Gavin D
21 March 2020 15:07:10

Thursday 26 Mar - Saturday 4 Apr


Dry and settled conditions should dominate through the end of March and into early April, bringing plenty of bright or sunny spells across the UK, particularly in the south and east. However, rain is likely to spread to northwestern areas at times, and could develop more widely briefly at times. This unsettled weather could become more widespread across the north towards the end of the period. Winds will be predominantly light, but for north and northwestern regions there could be periods of stronger winds. Mist and fog patches are possible, but these will be quick to clear given the time of year. Temperatures likely around average for the time of year with large diurnal ranges bringing a risk of overnight frosts.


Saturday 4 Apr - Saturday 18 Apr


Longer periods of dry and settled weather are set to continue throughout April, and it will be much drier than recent months. There is still the potential for some rain to push across northwestern areas and weakening as they spread southeastwards. The winds will continue to be light or moderate, and the risk of overnight mist and fog patches will continue. Temperatures around normal but with large diurnal ranges, overnight frosts are likely, but gradually becoming less so towards the end of the period.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Gavin D
21 March 2020 19:24:09

BBC monthly outlook


Summary


Drier and calmer than recent weeks


_________________________________


Monday 23 March – Sunday 29 March


Often dry for many with only occasional rain.


Much of the UK will have often dry weather through the coming week with only occasional spells of rain expected for many. This weekend will see a lot of dry and sunny weather, thanks to an area of high pressure near Scandinavia. However, there will be a brisk easterly wind, which will add a chill. The nights will be cold enough for some frost, most widely on Sunday night.


Through the first half of next week, England and Wales are likely to stay largely dry and bright. Winds should ease, too, making it feel more pleasant in the daytime. However, the nights are likely to still be rather cold. Scotland and Northern Ireland are likely to be windier and cloudier at times with rain in places. There is some uncertainty over the extent of any rain - the far north-west of Scotland, including the Western Isles will probably see the focus of any heavier rain.


The second half of next week should see a lot of dry weather for many with only occasional patchy rain. However, it is unlikely to be particularly warm with some further chilly nights likely. It may even turn a little colder by day towards the end of the week.


Monday 30 March – Sunday 5 April


Mostly dry and calm with temperatures near average


The start of April is expected to see a lot of dry and settled weather with an area of high pressure dominating. Occasionally we will probably see one or two weak fronts bringing patchy rain but overall rainfall amounts look set to be below-average. Winds are likely to be from the north at times, bringing some further chilly nights and a continued risk of frosts. However, under any lengthier periods of sunshine, it should feel pleasant during the days.


There is some uncertainty where the high pressure area will be most often centred and this has implications for the temperatures. If high pressure ends-up mainly centred to the east of the UK, we could draw in some much warmer air from the south. However, at present, it looks like temperatures will be often near or even slightly below average.


Monday 6 April – Sunday 19 April


Turning more changeable with rain at times


Into the middle part of April, it looks likely we'll lose the high pressure influence at times. This means that, after a relatively dry and calm start to the month, conditions are likely to become much more changeable by mid-April.


Much of the British Isles will see cloud and rain at times although there should continue to be some drier and brighter days as well. Rainfall amounts could rise a little above the average over northern parts of the UK. However, we are unlikely to see a return to the very wet conditions experienced in February.


Overall, temperatures are likely to be near to a little above the seasonal average. Increased amounts of cloud compared to the preceding couple of weeks should mean a reduced risk of night frosts.


