Interesting to note the mention of possible very warm/hot spells as we head into June.

Yup. The latest ECM30 favours warm or very conditions for much of the next month. Blowtorch making an early appearance this year? 

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Yup. The latest ECM30 favours warm or very conditions for much of the next month. Blowtorch making an early appearance this year? 

Let’s hope so. Got really cold in my home office today!

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BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Some very warm days mixed with showers, thundery

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Wednesday 13 May – Sunday 17 May

Colder air will head east. Staying dry and sunny.

For the rest of this working week, we will likely see the late-season cold snap from the first half of the week begin to moderate. High pressure will slowly shift nearer to us from the northwest, and by Friday this should cut off the northerly winds and colder airflow. Temperatures should then return to near normal as we head into the weekend.

High pressure is generally controlling the weather for the country this week and weekend and this will tend to keep things dry and mostly sunny. The main exception to this is northern Scotland, including the Western Isles and Northern Isles. Here some weak fronts will be able to creep in from the west and keep things cloudy with occasional patches of rain.

Occasionally, especially Friday night and perhaps again on Sunday, rain will reach as far south as the Central Belt and Northern Ireland. Further south it will stay dry for most, but the odd afternoon shower is possible for parts of the westernmost counties at times.

Confidence is high overall, but a bit lower on the exact temperatures we can expect this weekend. This should generally be near or a bit above average, but it is possible we might cling on to the colder air for a day or two longer.

Monday 18 May – Sunday 24 May

Wetter and breezier in the west

As we head into next week, high pressure will continue to be the dominant weather feature for the UK. However, instead of being northwest of the country, it will tend to be to the south and perhaps southeast. This will allow some milder air to feed in from the sub-tropical Atlantic, and temperatures are likely to trend well above average. This will be felt most in the southern half of the country, as Scotland and Northern Ireland will tend to be cloudier more frequently from nearby weak fronts. It will be drier though with rain struggling to even get to northern Scotland.

As the high shifts to the southeast, there will be a chance that we might get some short-lived pulses of southerly winds that will bring some very warm but thundery days. This will be more likely later in the week.

Confidence is generally high this week, but as before, the exact temperatures are still a bit elusive. It is highly likely we will be above average, but by how much is less certain. There are not signals for any prolonged cold outbreaks like we saw early this week.

Monday 25 May – Sunday 7 June

Generally warm but occasionally showery

For the rest of May and first week of June, high pressure will continue to be the main weather feature. The high will often be to the southeast of us, so like before we expect some warm air to feed in from the southwest and keep temperatures above average with some sunny, calm days.

Heading into June there are stronger signals today that high pressure will tend to shift to the east. This is more favourable for some plumes of very warm air to come in from the south. These plumes tend to be humid, very warm or hot, and bring some widespread heavy showers or thunderstorms. These will be most likely in the southern half of the country but can reach everyone eventually.

However, the major caveat to this forecast is that these plumes can be very fickle, and if they miss the UK by staying in France or the Low Countries the weather story will be very different. In general, it will likely be a warm start to meteorological summer with plenty of dry, sunny days. A few humid, very warm and thundery days will likely be mixed in here and there as well.

Further ahead

Just how warm will we get in late May and early June and how much should we expect some late-spring/early-summer heat and thunder?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

Tuesday 19 May - Thursday 28 May

To start the period, high pressure should dominate with most parts of the UK seeing largely fine and dry conditions, with variable cloud and bright or sunny spells. The far north/northwest may turn less settled with a greater chance of cloudier skies, outbreaks of rain and stronger winds at times here. Temperatures look to take an upward trend over the next two weeks with most areas becoming warm, especially in the south and east. Through the middle and towards the end of the period, there looks to be a continuation of the settled weather as high pressure stays in control. Most places should remain largely dry with plenty of brightness or sunshine as well as light winds.

Friday 29 May - Friday 12 Jun

Although with low confidence, this period looks to stay largely dry and fine with bright or sunny spells for many. Despite the dominance of settled weather, this doesn't rule out some spells of rain or showers, with any prolonged rain more likely in the northwest. Temperatures generally trending on the warmer side with an increased chance of some very warm/hot spells in the south.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Wednesday 20 May - Friday 29 May

It is expected that this period will start very warm with good spells of long, fine and dry weather throughout. However, it is possible that following this, rain will develop across some western regions, perhaps spreading east at times whilst weakening. These unsettled periods carry the risk of strong winds, mainly for western areas, and rain may turn heavy at times, however confidence is low for this presently. There is a risk of a few thunderstorms forming ahead of any bands of rain. Probably becoming less warm, but temperatures remaining above average for the time of year. Towards the end of this period it's possible we will see a return of more settled conditions, with further dry and rather warm weather.

