Sinking southwards overnight NYE into NYD, too. By the evening of NYD, I'd expect the Central Belt to be under a covering.

I'll be mooching around the traffic cams and the Ben Nevis cams from time to time (looking depressingly snowless at present... but that will soon change!)

And this is what I mean - the chart has updated to the current one but when Q posted this it would have been three days earlier, i.e. a chart for this afternoon. In reality there is virtually no snow up there at all. The models have really overplayed it.

UKV reckons there should currently be 40-50cm of snow across the far north of Scotland. Not even close. A light dusting in the far north is all.

No, it was always meant to snow, then rain and then snow again. Hence the flood warnings. Lots of snow fell then the milder air moved in (as forecast) and it melted again. Some of the models showed the cumulative snowfall as if it had not melted. 

As for the UKV snow charts there about as reliable as their minima charts which randomly throw out ridiculously low local temperatures. They also never show any snow cover here, no matter what, or have never in the past even for example when we had a week of snow at the end of November. It’s a tricky thing to predict, but some of the models (e.g. UKV) are appallingly bad at it even at short notice.

Edit: See my comment yesterday evening re. Cairngorm. It will be white again before the bells.

Indeed, and here’s us mooching about something that appears far more marginal across England 5 days away. Highlights the folly of model watching 

I think that the issue is not so much model watching as taking any single model as gospel(usually because it's the outcome you want). Currently, there are a number of options possible for the weekend. Some suggest snow for many, some don't. Only time will tell which ones are correct. My gut is a sludgy mess(except over higher ground perhaps) but who knows? A slight tweak and many of us could have a snow fest.

“Outbreaks of rain spreading northeastwards later on Saturday and overnight into Sunday will likely be preceded by a spell of snow on its northern flank. Whilst there is a fair bit of uncertainty as to how far north this may spread, and how long any snow will last, significant accumulations of snow are possible, especially (but not exclusively) on hills. Currently, parts of the Midlands, Wales and northern England are most at risk of disruption, where 5cm or more could accumulate fairly widely, with perhaps as much as 20-30 cm over high ground of Wales and/or the Pennines. This, accompanied by strengthening winds, may lead to drifting of lying snow.

In addition, as milder air attempts to move northwards into southern and central areas, snow may turn to a spell of freezing rain for a time, adding to the risk of ice. If milder air is able to spread more bodily northwards, any snow in southern parts of the warning area may be relatively short-lived before turning to rain.

Given the uncertainties, it is quite likely this warning area and start/end times will be refined over the coming days as confidence increases in areas most likely to be impacted.”

https://weather.metoffice.gov.uk/warnings-and-advice/uk-warnings#?date=2025-01-06 

I certainly don't envy those who have to be up early tomorrow, put it that way.

Fortunately we wont have that problem down here. And hopefully by tomorrow night most of the wetness would have dried away. Nothing worse than frozen car door handles! 

https://weather.metoffice.gov.uk/warnings-and-advice/uk-warnings#?date=2025-01-02 

https://www.sat24.com/de-de/continent/eu#selectedLayer=euInfra 

That's just under 2ft of snow in just over a day, although due to compaction etc the eventual depth would be less.

https://i.postimg.cc/GmZ7KpSP/shap.jpg 

GFS and ECM are more progressive than UKMO and UKV with rain much further  North Sunday mid morning. Interestingly GFS ensembles have it even further North than the Op.

For me chart of the day is UKV.  Even by 9pm snow line still North Midlands. West Sheffield jackpot but all eastern upslopes amazing totals.

One thing that should be highlighted about the UKV: the 3Z UKV is MUCH further south than the 0Z. The 0Z seems to be more in line with the GFS0Z which bodes well for the 6Z set this morning (maybe?)

ICON-D2 6Z looks a bit further south to me on the 0Z. Rapid thaw line seems to be about 50 miles further SW.

I say 'rapid thaw line' rather than rain/snow because its easier to see. The rain/snow line on some models is the same as the rapid thaw line (where temps and dews rise rapidly) but some models have a zone of incongruence where the surface is still cold (no rapid thaw) but snow is not falling due to a thin warm layer. There is a risk of ice pellets or freezing rain in this zone.

I should add there is very little difference between the 6Z and the 3Z (both are an improvement on the 0Z). Maybe the 6Z is 2-5 miles further north (yes its literally a pixel or two further north) but the air is also colder on the northern side so its not really  a downgrade.

Not under Metoffice remit but the place likely to do the best is some parts of central Ireland that get pretty much 2 days of constant heavy snow.

I just want to keep the covering for the cool-down when the low exits (even if it's just an icy pastiche of proper fluffy snow)