Monday 28 Sep - Wednesday 7 Oct

Cloud and outbreaks of drizzle affecting the east and west at first with dry weather in between on Monday. Initially many places dry Tuesday before cloud and rain arrive later. Into the middle of next week, it is set to return to unsettled conditions. There will be generally windy weather coupled with showers and occasional longer spells of rain at times. The heaviest rain most likely in the west and northwest, which may also see gales, low likelihood of severe, at times. Although in the east and southeast, there may still be brief interludes of drier and sunnier weather. Temperatures will generally be rather cool, potentially cooler in more persistent rainfall, and overnight frost may be seen in prone parts of the north during any brief interludes of calmer weather.

Thursday 8 Oct - Thursday 22 Oct

Further into October, conditions are likely to remain unsettled for most. The most unsettled conditions being in southern areas. Generally windy with a chance of gales however the risk of gales reduces later in the period. Feeling cool throughout with a risk of overnight frost. Lighter winds means that morning fog patches may also become more prevalent towards mid-month.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Wednesday 30 Sep - Friday 9 Oct

An unsettled period, with plenty of showers and some occasional longer spells of rain across much of the country. Some drier and brighter spells are possible at times, which will most likely in southern and eastern areas. The heaviest and most prolonged spells of rain will be in the north and west to begin with but, with time, they are likely to become more widespread across the UK. It will be generally windy, with a risk of gales at times (potentially severe), particularly in northern and northwestern regions. Feeling cold through much of early October, especially where there is persistent rain and strong winds. Frost is possible at night in any calmer period, especially in northern Britain.

Saturday 10 Oct - Saturday 24 Oct

A potential change in the weather is anticipated around the middle of October. Whilst further rain and strong winds are likely at times, spells of fine and dry weather could become more widespread and long-lived. At night, these calmer conditions could allow frost and fog to form more readily. At this time of year, there is potential for fog to linger well into the daytime. Overall, temperatures probably recovering close to the seasonal average for mid-October.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Thursday 1 Oct - Saturday 10 Oct

An unsettled period, with plenty of showers and some occasional longer spells of rain across much of the country. Some drier and brighter spells are possible at times, which will most likely in southern and eastern areas. The heaviest and most prolonged spells of rain will be in the north and west to begin with but, with time, they are likely to become more widespread across the UK. It will be generally windy, with a risk of gales at times (potentially severe), particularly in northern and northwestern regions. Feeling cold through much of early October, especially where there is persistent rain and strong winds. Frost is possible at night in any calmer period, especially in northern Britain.

Sunday 11 Oct - Sunday 25 Oct

A potential change in the weather is anticipated around the middle of October. Whilst further rain and strong winds are likely at times, spells of fine and dry weather could become more widespread and long-lived. At night, these calmer conditions could allow frost and fog to form more readily. At this time of year, there is potential for fog to linger well into the daytime. Overall, temperatures probably recovering close to the seasonal average for mid-October.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

The Met Office forecasts are totally useless and it really irks me that they keep on getting away with churning out totally ridiculous garbage that bears zero resemblance to actual conditions.

This is today's lamentable offering for this region:

 

Headline:

Dry with some long spells of sunshine.

Today:

Rather cloudy across northern and eastern Aberdeenshire this morning, otherwise, after a cold start, a dry day with long spells of sunshine developing. The northerly breeze in the east will soon ease to leave light winds. Maximum temperature 13 °C.

Long spells of sunshine? It's an absolutely dire day with no sunshine at all. Rather cloudy? Try full overcast across the entire region this morning. Moray has only just seen a clearance now and in the eastern half it's thickening up into afternoon. It looks like failing to clear here at all never mind clearing to give long spells of sunshine 

Yesterday's was even more of a joke talking about cloud on the east coast when the cloud was coming down from the north and covering the whole region. If anything it was more broken further east. 

It's bad enough enduring the worst climate on earth without terrible forecasting making it impossible to know when it's actually going to be decent.

I'd like to see the taxpayers money this organisation receives slashed to absolute zero.

Friday 2 Oct - Sunday 11 Oct

An unsettled period, with plenty of showers and some occasional longer spells of rain across much of the country, the heaviest and most widespread areas likely in the west or northwest, and only limited drier interludes. Often windy, with a risk of gales at times (potentially severe), particularly around coastal regions and within areas of more significant rainfall. With time, northern parts of the UK may tend to become drier and more settled overall, with low pressure systems tending to track further south. Feeling cold, especially so where there is persistent rain and strong winds. Frost is possible at night in any calmer period, becoming increasingly likely for the northern half of the UK later in this period.