Further ahead


It looks as though we are heading for some drier and calmer weather compared to recently through the next couple of weeks. We will take another look to see whether we can then expect some wetter weather to return with April showers.


https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

Gavin D
21 March 2020 19:25:15

John Hammond's latest monthly outlook



  • Spring slow to warm up

  • Longer drier spell into April

  • Temperatures remain uncertain


Full forecast as ever is here for subscribers* https://weathertrending.com/2020/03/20/john-hammonds-month-ahead-hope-through-chill-wind/

Gavin D
22 March 2020 14:45:24

Friday 27 Mar - Sunday 5 Apr


Dry and settled conditions should dominate through the end of March and into early April, bringing plenty of bright or sunny spells across the UK, particularly in the south and east. However, rain is likely to spread to northwestern areas at times, and could develop more widely briefly at times. This unsettled weather could become more widespread across the north towards the end of the period. Winds will be predominantly light, but for north and northwestern regions there could be periods of stronger winds. Mist and fog patches are possible, but these will be quick to clear given the time of year. Temperatures likely around average for the time of year with large diurnal ranges bringing a risk of overnight frosts.


Monday 6 Apr - Monday 20 Apr


Longer periods of dry and settled weather are set to continue throughout April, and it is likely to be much drier than recent months. During mid-April, there is still the potential for some rain to push across northwestern areas and weakening as they spread southeastwards. The winds will continue to be light or moderate, and the risk of overnight mist and fog patches will continue. Temperatures around normal but with large diurnal ranges, overnight frosts are likely, but gradually becoming less so towards the end of the period. The east and southeast could see some warmer periods.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Gavin D
23 March 2020 15:07:12

Saturday 28 Mar - Monday 6 Apr


Dry and settled conditions should dominate through the end of March and into early April, bringing plenty of bright or sunny spells across the UK, particularly in the south and east. However, rain is likely to spread to northwestern areas at times, and could develop more widely briefly at times. This unsettled weather could become more widespread across the north towards the end of the period. Winds will be predominantly light, but for north and northwestern regions there could be periods of stronger winds. Mist and fog patches are possible, but these will be quick to clear given the time of year. Temperatures likely around average for the time of year with large diurnal ranges bringing a risk of overnight frosts.


Tuesday 7 Apr - Tuesday 21 Apr


Longer periods of dry and settled weather are set to continue throughout April, and it is likely to be much drier than recent months. During mid-April, there is still the potential for some rain to push across northwestern areas and weakening as they spread southeastwards. The winds will continue to be light or moderate, and the risk of overnight mist and fog patches will continue. Temperatures around normal but with large diurnal ranges, overnight frosts are likely, but gradually becoming less so towards the end of the period. The east and southeast could see some warmer periods.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Gavin D
24 March 2020 15:22:39

Sunday 29 Mar - Tuesday 7 Apr


Towards the end of March it will be largely dry, however, eastern areas will likely see showers of hail and snow at times, which will accumulate on higher ground and could give some snow and ice to lower levels during the night. A northeasterly wind will keep it cold. High pressure conditions should dominate through the beginning of April, bringing plenty of dry, fine weather with bright or sunny spells across the UK, particularly in West. Winds will be predominantly light, with any breezier weather bringing a significant wind chill, indeed it looks likely to remain colder than average with further chance of snow. Unsettled conditions will tend to gradually become more established from the northwest later, bringing spells of wind and rain.


Wednesday 8 Apr - Wednesday 22 Apr


Following the gradual change to more unsettled conditions, a more typical spring time pattern is expected with a mixture of sunny spells, increasing likelihood of daytime showers, and spells of rain at times. There is very low confidence in any details aside from these broad trends. Temperatures are likely to be around or slightly above the seasonal average, with the warmest weather expected in the south and east. Overnight frosts will tend to become much scarcer towards the end of the period.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Gavin D
25 March 2020 15:45:34

Monday 30 Mar - Wednesday 8 Apr


Towards the end of March it will be largely dry, however, eastern areas will likely see showers of hail and snow at times, which will accumulate on higher ground and could give some snow and ice to lower levels during the night. A northeasterly wind will keep it cold. High pressure conditions should dominate through the beginning of April, bringing plenty of dry, fine weather with bright or sunny spells across the UK, particularly in West. Winds will be predominantly light, with any breezier weather bringing a significant wind chill, indeed it looks likely to remain colder than average with further chance of snow. Unsettled conditions will tend to gradually become more established from the northwest later, bringing spells of wind and rain.


