http://www.wxmaps.org/pix/prec4 Significant pptn mainly in the W and in week 2, the NW, so the Atlantic is winning ATM - but the companion temp chart still has a large mass of unusually cold air over E Europe so don't count too many chickens yet.
GFS as before with UK sandwiched between Atlantic LP and Scandia HP for the coming week but compared to yesterday, GFS has followed ECM making the HP weaker so troughs will run up from the SW affecting UK esp Wed 17th. The HP expected later over the UK also taking longer to establish but in position Tue 23rd though more to the E than previously suggested , Usual end-of-run tease places it over Norway with a strong E-ly developing Mon 1st.
GEFS near average temp this week with some rain then very mild peaking around Tue 23rd, also dry, but a distinct cooling towards end of run. Distinctly less agreement on how mild it will be the further north you go.
ECM similar to GFS but has the HP Tue 23rd more intense and closer to the E coast.
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell
Chichester 12m asl