No clear overall anomaly signals from the modelling of late; for example today's 12z GFS run increases the CET estimate to about half a degree above the LTA as of 15th, only to ease back down to within 0.2*C of the LTA as of 23rd, a closeness exhibited by the majority of GFS runs in the past few days.
Generally, very mixed conditions with some substantial warm sectors (temps 11-14*C) interchanging with polar maritime air of varying chill.
Longer-term, hints that we might see some manner of tropical wave propagation to try and encourage higher-latitude ridge positions in our vicinity, but no clear sign (yet, at least) that it will be strong enough to achieve much.
Reasons like this being why my CET guess this month was even less inspiring than the political climate .
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https://twitter.com/peacockreports 2021's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.4°C 21st Jul | T-Min: -6.8°C New Years Day! | Wettest Day: 34.1mm 2nd Oct | Ice Days: 2 (27th Jan & 8th Feb)
Keep Calm and Forecast On