Thursday 9 Apr - Thursday 23 Apr


Following the gradual change to more unsettled conditions, a more typical spring time pattern is expected with a mixture of sunny spells, increasing likelihood of daytime showers, and spells of rain at times. There is very low confidence in any details aside from these broad trends. Temperatures are likely to be around or slightly above the seasonal average, with the warmest weather expected in the south and east. Overnight frosts will tend to become much scarcer towards the end of the period.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Gavin D
25 March 2020 20:35:56

BBC monthly outlook


Summary


Drier, colder for March with April showers later


_________________________________


Wednesday 25 March – Sunday 29 March


Often dry and sunny but a cold weekend ahead


For the rest of this working week, most of the UK will see sunny, dry, and fine weather with some pleasantly warm afternoons and chilly, frosty nights. The one spanner in the works is a weak front that is currently in northern Scotland. This is bringing some strong winds and bands of rain, but only in northern areas. As we head through the end of the week, this front will drift slowly southwards, reaching southern England on Friday. However, rain will be unlikely to get further south than the Central Belt in Scotland as the front weakens significantly. On both the northern and southern sides of the band of clouds, it will be mostly sunny and fine. This weekend high pressure will build to the northwest of the country and bring in a brisk northeast wind. This will peak on Sunday, where scattered showers will drift into eastern and central areas of Britain. These will likely be wintry even down to low levels, especially Sunday afternoon. There will be a biting wind as well making things feel quite raw. Western areas and Northern Ireland should stay dry and mostly sunny but will still be rather cold.


Monday 30 March – Sunday 5 April


Plenty of dry sunshine but wintry showers for some


The high pressure system that is expected to develop to the northwest will linger into early April, keeping things dry and mostly sunny throughout the country. However, with northerly winds at times the cold polar air will continue to feed in from the north. Any showery weather will remain on the edges of the high and most likely remain offshore, but northern and eastern areas have the greatest risk of seeing those shower.


Showers will tend to be blustery and due to the colder air will likely be wintry even to low levels. Central and western parts of the country will be more under the high's influence and likely stay dry but a bit colder than normal. Northerly winds off the North Sea will make for a sharp, biting feel on the eastern coasts. Throughout the week, overnight frosts are likely to be fairly common across the country under clear skies and light winds. Sunny afternoons will likely not feel quite as warm as we'd expect for early April.


Monday 6 April – Sunday 19 April


Gradually turning more unsettled, warmer


Heading into the middle part of April, we expect a gradual pattern shift away from a strong, blocking high pressure system. This high will likely shift west into the Atlantic and away from the UK, allowing low pressure to form near Scandinavia. The result is a shift to more low pressure tracks and a return of unsettled, wet, and windy weather. This should be a slow transition happening over the course of a week or so, but by mid-April much of the country should be seeing Atlantic weather fronts and occasional rainy days.


Temperatures will slowly climb back towards average, and by mid-April some parts of the country will be a bit warmer than normal as fronts bring in some mild tropical air from the southwest. There will be occasional cold days mixed in after cold fronts pass through as well, but there are currently no strong signals for any prolonged or widespread cold by mid April. However, this all comes with the rather large caveat that confidence is pretty low by mid-April. Forecast models are struggling to pinpoint the location of the high, and this leads to some large swings in the expected weather even if the high pressure position only shifts by a hundred miles.


Further ahead


With some new data we will take a better look at how April is shaping up and just how long the cold will stick around.


https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

Gavin D
27 March 2020 15:09:09

Wednesday 1 Apr - Friday 10 Apr


For Wednesday, the south of the UK should see clear and sunny spells, whilst elsewhere is likely to be cloudier with the odd spot of rain or drizzle in the north. Over Thursday and Friday, conditions should continue to become more unsettled from the north, with further outbreaks of rain and strengthening winds pushing southwards. Looking further ahead, the unsettled conditions are likely to become more established. This will bring spells of rain, which are likely to be more persistent and heavy across the northwest, followed by spells of sunshine and showers. There could be strong winds at times, particularly towards the north where it is also expected to be colder. The south of the UK could be milder, with the driest conditions mostly likely towards the southeast.