Monday 12 Oct - Monday 26 Oct

A potential change in the weather is signalled around the middle of October. Whilst further rain and strong winds are likely at times, spells of fine and dry weather could become more widespread and long-lived. At night, these calmer conditions would allow frost and fog to form more readily. At this time of year, there is potential for fog to linger well into the daytime. Overall, temperatures probably recovering close to the seasonal average for mid-October.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Saturday 3 Oct - Monday 12 Oct

An unsettled period, with plenty of showers and some occasional longer spells of rain across much of the country, the heaviest and most widespread areas likely in the west or northwest, and only limited drier interludes. Often windy, with a risk of gales at times (potentially severe), particularly around coastal regions and within areas of more significant rainfall. With time, northern parts of the UK may tend to become drier and more settled overall, with low pressure systems tending to track further south. Feeling cold, especially so where there is persistent rain and strong winds. Frost is possible at night in any calmer period, becoming increasingly likely for the northern half of the UK later in this period.

Tuesday 13 Oct - Tuesday 27 Oct

A potential change in the weather is signalled around the middle of October. Whilst further rain and strong winds are likely at times, spells of fine and dry weather could become more widespread and long-lived. At night, these calmer conditions would allow frost and fog to form more readily. At this time of year, there is potential for fog to linger well into the daytime. Overall, temperatures probably recovering close to the seasonal average for mid-October.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

The Daily Express has a rival

Forecasters have predicted Britain will be battered by five named storms - Aiden, Bella, Christoph, Darcy, and Evert - warning Aiden could hit country as soon as tomorrow

The 900-mile wide “Atlantic torment” is due to sweep in and cause disruption, with northern regions worst hit.

https://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/latest-news/uk-weather-forecasters-predict-britain-22756818 

Sunday 4 Oct - Tuesday 13 Oct

An unsettled picture is likely for this period, with all parts of the country seeing showery spells as well as times of more prolonged rainfall. However, southern and western areas are expected to see the worst of these conditions with the most frequent and heaviest rainfall. Drier and calmer conditions could be seen at times, but likely only for short interludes. Largely windy for most of the country during this period, with a risk of gales at times, particularly along western and southwestern coasts. Overall, it is likely to feel rather cold as temperatures look set to be around average or below. During any of the brief calmer interludes overnight frost is also possible in the North.

Tuesday 13 Oct - Tuesday 27 Oct

A potential change in the weather is signalled around the middle of October. Whilst further rain and strong winds are likely at times, spells of fine and dry weather could become more widespread and long-lived. At night, these calmer conditions would allow frost and fog to form more readily. At this time of year, there is potential for fog to linger well into the daytime. Overall, temperatures probably recovering close to the seasonal average for mid-October.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Monday 5 Oct - Wednesday 14 Oct

An unsettled picture is likely for this period, with all parts of the country seeing showery spells as well periods of more prolonged rainfall at times. However, southern and western areas are expected to see the worst of these conditions with the most frequent and heaviest rainfall. Drier and calmer conditions could be seen at times, but likely only for short interludes. It will often be windy during this period, with a risk of gales at times, particularly along western and southwestern coasts. Overall, it is likely to feel rather cold as temperatures look set to be around average or below. During any of the brief calmer interludes overnight frost is also possible in the North.

Thursday 15 Oct - Thursday 29 Oct

A potential change in the weather is signalled around the middle of October. Whilst further rain and strong winds are likely at times, spells of fine and dry weather could become more widespread and long-lived. At night, these calmer conditions would allow frost and fog to form more readily. At this time of year, there is potential for fog to linger well into the daytime. Overall, temperatures probably recovering close to the seasonal average for mid-October.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

The Daily Express has a rival

UK Weather: Forecasters predict Britain will be battered by 5 storms this winter

Forecasters have predicted Britain will be battered by five named storms - Aiden, Bella, Christoph, Darcy, and Evert - warning Aiden could hit country as soon as tomorrow

The 900-mile wide “Atlantic torment” is due to sweep in and cause disruption, with northern regions worst hit.

 

https://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/latest-news/uk-weather-forecasters-predict-britain-22756818 

Hasn't the storm been named Alex lol

What a load of tosh

 

Hasn't the storm been named Alec lol

What a load of tosh

Yes, you're right.

On this occasion, the French (represented by Meteo France) have beaten us to it by officially naming this system which is expected to be in the south of England on Friday before running up the east coast, as Storm Alex. This means that it can't then renamed as Storm Aiden by the UK Met Office/Met Eireann, or given any other name by any other official Meteorological agency from any other country.

