. Looks odds on for a wintry spell now,
Famous last words. Compared to yesterday it looks good, but I'll be much more interested if we can keep this going for another 24 hours. If it's still looking good this time tomorrow, with no wobbles in the mean time, then I'll be getting drawn in!
(The SSW is still ongoing, of course, which will continue to mess up the models a bit. Last night's ECM showed it ending on the 22nd, followed by the briefest of dips negative again on the 25th. The reversal still isn't showing any great signs of downwelling to say the 100hPa level, but it's worth mentioning that at 100 and 150 the zonal winds are much weaker than normal (which should mean weaker and/or displaced jet streams a bit further down).