Saturday 11 Apr - Saturday 25 Apr


It is most likely that this period will see spells of unsettled conditions, bringing wet and windy weather, interspersed with quieter interludes of dry and settled weather. The unsettled periods could see showers turning wintry over the higher ground in the north. The settled periods should see plenty of clear spells and sunshine, with the driest conditions expected in the southeast of the UK. Temperatures should remain around average, although there could be a large variance between day and night temperatures under more settled conditions.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

GezM
  • GezM
  • Advanced Member
27 March 2020 15:40:15
Looking like more typical weather is likely in April with a mix of settled and unsettled spells. Fine by me. I get nervous about the summer if April is warm and dry!
Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)
Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)
Gavin D
28 March 2020 13:54:38

BBC monthly outlook


 


Summary


 


A cool end to March, a bit milder in April.


 


_________________________________


 


Saturday 28 March – Sunday 5 April


 


A cool week ahead with many areas largely dry.


 


High pressure will remain centred to the north-west of the United Kingdom throughout this weekend. It will bring brisk north to north-easterly winds to many areas of the country on Saturday and on Sunday. These winds combined with chilly polar air mean that it will feel very cold with a significant wind chill for most areas. Whilst most areas will be largely dry, showers are likely to affect some eastern areas. These showers may be wintry in nature, but it is worth noting that we are not expecting widespread or persistent snow and settling snow may well be fairly transitory. Next week will be very similar to the weekend at first, but we expect winds to ease off towards the middle of the week. By that time, high pressure will have started to decline southwards.


 


Whilst this makes little difference to many areas of the UK, it will allow Atlantic weather systems to bring some showers and rain to some northern parts of the UK. This kind of pattern is likely to continue through the second half of the week. The north of the UK could see showers or rain and will tend to be relatively cool. The south, which will be nearer to the ridge of high pressure, should stay drier. It will be relatively cool here too. Worth mentioning that some rain could move into the west late next week as high pressure starts to drift eastwards, but confidence in this part of the forecast is fairly low.


 


Monday 6 April – Sunday 12 April


 


Chance of rain in the north, drier in the south.


 


Having started to drift eastwards at the start of April, high pressure is likely to start to drift westwards again as we move towards the middle of the month. For the UK, this means that there will be the chance of some unsettled weather, although it doesn't look like the start of another prolonged spell of wet and windy weather. The north and west of the country are most likely to see showers and rain, with some spells of windy weather also likely. Scotland and Northern Ireland will probably end up wettest. Meanwhile, the further south and east you are across the country, the more likely you are to have drier and calmer weather.


 


Temperatures are likely to be near or a tad above average in south-eastern parts of the country, and near or perhaps a little below normal in the north and west. There is a fair amount of uncertainty in the forecast for this period of April. It all centres on the relative position and extent of the ridge of high pressure across Europe. If it is more of an extensive feature then expected, and this is most likely in the first half of the week, then more of the country to be relatively dry and calm. If the ridge of high pressure is less of a feature, as is possible at the end of the week, then expect wetter and windier but potentially milder weather.


 


Monday 13 April – Sunday 26 April


 


Probably drier, less windy than normal.


 


The middle and end of April will see high pressure centred broadly over the west and south-west. This should mean that Atlantic weather systems are stopped from affecting much of the country as they usually would. The result is that we should see a spell of relatively dry weather for most of the country. This doesn't mean completely dry of course - weather systems could creep around the northern side of this ridge and bring some rain, this most likely to affect Scotland and perhaps parts of Northern Ireland and northern England. On the whole, it should be drier than normal for the time of year. The north of the UK is more likely to see windy weather than the south, but overall it doesn't look like a very windy couple of weeks in most areas.