Saturday 30 May - Saturday 13 Jun

It is currently expected that we will see a return to drier, more settled conditions. Rain would likely be confined to the north and northwest, with a slight risk of thundery outbreaks in the south at times. Temperatures are tending towards warm, and with a lower chance of it being hot at times in the south, although probably returning towards average towards the middle of June.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Looks like the hot spell talk is being gradually toned down again in those long rangers

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Looks like the hot spell talk is being gradually toned down again in those long rangers

They swing as wildly as the models. They haven't got a clue either. Not really worth the effort to read them.

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BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Very warm days possible but risk of thunderstorms

 

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Saturday 16 May – Sunday 24 May

Warm and sunny; wetter and breezier in the north

This past week has been colder than normal for the time of year, with overnight frosts across the country - something quite unusual for mid-May. The colder conditions were the result of high pressure out to the west of the British Isles, forcing cold arctic air to sink down from the north. This weekend will see the high pressure squeeze further south, and this slight change in orientation will allow a slightly warmer air mass to start to fill in overhead. Under the influence of high pressure, southern and central areas will be dry this weekend, although it will be rather cloudy. However, further north, fronts will push in from the west and give rain and brisk winds to Northern Ireland and Scotland. Rain will be rather persistent across northern and western Scotland on Sunday and into Monday.

Through the first half of the week, high pressure will gradually shift eastwards, and this will allow warmer air to build in from the south. It will be mainly dry with sunshine for many, although Scotland and Northern Ireland can expect more cloud and some showers. Temperatures will likely peak on Wednesday or Thursday, with highs quite widely into the low 20s Celsius, but into the mid-20s Celsius across central and southern England. There is then some uncertainty for Thursday onwards. There is a risk that low pressure systems and their associated fronts will track in from the Atlantic Ocean and turn our weather wetter, windier and cooler as we head towards the end of the week and into next weekend. However, high pressure may be stubborn enough to block these low pressure systems from reaching our shores, which would allow the drier, sunnier and warmer conditions from earlier in the week to persist.

Monday 25 May – Sunday 31 May

High pressure re-developing, turning dry again

The final week of May could start on a wet, windy and cool note, as low pressure systems continue to develop over the Atlantic and head in our direction. However, by the middle of the week, these low pressure systems should become less of a feature over the Atlantic Ocean. Instead, high pressure should begin to re-develop over the Atlantic and extend across the British Isles. This should result in a dry and calm second half of the week and following weekend. It should be warm too, although there will likely be variable amounts of cloud, with the best of any sunshine to the southeast of the country.

Uncertainties around the positioning and timing of high pressure building over the Atlantic presents some risks to the forecast. There is a chance that high pressure will be slower to build into the UK which will allow further fronts to extend in. This is most likely for northern and western parts of the UK.
Overall, though, the final week of May is likely to turn increasing dry and calm. This will cap off an extremely dry spring across the UK, and the lack of any extended periods of wet weather will be unwelcome news for gardeners, farmers and growers.

Monday 1 June – Sunday 14 June

Very warm spells but occasionally showery

The start of June heralds the start of meteorological summer, and the sun's strength over the northern hemisphere will continue to build. For the end of May, high pressure is expected to be over, or near, to the UK, but into June, it is expected that high pressure will tend to gradually shift eastwards. As high pressure takes hold over central and northern Europe, low pressure systems are expected to develop over southwest Europe. This set up would result in plumes of warm air sweeping up from the south across the UK. Periods of very warm weather look possible, but this kind of air mass also presents a chance of showers developing on our shores. Any showers could be heavy and thundery.

However, this scenario of very warm air and thunderstorms is quite a specific weather set-up, and so the number of showery days are likely to be limited. In fact, these plumes of warm and potentially showery weather could miss the UK and be confined to France or the Low Countries instead. Overall though, it will likely be a warm start to meteorological summer with plenty of dry, sunny days. A few humid, very warm, and thundery days will likely be mixed in here and there as well.

Further ahead

Just how warm will we get in late May and early June and can we expect some late-spring/early-summer heat and thunder?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

Thursday 21 May - Saturday 30 May

It is expected that this period will start very warm with good spells of long, fine and dry weather throughout. However, it is possible that following this, rain will develop across some western regions, perhaps spreading east at times whilst weakening. These unsettled periods carry the risk of strong winds, mainly for western areas, and rain may turn heavy at times, however confidence is low for this presently. There is a risk of a few thunderstorms forming ahead of any bands of rain. Probably becoming less warm, but temperatures remaining above average for the time of year. Towards the end of this period it's possible we will see a return of more settled conditions, with further dry and rather warm weather.

