It is possible, but in my experience prolonged “marginal” scenarios tend to lead to frustration with a cold damp wintry mix while inland hills get covered. Lots of uncertainty in the outlook which, on the plus side, means that it could end up snowy in places. A couple of degrees colder (and still unsettled) would make a world of difference IMO.

Closer to something more sustained on this run!

Yes signals for Greeny high and/or Scandinavia HP rise here

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/de/topkarten.php?map=1&model=gfs&var=1&run=6&time=207&lid=OP&h=0&mv=0&tr=3#mapref

Edit: our friend the Azores High comes to piss on our chips yet again.

Correct me if I am wrong but yet again the Azores HP seems to be ruining our fun?

FWIW - the 06z GFS gives NW England a significant snowstorm on Thursday. Very unlikely to happen, but not impossible. 

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPUK06_126_43.png

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPUK06_126_38.png

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPUK06_126_25.png

Yes - exactly - the Azores moves closer towards France and UK etc:

This is true. If only we had the initial cold air advection in place from a setup such as Dec 2009. If we could have had a classic northerly blast first, -10C 850’s,  with a severe frost or two, this would help with getting snow to settle. 

Marginal is certainly the word next week, but I do think a fair few will see snow. 

You have to laugh really!

Temps of 9-12c for south if this comes about.

Could be an awesome FI on the 06z run. Easy to see why met are more bullish with easterlies into 2nd week of Feb. 

Then again lol. A lot to resolve post 192 but plenty of interest way before then with the met having their work cut out during the oncoming week.

Plenty to look forward to.

Well I certainly wouldn’t have any complaints if the 06z GFS verified. Neither would Saint, or Solar Cycles.

I fear this will be corrected south. 

Slice of a warmer sector'

Tally, you need to stop getting stressed out by random FI op charts. They are totally meaningless at this range.

Also posting them in the thread clutters the page, can’t you post the links instead? 

Exactly Joe, it adds nothing and these individual charts inevitably, (yet to Sean seemingly surprisingly,) change significantly between each op run. One warm sector on one op run of one model a week and a half away provides little if any insight as to what conditions will be like a week and a half away. In fact based on recent runs even at half a week out it may not be much use in isolation!

Of course they are meaningless - I was just analyzing each run and highlighting how they keep chopping and changing run after run etc as we all do and posting the chart as a pic is easier for you guys as you don't have to click on the link and open a new web page browser to view etc.

Here with the link to the 384 chart: - taste of spring now in the 06z run, with cold air and winter returning to Greece & Balkans etc - although this would be a perfect summer chart with southerly winds:

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU06_384_1.png

Yes, I was about to suggest that a chart for 10 days from now from an operational run is really not worth bothering about as it's only the trends at that range.

Still cold messy zonality with short waves popping up unseen.

It's not often that we get this pattern, with several windows for sleet and snow in the next week but huge uncertainties around where and how much, if any.

Fascinating to see the models trying to work out how the atmosphere is responding and wil respond to the conflicting signals.

That's still pretty cool under a continental feed.

Not likely to happen, odd evolution.

As it stands yes. But for summer with that set up we could be seeing really hot weather - i.e a Spanish Plume!

A degree of consensus starting to build for a band of snow across the south on Tuesday afternoon.

ICON 6z shows a band of precipitation moving east and intensifying as it does so. Could give some atrocious conditions for the Tuesday evening rush hour if this verifies. It becomes very intense over Kent during the late evening

http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/icon/runs/2019012606/iconeu_uk1-1-78-0.png?26-10

http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/icon/runs/2019012606/iconeu_uk1-1-81-0.png?26-10

http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/icon/runs/2019012606/iconeu_uk1-1-84-0.png?26-10

http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/icon/runs/2019012606/iconeu_uk1-1-87-0.png?26-10

06z GFS parallel showing something very similar. The high res charts are stuck at T81 at the moment.

0z ARPEGE shows a more marginal situation with rain south of the M4

http://modeles7.meteociel.fr/modeles/arpege/runs/2019012600/arpegeuk-1-93-0.png?26-05

y

Lucky it is not summer then

I hope it does though. Warmish days, frosty nights. I'd take it any day over this current/ongoing gunk. 

Turning out to be one of the most boring winters for ages round here.

What a lovely run the 6z GFS(P) is, if you're a snow fan. Take a look at the "snow on the ground" chart for next Friday and you'll see that rarest of things, a 98% white UK!

http://images.meteociel.fr/im/4459/150-780PUK_brq9.GIF

Yes, in summer that would be a very good set-up. My point was in response to your comment 'a taste of spring' - which would suggest mild weather and that chart doesn't suggest anything mild.

Anyway, of much more significance is the evolution over the next 72 hours.

Curently the GFSP has a significant snow event for Tuesday into Wednesday, as shown by Darren above.