This means that our wait for Storm Aiden goes on, which is probably fair in this case since it is the French (also appropriate since the French Open tennis tournament which was postponed from earlier on this year due to COVID-19 is about to get underway over there) who are expected to see the biggest impacts from that (although the Dutch are involved in our own UK/Irish naming system, and could have named that system as Storm Aiden if they had been a bit quicker with that).

What this does show though, is just how fragmented this storm naming system process actually is, and that is why I have always said that there should be one single system for the whole of Europe instead of all of the various systems which all cover certain countries.

Tuesday 6 Oct - Thursday 15 Oct

An unsettled picture is likely for this period, with all parts of the country seeing showery spells as well as periods of more prolonged rainfall at times. However, southern and western areas are expected to see the most frequent and heaviest of the rainfall. Drier and calmer conditions could be seen at times, but likely only for short interludes. It will often be windy during this period, with a risk of gales at times, particularly along coasts in the west and southwest. Overall, it is likely to feel rather cold as temperatures look set to be around average or below. During any of the brief calmer interludes overnight frost is also possible in the North.

Friday 16 Oct - Friday 30 Oct

A potential change in the weather is signalled around the middle of October. Whilst further rain and strong winds are likely at times, spells of fine and dry weather could become more widespread and long-lived. At night, these calmer conditions would allow frost and fog to form more readily. At this time of year, there is potential for fog to linger well into the daytime. Overall, temperatures probably recovering close to the seasonal average for October.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Wednesday 7 Oct - Friday 16 Oct

Unsettled weather will dominate early in the period, with all parts of the country seeing showery spells, as well as periods of more prolonged rainfall. Southern and western areas will likely see the most frequent and heaviest rainfall. Some periods of dry, calm conditions may occur at times. It will often be windy, sometimes with a risk of gales, particularly along west and south-western coasts. It will likely feel rather cold. Later in the period, a potential change in the weather is signalled around mid-October. Here, further rain and strong winds are likely, but spells of fine and dry weather could become more widespread and long-lived. At night, these calmer conditions will allow frost and fog to form more readily, particularly in the north, and linger well into the daytime.

Friday 16 Oct - Friday 30 Oct

A potential change in the weather is signalled around the middle of October. Whilst further rain and strong winds are likely at times, spells of fine and dry weather could become more widespread and long-lived. At night, these calmer conditions would allow frost and fog to form more readily. At this time of year, there is potential for fog to linger well into the daytime. Overall, temperatures probably recovering close to the seasonal average for October.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Thursday 8 Oct - Saturday 17 Oct

Unsettled weather will dominate early in the period, with all parts of the country seeing showery spells, as well as periods of more prolonged rainfall. Southern and western areas will likely see the most frequent and heaviest rainfall. Some periods of dry, calm conditions may occur at times. It will often be windy, sometimes with a risk of gales, particularly along west and south-western coasts. It will likely feel rather cold. Later in the period, a potential change in the weather is signalled around mid-October. Here, further rain and strong winds are likely, but spells of fine and dry weather could become more widespread and long-lived. At night, these calmer conditions will allow frost and fog to form more readily, particularly in the north, and linger well into the daytime.

Sunday 18 Oct - Sunday 1 Nov

Towards late October, it is likely there will be a return to unsettled conditions, with plenty of rain and showers. However, there will continue to be some interludes of dry and settled conditions. The winds will generally be light, but some spells of windy weather will develop at times. Overall, temperatures are likely to recover to close to the seasonal average for October, to feel normal for the time of year.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Friday 9 Oct - Sunday 18 Oct

Unsettled weather is likely to dominate early in the period, with all parts of the country seeing showery spells and periods of more prolonged rainfall. The best of any drier interludes will be in eastern and southern parts of the UK. It will feel rather cold and often be windy, with a risk of gales especially in the north and west. It is expected to turn drier and more settled overall through the following week with spells of fine weather between the bands of rain becoming much more widespread and long-lived. Temperatures should begin to return to near normal for the time of year, although overnight these calmer conditions will allow frost and fog to form more readily, particularly in the north, which could linger well into the daytime.