Sunday 31 May - Sunday 14 Jun

It is currently expected that we will see a return to drier, more settled conditions. Rain would likely be confined to the north and northwest, with a slight risk of thundery outbreaks in the south at times. Temperatures are tending towards warm, and with a lower chance of it being hot at times in the south, although probably returning towards average towards the middle of June.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

That BBC monthly summary is a good example of a well written and informative long-term forecast. It puts many of the Met Office summaries to shame - although I have to admit that even these have improved recently.

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Friday 22 May - Sunday 31 May

It is expected that this period will start very warm with good spells of long, fine and dry weather throughout. However, it is possible that following this, rain will develop across some western regions, perhaps spreading east at times whilst weakening. These unsettled periods carry the risk of strong winds, mainly for western areas, and rain may turn heavy at times, however confidence is low for this presently. There is a risk of a few thunderstorms forming ahead of any bands of rain. Probably becoming less warm, but temperatures remaining above average for the time of year. Towards the end of this period it's possible we will see a return of more settled conditions, with further dry and rather warm weather.

Monday 1 Jun - Monday 15 Jun

It is currently expected that we will see a return to drier, more settled conditions. Rain would likely be confined to the north and northwest, with a slight risk of thundery outbreaks in the south at times. Temperatures are tending towards warm, and with a lower chance of it being hot at times in the south, although probably returning towards average towards the middle of June.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Saturday 23 May - Monday 1 Jun

It is expected that this period will start very warm with good spells of long, fine and dry weather throughout. However, it is possible that following this, rain will develop across some western regions, perhaps spreading east at times whilst weakening. These unsettled periods carry the risk of strong winds, mainly for western areas, and rain may turn heavy at times, however confidence is low for this presently. There is a risk of a few thunderstorms forming ahead of any bands of rain. Probably becoming less warm, but temperatures remaining above average for the time of year. Towards the end of this period it's possible we will see a return of more settled conditions, with further dry and rather warm weather.

Tuesday 2 Jun - Tuesday 16 Jun

It is currently expected that we will see a return to drier, more settled conditions. Rain would likely be confined to the north and northwest, with a slight risk of thundery outbreaks in the south at times. Temperatures are tending towards warm, and with a lower chance of it being hot at times in the south, although probably returning towards average towards the middle of June.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Sunday 24 May - Tuesday 2 Jun

The beginning of this period is likely to see a return to more settled conditions, bringing plenty of fine and dry weather, with temperatures recovering to above average. However, the northwest of Scotland could still see some more unsettled conditions at times. Looking further ahead into the following week, it is likely that there may be some outbreaks of rain moving southwards across the UK, accompanied by light winds. Towards the end of this period we should begin to see high pressure building again, bringing plenty of sunshine, calm conditions and above average temperatures, particularly in the south and east of the UK. Although, there may still be some cloudier skies and rain in parts of the north and west at times.

Wednesday 3 Jun - Wednesday 17 Jun

The generally settled conditions should continue into this period, but may we may begin to see the occasional spell of unsettled weather later on. The rain is most likely to be confined to the northwest of the UK, with a slight risk of thundery outbreaks in the southeast at times. Temperatures are initially expected to be above average, with a chance of it becoming very warm or hot at times in the south, although probably returning towards average towards the middle of June.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Monday 25 May - Wednesday 3 Jun

The beginning of this period is likely to see a return to more settled conditions, bringing plenty of fine and dry weather, with temperatures recovering to above average. However, the northwest of Scotland could still see some more unsettled conditions at times. Looking further ahead into the first week, it is likely that there may be some outbreaks of rain moving southwards across the UK, accompanied by light winds. Towards the end of this period we should begin to see high pressure building again, bringing plenty of sunshine, calm conditions and above average temperatures, particularly in the south and east of the UK. Although, there may still be some cloudier skies and rain in parts of the north and west at times.

Thursday 4 Jun - Thursday 18 Jun

The generally settled conditions should continue into this period, but may we may begin to see the occasional spell of unsettled weather later on. The rain is most likely to be confined to the northwest of the UK, with a slight risk of thundery outbreaks in the southeast at times. Temperatures are initially expected to be above average, with a chance of it becoming very warm or hot at times in the south, although probably returning towards average towards the middle of June.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

I see the Met Office have relocated Santon Downham, yesterday's hotspot, to Sussex!

