Perhaps not quite the excitement in here that there was a couple of days ago but it looks like a notably hot / very hot and humid spell is creeping out of the woodwork. Peak heat still favoured next Friday and GFS is consistently pushing temps above 30C. I expect we'll start to hear more speculation very shortly about the potential for mid 30Cs. 

PS: Someone asked about me about the potential for rain in the Chilterns yesterday. In the end we literally had a few drops and they were nowhere near enough to register on my new VP2. 

Amazing how far north the hot air gets. 15C isotherm to the north of North Cape, that’s about 72 degrees north!

https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twodata/gfs.aspx?run=00&charthour=234&chartname=mslp850&chartregion=na-region&charttag=MSLP%20850hPa%20C

Weather for the Wee Ahead suggesting widespread plume thunderstorms on Sunday week (29th), but GfS and ECM charts this morning, while not excluding storms, are less definite.

Sat 30

Sun 30

Mon 32

Tues 32

We’d 31

Thurs 31

Fri 36

Before a mini breakdown.

There are some runs giving us 20mm of rain but others showing next to zero up to the month end.

-16c 850s in March +16c 850s in July from easterlies.  One of the hottest easterlies ive ever seen

http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm2162.html

Can this carry on in to the winter months?  We would have a very warm dryish autumn then very cold snowy winters? Plus the sea temps here to Baltic are very warm so that would boost strong snow convection from end of November onward.  

The lack of westerlies this year has been remarkable 

Would the 1976 role of 32C 90F that run for 2 weeks can be reach every day starting from Monday onward? Or tomorrow if we can get 32C as well.  Friday is now only 6 days away and they been consistant on that day so hopefully it stay put since now is the peak of the summer, and tomorrow the last day for sunset at 9pm which is sad to see it going down but the heat avallibity can stay longer.  Like what Moomin said ECM had been showing hot runs for a long while now and must be the best performing model.  No rain here lsat night as i checked the car roof to see if there spots since I last washed it 3 weeks ago.

I’d hazard a guess that Saturday will be another very hot day and a shift in air stream will take place briefly Saturday night into Sunday before high pressure returns with little or no rain in some parts. This has been the story of the summer so far; it’s not out of the realms of possibility that the low pushing in from the West actually corrects further north.

Next weeks temperatures are really a sight to behold.

Good grief thats a mad control potentially record breaking chart plenty of hot weather to look forward to

posting just for fun.

also worthy of note is the very warm nights to come next week.

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gefs_table.php?x=0&y=0&lat=51.5085&lon=-0.12574&run=0&ext=fr&mode=7&sort=0

some of those are so hot I cant see the numbers correctly my eyes are not that hot these days

[quote=Jiries;1019582]

Can this carry on in to the winter months?  We would have a very warm dryish autumn then very cold snowy winters? Plus the sea temps here to Baltic are very warm so that would boost strong snow convection from end of November onward.  

Mmmmmmm

A return to the 18th century hot summers and winter frost fairs on the Thames....

Think 1995 George.

Bur without the washout September please!

A dry warm autumn followed by a cold Easterly winter = hosepipe bans countrywide. Then a repeat of 2018 and we’re in sharing baths and bricks in the cistern territory.

Is this "Death of the Westerlies" linked to the slowing down of the Gulf Stream which I have been reading about recently? Or are the Earth's magnetic poles switching? As Sherlock Holmes might say "Something is definitely afoot."

Don’t mind a washout November Tim, but September can be a lovely month with the sun still string enough for warm / hot weather. Don’t like wasting it on muck!

I agree. And as people know I am very much a climate change proponent.

if we had a series of blocked winters and summers then yes, but until then I’m with you.

GFS 06Z much warmer out to next Thursday. Hot air is being sucked up from the south as the low stays a little bit further west.

BBC forecast just now mentioned temps getting into the mid-30s by the middle of the week.

Everything is shaping up for a hot week!