worth a watch. Enjoy.

Astronaut's view of Northern Lights from International Space Station

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/videos/c07kljvv5mko 

Plus PSCs in Finland:

https://spaceweather.com/ 

RogerP

West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire

Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.

William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830

+1
Roger Parsons
17 February 2025 15:50:59
Spaceweather.com says:

"When the sun goes down tonight, step outside and look southwest. Venus is beaming beautifully through the twilight. The view is even better through a telescope."

https://spaceweather.com/ 

RogerP

West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire

Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.

William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830

Roger Parsons
18 February 2025 17:07:22

A asteroid 40-90 metres across has been identified with a currently estimated 1% chance of colliding with Earth on 22 December 2032.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cqx9dgpx98go 

Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White 

Update on the asteroid, Peter.

"A new tranche of data released yesterday by JPL has increased the odds of asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth in December 2032. The probability now stands at 2.6%, double what it was less than a month ago."

Odds on my being around to find out = >0. 😁

https://spaceweather.com/ 

RogerP

West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire

Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.

William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830

Roger Parsons
19 February 2025 21:27:27
More: " Yesterday, we reported that the odds of asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth had risen to 2.6%. Only one day later the odds are 3.1%. New observations submitted to JPL overnight caused the increase. This makes 2024 YR4 the most dangerous known asteroid since modern tracking began. On the bright side, probabilities still favor a miss, albeit an increasingly near one." 😁

https://spaceweather.com/ 

RogerP

West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire

Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.

William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830

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