Hmm, okay, I'm getting a little concerned now!
A trend to prolong the heat and extend it further northwest during the middle part of next week is sending CET estimates soaring. Going by the GFS 06z, it could well be in touching distance of 20°C around 13th or 14th.
That particular run doesn't even cool off much after the heat departs - pleasantly warm, then warmer again to end. That last part is against teleconnection-based expectations but if it did happen, would probably lead to a final CET in the 18s °C.
Even if it does cool off markedly, a finish below the 17s is starting to look hard to come by. It's going to happen to me isn't it - too little heat by far last month, too much this month .
Down where I am, the outlook is even more sweat-inducing. GFS 06z has the local mean climbing through the 19s this weekend, 20s Mon-Wed, 21s Thu-Fri! It's the hottest run so far, so hopefully overdoing it... but trend of the past 24 hours is a bit scary!
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T-Max: 30.4°C 21st Jul | T-Min: -6.8°C New Years Day! | Wettest Day: 34.1mm 2nd Oct | Ice Days: 2 (27th Jan & 8th Feb)
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