ARTzeman
13 May 2020 09:52:02

Met Office Hadley            11.00c.       Anomaly       0.5c Provisional to 12th.


Metcheck                         10.47c        Anomaly       -0.93c


Netweather                      11.28c        Anomaly       -0.03c


Peasedown St John       11.12c       Anomaly         -0.64c.          






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
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Saint Snow
13 May 2020 12:22:37

Surely it can't drop any more now 


It's been fairly pleasant in the sun here today and wasn't exactly cold last night. Wouldn't be surprised if the 'CET' temp for much of NW England at least for this 24 hours is around the 12c mark.



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Bertwhistle
13 May 2020 13:07:08

Originally Posted by: johncs2016 


.

I'm not sure how usual or unusual it is for there to be such a big discrepency in the temperature anomalies between the minimum and maximum temperatures, but this shows just how big the average diurnal temperature ranges have been just recent as a result of high pressure being in charge for so much of the time.




Clear skies, light winds, dry air and dry soil (air pockets insulate) all contribute to this John. Deserts are classics for diurnal temperature changes, especially in spring.


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
'We'll never see 40 celsius in this country'.
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
13 May 2020 17:53:17

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


Surely it can't drop any more now 


It's been fairly pleasant in the sun here today and wasn't exactly cold last night. Wouldn't be surprised if the 'CET' temp for much of NW England at least for this 24 hours is around the 12c mark.


I hope it doesn’t drop much more!  Although it was only 4c here this morning and it hasn’t been much above 12c today, so maybe another small drop. Then hopefully, upwards and onwards!  


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
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Whether Idle
13 May 2020 18:01:27

Originally Posted by: Caz 


I hope it doesn’t drop much more! Then hopefully, upwards and onwards!  



Amen to that !


Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
four
  • four
  • Advanced Member
13 May 2020 18:40:50
Today ranged from +0.7C to max just 7C so another substantial drop to 8C (-2.1C)
That's about the last day of it though with near average temperatures until next week when it may or may not warm up properly.
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
14 May 2020 04:13:03

It’s currently frosty at -2.2c here, so I would say another drop into the 10’s is highly likely today!  Fingers crossed for some good positive figures from here on.   


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
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ARTzeman
14 May 2020 09:51:53

Met Office Hadley            10.8c          Anomaly        0.1c. Provisional to 13th.


Metcheck                         10.16c       Anomaly         -1.24c


Netweather                      11.03c       Anomaly        -0.28c


Peasedown St John        11.11c       Anomaly        -0.65c.     






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
GezM
  • GezM
  • Advanced Member
14 May 2020 10:06:17

Originally Posted by: Caz 


It’s currently frosty at -2.2c here, so I would say another drop into the 10’s is highly likely today!  Fingers crossed for some good positive figures from here on.   



The following minima were recorded (to the nearest degree) last night in the CET locations:


Pershore      -3C
Stonyhurst   +0C
Rothamsted +2C


With maxima in the low teens yesterday and today, we'll see another drop today and I expect it will probably fall tomorrow too. 


Edit: Just seen Art's latest post 


Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)
Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)
rickm
14 May 2020 11:14:08

May is normally the best month for the largest diurnal ranges - doesn't Rickmansworth hold the record?

four
  • four
  • Advanced Member
15 May 2020 07:57:16
7.8C (-2.4C) here this morning, that's also lower than April (8.1C) but things will change through next week to near(er) normal.
ARTzeman
15 May 2020 10:07:48

Met Office Hadley          10.5c          Anomaly      -0.2c   Provisional to 14th.


Metcheck                       10.05c        Anomaly      -1.35c


Netweather                    10.8c          Anomaly      -0.51c


Peasedown St John      10.52c        Anomaly       -1.24c.           






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Bertwhistle
15 May 2020 18:35:52

Originally Posted by: rickm 


May is normally the best month for the largest diurnal ranges - doesn't Rickmansworth hold the record?



No- that's an old August record for +1 to +29.


I think -7C to + 22C (Tummel Bridge?) in May 1978 pipped that.


 


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
'We'll never see 40 celsius in this country'.
Saint Snow
15 May 2020 21:12:04

The output's been oscillating wildly in terms of temps over the past week or so; depending on the run, we could be anywhere between about 10.5c and 13c.


Anyone who gets close this month will be down to pure luck more than normal.



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
ARTzeman
16 May 2020 10:03:07

Met Office Hadley               10.4c          Anomaly        -0.3c. Provisional to 15th.


Metcheck                             10.08c       Anomaly        -1.33c


Netweather                          10.76c       Anomaly        -0.55c


Peasedown St John          10.67c        Anomaly         -1.09c.        






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
16 May 2020 10:43:27

Some very wild swings in temperature this month. After a fairly nondescript start to the month we had a couple of warm days followed by several days of very cold weather. Today may still be slightly below average but then it turns very warm by the middle of next week. The bank holiday weekend looks closer to average before turning warmer again in the final week of the month.


The main difference in the second half of May will be much warmer nights. Minimum temperatures this month have been way below average so far. The data below shows the difference in the anomalies for maximum and minimum temperatures in the first half of the month.


Minimum CET to 15 May 4.7C (1.65C below average)


Maximum CET to 15 May 15.2C (0.35C below average)


My CET mean estimate to 15 May is just 9.89C (0.93C below the 1981-2010 mean). This is 0.4C below the provisional Hadley figure. So a large downward correction looks likely this month.


The CET will bounce back in the second half of the month though. By the 30th I am currently expecting the mean to be at 12.3C.


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Chart1


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Chart2

GezM
  • GezM
  • Advanced Member
16 May 2020 16:02:16
Cheers Simon. Some interesting stats there. I was worried about the 'cold night downward correction' and you've proven that concern to be justified. Looks like we'll finish some way below my prediction 😞 .
Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)
Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)
ARTzeman
17 May 2020 10:15:03

Met Office Hadley            10.4c          Anomaly       -0.3c. Provisional to 16th.


Metcheck                         10.16c        Anomaly       -1.24c


Netweather                      10.81c        Anomaly       -0.5c


Peasedown St John        10.93c        Anomaly        -0.83c.   






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
18 May 2020 09:48:16

Met Office Hadley           10.6c.          Anomaly         -0.2c Provisional to 17th.


Metcheck                        10.37c         Anomaly         -1.04c


Netweather                     10.95c         Anomaly         -0.36c


Peasedown St John      11.13c         Anomaly          -0.63c.






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
19 May 2020 03:41:43

On its way up now!  Thanks for the stats GW.  Overnight temps are improving with double figures again last night and my 13c isn’t looking quite so sad now, although still too high. 


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
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