BBC monthly outlook
Often wet and windy but mild.
Wednesday 9 October – Sunday 13 October
Windy and showery with prolonged rain at times.
The remainder of this week will be often windy with showers and temperatures near or a little above normal. Most places will have rather mild nights too, with any frost limited to upland glens of northeast Scotland.
On Wednesday, much of the UK will have some bright or sunny intervals. However, it will be breezy with showers in places; the showers most frequent and heavy in the west of the UK and also in the far south-east of England. Into Wednesday night, it will remain breezy with further showers in the west.
Thursday and Friday will have further showers or longer outbreaks of rain, most frequently in the north and west of the UK. The south-eastern quarter of England will have the best of any lengthier periods of dry weather. Over England and Wales, it will be windy on Friday, perhaps with gusts up to 40-50mph quite widely.
The unsettled theme will continue into this weekend with rain at times for many.
Monday 14 October – Sunday 20 October
Unsettled with rain and brisk winds at times.
The unsettled theme to the weather looks like persisting through next week. Low pressure areas over the north-east Atlantic will bring bands of rain and showers to many areas. The rain is likely to be heavy at times, particularly over western areas, bringing a threat of local flooding. The rain is likely to be accompanied by strong winds at times. Current indications are for the strongest winds and most widespread rain to be around the middle part of next week.
Despite an unsettled picture, it will be a rather mild week for most with temperatures mainly a little above the seasonal average. Once again, there should be a lack of night frosts. However, it does look like turning a touch cooler towards the end of the week, perhaps with winds switching from a south or south-westerly to a westerly direction by then.
Monday 21 October – Sunday 3 November
Further wet and windy weather for a time.
Unsettled conditions are expected to persist for a while longer with further bands of rain and brisk winds spreading from the west at times. Initially, it should stay rather mild too with temperatures a little above the seasonal average.
However, towards the turn of the month, we expect a more changeable weather pattern over the UK as low pressure areas starts to alternate with high pressure areas. Therefore, we should see some lengthier drier and calmer interludes in between the bands of rain. Temperatures are likely to fall nearer to the seasonal average, too, perhaps with a few chillier nights and occasional mist and fog.
October is shaping up to be a wet and windy month. We will take another look to see how things could change going into November.