This evening's 12z runs look quite promising for cold weather fans. Let's see if the trend continues tomorrow.

---

This evening's 12z runs look quite promising for cold weather fans. Let's see if the trend continues tomorrow.

It will be encouraging if we see some consistency from the 18z GFS data and then as you say a good set of 00z runs, which have been rare recently. On the subject of the 18z GFS and JFF 

---

Still quiet as a mouse up high over the pole:

https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=15.76,91.00,441 

Great 18z so far 

Snow for many 

---

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU18_153_1.png 

Broadly the same pattern as the previous run.

---

Lovely 

---

GFS looks very consistent so far (T168) hopefully it can maintain that overnight, but looks very promising. I think synoptics wise this is the closest we have been to getting snow fest this winter.

---

Strength of the wind= blizzards in places where snow falls

---

Very snowy t120... however the pace of change per run is worrying. I think by tomorrow we will be heading towards a fast slider.. followed by HP over the UK.

This would bring the charts in line with the scenario this winter has been dominated by.

---

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU18_153_1.png 

Broadly the same pattern as the previous run.

 

Yep, we still get the easterly over the sinking low. 

---

Very snowy t120... however the pace of change per run is worrying. I think by tomorrow we will be heading towards a fast slider.. followed by HP over the UK.

This would bring the charts in line with the scenario this winter has been dominated by.

The GFS shows mostly rain at 120hr. It’s a little better a day or two later. Standard easterly muck 

---

Impressive similarity between the 12Z and 18Z at 198 / 204 hours. 

---

 

The GFS shows mostly rain at 120hr. It’s a little better a day or two later. Standard easterly muck 

 

Youre right.. i miss read the screen. 147 onwards. Gfs shows alot of snow about. Very mixed atmosphere with cold uppers marginal. Alot of changes to be made til then. But i reckon they will move back to the flavour for this winter. HP / dry / tame.

---

 

The GFS shows mostly rain at 120hr. It’s a little better a day or two later. Standard easterly muck 

 

All snow by 132hrs though. 

---

JMA also a belter this evening 

---

Some fun on tonight’s pub run but short lived. Perhaps FI will throw out another giggle...

 

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/de/topkarten.php?map=1&model=gfs&var=1&run=18&time=288&lid=OP&h=0&mv=0&tr=3#mapref

🤮🤮🤮

JMA also a belter this evening 

 

You're not wrong:  -12C HPA air arrives

 

 

Followed by a WALL of precipitation - into frigid air

---

Some fun on tonight’s pub run but short lived. Perhaps FI will throw out another giggle...

 

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/de/topkarten.php?map=1&model=gfs&var=1&run=18&time=288&lid=OP&h=0&mv=0&tr=3#mapref

🤮🤮🤮

With this and Brexit, we are all

going to lose our sanity lol.

Joking aside, I think just a variation in theme. Happy with that run tonight

---

 

 

You're not wrong:  -12C HPA air arrives

 

 

Followed by a WALL of precipitation - into frigid air

JMA has always been my most trusted model 🤣

---

Pub's crowded tonight..that's a good sign - last orders, my round! Here's to a Stella 00z 

---