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/press-office/news/weather-and-climate/2020/warm-weather-may-thunderstorms 

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Tuesday 26 May - Thursday 4 Jun

The beginning of this period should remain fairly settled with some cloud and outbreaks of rain across Scotland. It is likely these outbreaks of rain will ease and move southwards into England along with a fair amount of sunshine and light winds. Towards the end of the period, more settled conditions are likely to build across the UK, bringing plenty of fine and dry weather, with calm conditions. However, further cloud and rain may affect parts of the north and west at times, particularly the northwest of Scotland. There is also the possibility of the occasional unsettled spell across the country. Temperatures are expected to be above average across much of the country, particularly across more southern and eastern areas.

Friday 5 Jun - Friday 19 Jun

The generally settled conditions should continue into this period but the possibility of the occasional spell of unsettled weather remains. The rain is most likely to be confined to the northwest of the UK, with a slight risk of thundery outbreaks in the southeast at times. Temperatures are initially expected to be above average, with a chance of it becoming very warm or hot at times in the south, although probably returning towards average towards the middle of June, particularly in the north.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Often warm and dry but turning more showery later

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Wednesday 20 May – Sunday 24 May

Warm at first, then cooler, breezy and showery

On Wednesday and Thursday, much of the UK will be warm with periods of sunshine and only gentle winds. However, there is the risk of a few heavy, thundery showers on Thursday afternoon, particularly in the southeast.

A cold front will then race in from the Atlantic, bringing a spell of rain and a downturn in temperatures for Friday. The rain will be followed by a mixture of sunshine and blustery showers in the west. The northwest will have strong winds.

This weekend, much of the UK will be breezy and showery for a time albeit with spells of sunshine. However, on Sunday, the showers look like becoming more confined to north-western parts of the UK. Central, southern and eastern areas should become largely dry and less breezy as high pressure starts to extend from the south.

Monday 25 May – Sunday 31 May

Often dry and rather warm

Next week is likely to see an area of high pressure dominating the weather. Therefore, much of the UK is likely to be often dry with gentle winds. Temperatures are likely to alternate between near and above the average, so it should be warm at times

Occasionally, the high pressure area looks like moving further away to the west. This should allow occasional weak fronts to push south-eastwards across the UK, bringing a little patchy rain. However, overall, rainfall amounts are likely to remain below the seasonal average.

Therefore, the last week of May is likely to wrap up what has been an extremely dry spring across the UK. The lack of any extended periods of wet weather will be unwelcome news for gardeners and growers.

Monday 1 June – Thursday 4 June

Warm but turning more showery at times

The start of June marks the beginning of the meteorological summer with the strength of the sun still building. For the first half of June, it still looks as though high pressure will be often near to the UK. Therefore, we can expect strong and warm sunshine at times. One or two very warm days are favoured with warmth spreading from the near-continent at times.

However, it looks as though high pressure areas will gradually move a little further north and east. Over England and Wales, this should occasionally allow showery weather to spread from the south. In any warmer weather, we could even see one or two thunderstorms. Further north, in Scotland and Northern Ireland, there is a greater likelihood of drier than average conditions persisting. The main uncertainty regarding the forecast is exactly where the high pressure will become centred. There are chances that the high stays over the UK. This would lead to a continuation of the unusually dry and settled weather we have been experiencing.

Further ahead

We will take another look at the June forecast. Can we expect any useful rain? Or could we be looking at the start of a drought for some?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

Anyone know where I could find a Oregon Scientific Channel Outdoor Temperature & Humidity Sensor!?

I found one on EBAY but wasn't sure if there is a shop on TWO where I can order?

I set it to channel 1 and despite new batteries and reset' it still isn't displaying temperature outdoors...!?

 

 

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Anyone know where I could find a Oregon Scientific Channel Outdoor Temperature & Humidity Sensor!?

I found one on EBAY but wasn't sure if there is a shop on TWO where I can order?

I set it to channel 1 and despite new batteries and reset' it still isn't displaying temperature outdoors...!?

 

 

Any thoughts or advice would be much appreciated. 🙂 Thanks

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Accuweather's summer forecast is out

https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-forecasts/accuweathers-2020-europe-summer-forecast/740540

Quite an odd headline for the UK and Ireland "Stormy Periods" - sounds more like an Autumn/Winter forecast lol!

Anyway the upshot is they don't think we're going to have as hot as summer as we've had for the past couple of years with much more in the way of Atlantic-driven weather.

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