The Weather Outlook

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Retron
19 January 2025 06:56:11

"A rare and potentially-historic outbreak of polar stratospheric clouds (PSCs) is underway inside the Arctic Circle. Janne Kukkola photographed the display from Rovaniemi, Finland."

Originally Posted by: Roger Parsons 


They're not really rare at all, of course - we had some here last winter. I'm a bit surprised at SpaceWeather TBH!
Leysdown, north Kent
Roger Parsons
19 January 2025 08:59:08

They're not really rare at all, of course - we had some here last winter. I'm a bit surprised at SpaceWeather TBH!

Originally Posted by: Retron 


I suspect they mean "rarely seen" rather than "very unusual".  Poor choice of words, perhaps due to brevity. I've seen some from here BTW.
RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.
William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830
+1
Roger Parsons
21 January 2025 09:07:47
Great photo on Spaceweather.com: Comet ATLAS (C/2024 G3) has just emerged into the evening sky of the southern hemisphere--and it is a beauty.
https://spaceweather.com/images2025/19jan25/cometselfie_strip2.jpg 
RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.
William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830
+1
Roger Parsons
21 January 2025 16:43:41
spaceweather.com says: "...sunspot 3967 erupted this morning, producing a beautiful solar flare (category M3) and a potentially Earth-directed CME. NASA models show it grazing our planet on Jan. 24th."
https://spaceweather.com/ 

Watch aurorawatch for alerts. Night sky clear? Look north.
https://aurorawatch.lancs.ac.uk/ 
RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.
William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830
+1
Windy Willow
21 January 2025 16:54:01

spaceweather.com says: "...sunspot 3967 erupted this morning, producing a beautiful solar flare (category M3) and a potentially Earth-directed CME. NASA models show it grazing our planet on Jan. 24th."
https://spaceweather.com/ 

Watch aurorawatch for alerts. Night sky clear? Look north.
https://aurorawatch.lancs.ac.uk/ 

Originally Posted by: Roger Parsons 


Could be lucky and have clear skies overnight on the 24th according to the current forecast.
South Holland, Lincs 5m/16ft ASL

When I saw corruption, I was forced to find truth on my own. I couldn't swallow the hypocrisy.

Barry White


It’s the end of the world as we know it (and I feel fine) - R.E.M.
Roger Parsons
21 January 2025 17:15:09

Could be lucky and have clear skies overnight on the 24th according to the current forecast.

Originally Posted by: Windy Willow 


We have a useful west-facing skylight on our landing from which I can see Venus. Saturn really needs a 'scope, but you can spot it. Look SW now! Thankfully the village goes dark quite early, but there is still a glow to the north from Lincoln that makes it unlikely we will ever see the Aurora here. Astronomer, Paul Money organises an event nearby in Minting, the Horncastle Astronomy Weekend, which I've attended for years. It started in Horncastle itself. I'll send you his info when I get it. HAW 2025 (HAW 49) is September 19th to 21st 2025. More info:
https://www.astrospace.co.uk/HAW/haw.html 

https://www.astrospace.co.uk/ 
RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.
William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830
+1
Roger Parsons
25 January 2025 16:36:43
Venus and Mars performing well just now - This Week's Sky at a Glance up to February
https://skyandtelescope.org/astronomy-news/observing-news/this-weeks-sky-at-a-glance-january-24-february-2/ 

RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.
William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830
+2
Roger Parsons
26 January 2025 14:53:42
SpaceWeather.com writes: "The Arctic Circle could soon be filled with Type II Polar Stratospheric Clouds (PSCs) - widely regarded as the most beautiful clouds on Earth....The air temperature of the polar stratosphere could soon drop to its lowest value in nearly 50 years, if the forecast holds. This sets the stage for intense PSCs."
https://spaceweather.com/ 
RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.
William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830
+1
Ulric
29 January 2025 20:15:55
Not sure if this is space news or something much deeper. Anyway, it piqued my interest today.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c7vd1zjlr5lo 
"The death of human empathy is one of the earliest and most telling signs of a culture about to fall into barbarism". - Hannah Arendt
+1
Gandalf The White
29 January 2025 20:26:30

Not sure if this is space news or something much deeper. Anyway, it piqued my interest today.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c7vd1zjlr5lo 

Originally Posted by: Ulric 


Wow, that is very interesting. It begs the question how did such complex compounds find their way onto/into an asteroid.
Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E


Roger Parsons
29 January 2025 20:52:49

Wow, that is very interesting. It begs the question how did such complex compounds find their way onto/into an asteroid.

Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White 


It is interesting, but I recall as an undergrad in the 60s organic compounds being found in meteorites.
Here's a later reference:
Key Building Block for Organic Molecules Discovered in Meteorites
https://www.nasa.gov/solar-system/key-building-block-for-organic-molecules-discovered-in-meteorites/ 

It's an intriguing area for speculation - but why would life not find a way? [But perhaps not as we know it?  😁]
RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.
William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830
+1
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
29 January 2025 21:49:30
The Miller-Urey experiment produced amino acids from methane, water, ammonia and hydrogen subjected to a continual electric arc.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Miller%E2%80%93Urey_experiment 
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
+2
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
31 January 2025 07:57:13
100m 'wide' asteroid to hit Britain at 0525 on 22-12-2032 - Daily Star. Hmm!

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cvgljeq0w5po 
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
roadrunnerajn
31 January 2025 07:59:23
Things are looking up for Britain at last..🤣
Germoe, part of the breakaway Celtic Republic. 80m asl
+1
Roger Parsons
31 January 2025 08:49:53

100m 'wide' asteroid to hit Britain at 0525 on 22-12-2032 - Daily Star. Hmm!

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cvgljeq0w5po 

Originally Posted by: DEW 


"Science news sites are abuzz with an announcement from the ESA and NASA that newly-discovered asteroid 2024 YR4 has a 1.4 percent chance of impacting Earth on Dec. 22, 2032. If it hit, the 100-meter space rock could cause an explosion akin to the Tunguska Event. It almost certainly won't. As often happens with newly-discovered asteroids, the risk of impact will probably evaporate in a few weeks as astronomers gather more data and refine the asteroid's orbit. Keep calm and check back in a month."
https://spaceweather.com/ 

"How bad can a solar storm be? Just ask a tree. Unlike human records, which go back hundreds of years, trees can remember solar storms for millennia."
https://spaceweather.com/ 
https://spaceweather.com/images2025/29jan25/bristlecone_strip2.jpg 
RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.
William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830
+2
Roger Parsons
01 February 2025 11:00:06
Night Sky - highlights - February.
Sky At A Glance - to 8th February
The waxing crescent Moon pairs up with Saturn, then Venus. 
https://skyandtelescope.org/observing/sky-at-a-glance/ 

Night Sky - RMG - highlights - February.
https://www.rmg.co.uk/stories/blog/astronomy/night-sky-highlights-february-2025 

Full Moons: 12th February - the "Snow Moon".
https://www.rmg.co.uk/stories/topics/full-moon-calendar 
RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.
William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830
+1
Roger Parsons
01 February 2025 17:28:06
If skies are clear why not look SW and admire Venus/The Moon and below them Saturn. Then look SE to Orion/Jupiter and on to Mars in the East. Then go in an get yourself a well-earned Scotch to warm you up. Or whatever does that for you. My plan is something like. 🥃🥂🥂🥃.
RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.
William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830
+1
Roger Parsons
01 February 2025 19:25:32
Moon and Venus westering now....
RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.
William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830
Windy Willow
01 February 2025 19:43:20

Moon and Venus westering now....

Originally Posted by: Roger Parsons 


Too cloudy for me, glad you're enjoying though.
South Holland, Lincs 5m/16ft ASL

When I saw corruption, I was forced to find truth on my own. I couldn't swallow the hypocrisy.

Barry White


It’s the end of the world as we know it (and I feel fine) - R.E.M.
Roger Parsons
01 February 2025 19:51:51

Too cloudy for me, glad you're enjoying though.

Originally Posted by: Windy Willow 


Not brilliant here now either.....
"It does not matter if you look down or up as long as you look." Ed Ricketts.

RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.
William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830
+1
Roger Parsons
02 February 2025 16:25:06
If it's clear tonight - and it's looking promising here, look at the Moon and Venus.
Crescent Moon and Venus light up the night sky
https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/articles/c3914yk4g7wo 
RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.
William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830
+1
Roger Parsons
02 February 2025 18:51:30

If it's clear tonight - and it's looking promising here, look at the Moon and Venus.
Crescent Moon and Venus light up the night sky
https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/articles/c3914yk4g7wo 

Originally Posted by: Roger Parsons 


Go and look west NOW - brilliant.
R.
RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.
William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830
Gandalf The White
03 February 2025 18:01:53
A asteroid 40-90 metres across has been identified with a currently estimated 1% chance of colliding with Earth on 22 December 2032.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cqx9dgpx98go 
Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E


DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
03 February 2025 18:24:56

A asteroid 40-90 metres across has been identified with a currently estimated 1% chance of colliding with Earth on 22 December 2032.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cqx9dgpx98go 

Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White 


First posted and replied to 31st January in this thread. Keep up at the back there!
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
lanky
03 February 2025 19:48:18

A asteroid 40-90 metres across has been identified with a currently estimated 1% chance of colliding with Earth on 22 December 2032.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cqx9dgpx98go 

Originally Posted by: Gandalf The White 


Having been to Meteor Crater in Arizona and seen what a 30-50m wide meteorite can do, I don't fancy a 50-100m meteorite landing anywhere near here. The "tiny" probability stated by the EU of 13 in 1000 still sounds too close for comfort for something of that magnitude
Martin
Richmond, Surrey

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