Monday 19 Oct - Monday 2 Nov

Towards late October, it is likely there will be a return to more frequent unsettled conditions, with plenty of rain and showers punctuated by briefer, drier and more settled spells. Often windy, with potential for gales, most likely in the northwest, whilst winds will generally be lighter towards the south-east. Overall, temperatures are likely to be around or just above the seasonal average for October, with an increasing chance of frost and fog in any clearer spells, in line with climatology.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Sunday 11 Oct - Tuesday 20 Oct

More settled conditions are expected to develop from the west through October, with western/northwestern areas becoming dry with sunny spells and light winds at first. Showers are likely to continue in the east/southeast at the start of this period, whilst central and eastern areas remain rather windy. The more settled conditions will spread across the UK with many places seeing a good deal of fine and dry weather by the end of the period. However, some eastern/southeastern areas may experience further showery spells. The far northwest may also remain cloudier with perhaps some rain at times. Temperatures are generally expected to remain below average, feeling rather cold. The more settled weather also brings an increased risk of overnight fog and frost, with fog potentially lingering well into the day.

Wednesday 21 Oct - Wednesday 4 Nov

The settled conditions are likely to continue for the first half of this period, with most of the UK seeing dry spells with light winds. Spells of wind and rain may occur, but these are expected to only be short interruptions to the overall fine conditions. However, confidence drops as we move into early November. Unsettled weather looks set to return around this time, bringing rain and wind to most places, with Northern and Western areas likely to see the worst of these conditions. The low confidence brings uncertainty to temperatures, but they are expected to be around average for this time of year.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Monday 12 Oct - Wednesday 21 Oct

Dry conditions are likely to round out the weekend with sunny spells and light winds for most parts of the UK. During the first part of next week, some outbreaks of rain are expected to spread eastwards across most of the UK, but once cleared, it will leave many areas fine and settled for the remainder of this period. Some showers may affect the southeast at times and the far northwest may be cloudier, perhaps with some periods of rain, otherwise many places will be largely dry. Temperatures are generally expected to be rather cold or near normal, with increasing likelihood of overnight frosts. The settled weather also brings an increased risk of overnight fog and frost, with fog potentially slow to clear and lingering well into the daytime.

Thursday 22 Oct - Thursday 5 Nov

Settled conditions are likely across much of the UK early in this period. Some spells of wind and rain may occur, but these are expected to only be short interruptions to the predominantly fine and dry conditions. However, confidence drops by the time we move into early November. Unsettled weather looks set to return around this time, bringing rain and wind to most places, with northern and western areas likely to see the worst of these conditions. The low confidence brings uncertainty to temperatures, but they are expected to be around average for this time of year.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Thanks for the daily updates Gav

Wednesday 14 Oct - Friday 23 Oct

Turning generally more settled in the north and northwest by the middle of next week and lasting into next weekend, with dry and bright spells likely. Meanwhile a cloudier, breezier picture in the east and southeast with more showery conditions, whilst some sporadic outbreaks of cloud and rain may also make way into southwest and western parts of the UK at times. Occasional bands of more persistent rain, perhaps accompanied by strong winds, may progress a bit further north across the country from next weekend onwards, bringing prolonged wet spells. This theme is likely to remain largely similar into the week after next. Temperatures expected to be rather on the cold side in most areas with overnight frosts and patchy mist and fog likely to occur, particularly in the northwest.

Saturday 24 Oct - Saturday 7 Nov

Confidence becomes low towards the end of the month. However, the early part of the forecast period will likely see a gradual transition from the longer settled spells being in north and northwest with more prevalent rain and showers in the south, to a generally more unsettled pattern across the UK. Rain and showers may turn wintry over high ground in the north and northwest, whilst there will also be the odd brief settled spell at times during this period. Temperatures likely to stay at or just below average throughout.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Thursday 15 Oct - Saturday 24 Oct

Turning generally more settled in the north and northwest by the middle of next week and lasting into next weekend, with dry and bright spells likely. Meanwhile a cloudier, breezier picture in the east and southeast with more showery conditions here. This theme is likely to remain largely similar into the start of next week, with the most settled conditions across the far north of the UK and a few showers continuing to affect some eastern areas, before more organised cloud and rain tries to spread in from the southwest later. Temperatures are expected to be rather on the cold side in most areas with overnight frosts and patchy mist and fog likely to occur, particularly in the northwest.

Sunday 25 Oct - Sunday 8 Nov

Confidence becomes low towards the end of the month. However, the early part of the forecast period will likely see a gradual transition to a generally more unsettled pattern across the whole of the UK. Spells of rain and showers are likely, with these turning wintry over high ground in the north and northwest. There may also be the odd settled spell at times during this period, but they are likely to be short-lived. Temperatures likely to stay at or just below average throughout.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/