theweatheroutlook

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GezM
  • GezM
  • Advanced Member
01 April 2024 21:24:08
It is certainly looking like a very mild first 10 days to the month. Could well be in double figures by the end of the first third
Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)
Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
02 April 2024 04:23:29

It is certainly looking like a very mild first 10 days to the month. Could well be in double figures by the end of the first third

Originally Posted by: GezM 

👍 We’re definitely stuck in a milder than average pattern. I keep thinking, surely one month is eventually going to be cooler.  But I’m still reluctant to guess anything other than above average. At this rate, it’ll be a record year overall.  
Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
+2
ARTzeman
02 April 2024 10:49:35
IMANSF22           7.77c          Nicks'1BATH75        8.3c
Metcheck            8.15c           Anomaly       0.13c
Netweather         9.31c           Anomaly       1.22c
Peasedown St John        8.65. 




Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Gavin D
02 April 2024 13:55:16
Hadley

9.6c to the 1st

1.7c above the 61 to 90 average
1.3c above the 81 to 10 average
Spring Sun Winter Dread
02 April 2024 23:19:47
Knowing our luck the warm pattern will probably end in the summer 

I don't like extreme summer heat but always feels a waste when that happens 
It's also been warm in the most uninspiring way possible . Always with the dull and wet !

Which is why I think the media have been strangely silent about what is now quite a remarkable run of anomalous warmth since last September, would certainly be getting much more attention if it was March to Sept and accompanied by sunny and dry conditions 
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
03 April 2024 12:27:55
I’m copying Art’s post from the March thread. He posted it today.  

IMANSF22         9.1c        Nicks'1BATH75    9.2c
Metcheck          9.06c            Anomaly        1.04c
Netweather       9.66c            Anomaly        1.57c
Peasdown St John  9.5c.. 

Originally Posted by: ARTzeman 

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
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+2
Gavin D
03 April 2024 12:41:28
Hadley

9.6c to the 2nd

1.7c above the 61 to 90 average
1.4c above the 81 to 10 average
Retron
03 April 2024 13:03:03

Knowing our luck the warm pattern will probably end in the summer 

I don't like extreme summer heat but always feels a waste when that happens 
It's also been warm in the most uninspiring way possible . Always with the dull and wet !

Which is why I think the media have been strangely silent about what is now quite a remarkable run of anomalous warmth since last September, would certainly be getting much more attention if it was March to Sept and accompanied by sunny and dry conditions 

Originally Posted by: Spring Sun Winter Dread 


More like since December 2022, which was the last below average (61-90) month. Of course, that came after a run of 18 above-average months. 

And as only one out of the last 34 months has been below average, I certainly won't be expecting any more... we'll get one eventually (and it'd be lovely if it happened in summer), but expecting any given month to be colder than average? That's a great way to be in for disappointment IMO.

 
Leysdown, north Kent
JMM2005
03 April 2024 14:24:52
Aprils predictions from EACU Royal Sussex County Hospital as i have been here 5 hours already 

We have all gone warmer than average, which is hardly surprising given the last few month's record breaker. Only one prediction goes that high
right now, it looks like any sub 10.5 is probably too cold but let us wait and see 
Name                     Apr-24
redmoons                11.75
windywillow          10.93
artzeman                10.90
caz                      10.80
frank h                  10.75
snowshoe          10.60
bertwhistle            10.44
ap snowman          10.40
scillydave               10.35
gezm                10.30
dingle rob          10.25
jmm2005              10.20
rickm                  10.15
Dickieboy68          10.11
Gavin D                10.10
stormchaser          10.01
bolty                  9.90
sussex snow magnet 9.90
grandad              9.80
kendalian              9.80
Spring Sun Winter Dread 9.80
col                      9.52
Saint Snow          9.30
lanky                    9.26
taylor1740          9.20
Splinter               9.17
hungry tiger            9.00
1991 - 2020 Avg      8.99
All time CET             7.96

 
Justin
Brighton seafront
Webcam of the beach and Brighton's palace pier
https://www.skylinewebcams.com/en/webcam/united-kingdom/england/brighton/brighton-pier.html 
+5
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
03 April 2024 19:50:35
Thank you Justin. Hope it all goes well for you at the hospital. 
Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
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ARTzeman
04 April 2024 10:04:18
IMANSF22            8.7c            Nicks' 1BATH75        9.4c
Metcheck             9.23c           Anomaly       1.22c
Netweather          9.99c           Anomaly       1.9c
Peasedown St John 9.7c          Anomaly        -0.43c..       




Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Gavin D
04 April 2024 12:52:38
Hadley

9.9c to the 3rd

2.0c above the 61 to 90 average
2.0c above the 81 to 10 average
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
04 April 2024 13:45:47
Goodness me.  It’ll be above my 10.8c guess at the weekend.  
Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
Hungry Tiger
04 April 2024 14:39:26
I reckon I've gone far too low.   🙂 
Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
04 April 2024 19:37:54

I reckon I've gone far too low.   🙂 

Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger 

Judging by the output and the current CET, we might have all gone too low. 🙄
Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
Spring Sun Winter Dread
04 April 2024 22:41:17
Have we ever had a really warm April that was also dull and wet ?
Every one I can think of off the top of my head was also dry /sunny 

It feels like March to Sept is the period of the year when warm synoptics normally favour dry and fine weather , this obviously flips on its head for autumn and winter (eg frankly most autumn and winters we've had in last 30 or so years , especially the ones just gone!) 
GezM
  • GezM
  • Advanced Member
05 April 2024 08:10:50

Goodness me.  It’ll be above my 10.8c guess at the weekend.  

Originally Posted by: Caz 



And April is when the average temperature is rising at its quickest. Possibly some cooler nights coming later in the month but could well be offset by warm days if we get lots of sunshine
Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)
Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)
+1
Ally Pally Snowman
05 April 2024 08:20:53
Redmoons definitely the favourite atm. CET likely 11.5c ish by the 15th. Long way to go though. 
 
Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
+2
ARTzeman
05 April 2024 10:18:18
IMANSF22           9.6c          Nicks'1BATH75        10.2c
Metcheck            9.83c         Anomaly       1.81c
Netweather         10.22c       Anomaly       2.13c
Peasedown St John 10.81c   Anomaly       0.09c.




Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Gavin D
05 April 2024 13:31:13
Hadley

10.1c to the 4th

2.2c above the 61 to 90 average
2.4c above the 81 to 10 average
ARTzeman
06 April 2024 11:31:24
IMANSF22             10.7c              Nicks' 1BATH75       11.0c
Metcheck               10.68c            Anomaly            2.66c
Netweather             10.94c           Anomaly            2.85c
Peasedown St John  11.26c          Anomaly            1.3c. 




Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Gavin D
06 April 2024 13:18:26
Hadley

10.7c to the 5th

2.8c above the 61 to 90 average
3.1c above the 81 to 10 average
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
06 April 2024 14:23:39
Ooh.  With the mild weather today, I’d be surprised if it isn’t over 11c tomorrow. 
Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
Retron
06 April 2024 14:35:43

Ooh.  With the mild weather today, I’d be surprised if it isn’t over 11c tomorrow. 

Originally Posted by: Caz 


Using Manchester as a proxy, with a min of 8 forecast, you'd be looking at dead on 11 tomorrow. I think you're right, it'll be a couple of tenths higher than that...
Leysdown, north Kent
+1
Spring Sun Winter Dread
06 April 2024 15:28:08
Surprised to see the CET so high , it doesn't feel anywhere near the level of 2007 or 2011 yet  statistically it's clearly not far off already hitting the levels for the whole month on those occasions . In a month which is notorious for getting warmer later and almost always seems to deliver a widespread 22-25c plus period in second half these days 
I guess we are conditioned to expect April to be warm these days . Very few cool ones since the 1980s and 2021 therefore stood out like a sore thumb 
CET

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