WX temp charts continue yesterday's trend with modest warmth continuing in the far W including Britain (and still hot in the Med) but with cool weather moving steadily from the NE, reaching E France and the inland parts of the Balkans in week 2. The rainfall pattern keeps shifting about - widely distributed rain over Europe in week 1 as before, but in week 2 the very dry area has moved from France (as yesterday) to S Sweden, with areas of rain circling this, including some over Britain though the heaviest is further S over the Alps.
GFS Op - by Wed 14th Danielle is decaying near NW Spain though GFS is now copying ECM from yesterday and showing a trough briefly extending in the direction of Britain; and Earl is dying in mid-Atlantic. Then follows a N-S ridge of HP over Britain, affected at the edges by Scandinavian LP until Mon 19th so cool N-lies for E coast, and later, Wed 21st, by LP on the Atlantic, so S-lies in the W. The latter general area of LP winds up into a focused depression, first off NW Scotland, but moving to Clyde 990 mb Sun 25th and continuing SE-wards
ECM - similar to GFS but keeps the ridge of HP further W for a while so N-lies are more general, but finishes on Tue 20th with Hp also placed over Britain, covering the whole of the country
GEFS - warm for England esp the S at first, with spike of rain Wed 14th (Danielle. as above?) then cool and dry for a while but back to norm with some rain possible from Sat 24th. Scotland similar but less accentuated and perhaps rather above norm temps later
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