 


Finally, on to the temperature forecast. Winds should come broadly from the west or southwest. This could result in some warm air being pushed across parts of the country at times. As a result, we think it is most likely that temperatures will be near or a little above normal for the time of year. Whilst that doesn't rule out some cooler spells of weather, it should make any late overnight frosts less likely. As always with these longer range forecast, there is a bit of uncertainty. As with earlier in the month, the uncertainty centres around how extensive high pressure is across western Europe. There is a chance that it might be less influential and Atlantic weather systems bring more unsettled, wetter and windier weather to the UK - something perhaps a bit more like typical of mid-to-late April weather perhaps?


 


Further ahead


 


Will the forecast for April look any more certain, and will we be able to tease out any more details?


 


https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

Gavin D
29 March 2020 14:26:49

Friday 3 Apr - Sunday 12 Apr


Through the beginning of the period unsettled conditions across the north are likely to spread southwards. The northwest will see the worst of the weather with spells of heavy rain and strong winds interspersed with sunshine and showers whilst the southeast should stay drier and brighter. Towards the middle of April the weather may turn more changeable with a few days of rain and strong winds alternating with periods of sunshine and showers for much of the UK. Any showers may turn to a mix of sleet and snow over northern hills. Temperatures are likely to be around normal for the time of year. During any more settled periods, mild days are likely to give way to cold nights.


Friday 3 Apr - Sunday 12 Apr


Through the beginning of the period unsettled conditions across the north are likely to spread southwards. The northwest will see the worst of the weather with spells of heavy rain and strong winds interspersed with sunshine and showers whilst the southeast should stay drier and brighter. Towards the middle of April the weather may turn more changeable with a few days of rain and strong winds alternating with periods of sunshine and showers for much of the UK. Any showers may turn to a mix of sleet and snow over northern hills. Temperatures are likely to be around normal for the time of year. During any more settled periods, mild days are likely to give way to cold nights.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Gavin D
29 March 2020 14:28:41

John Hammond's latest monthly outlook



  • Cold end to the month

  • Slowly warming up through April

  • Wettest in northwest


Full forecast as ever is here for subscribers* https://weathertrending.com/2020/03/27/john-hammonds-month-ahead-no-lockdown-springs-progress/

Gavin D
30 March 2020 14:52:26

Saturday 4 Apr - Monday 13 Apr


Through the beginning of the period unsettled conditions across the north are likely to spread southwards. The northwest will see the worst of the weather with spells of heavy rain and strong winds interspersed with sunshine and showers whilst the southeast should stay drier and brighter. Towards the middle of April the weather may turn more changeable with a few days of rain and strong winds alternating with periods of sunshine and showers for much of the UK. Any showers may turn to a mix of sleet and snow over northern hills. Temperatures are likely to be around normal for the time of year. During any more settled periods, mild days are likely to give way to cold nights.


Tuesday 14 Apr - Tuesday 28 Apr


It is most likely that this period will see spells of unsettled conditions, bringing wet and windy weather, interspersed with quieter interludes of dry and settled weather. The unsettled periods could see showers turning wintry over the higher ground in the north. The settled periods should see plenty of clear spells and sunshine, with the driest conditions expected in the southeast of the UK. Temperatures should remain around normal but with cold nights giving way to warmer days.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Gooner
30 March 2020 17:45:41

Louise Lear just presented a forecast with tomorrow as April 1st 


 


Have I missed something 


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


doctormog
30 March 2020 17:48:25

Originally Posted by: Gooner 


Louise Lear just presented a forecast with tomorrow as April 1st 


 


Have I missed something 



Maybe it was a joke. 


tierradelfuego
30 March 2020 19:31:20
Possibly true, although yesterday one forecast at 10am said "good evening" so I think they are using lots of recorded forecasts, naturally imho, given the circumstances... who knows.
Bucklebury
West Berkshire Downs AONB
135m ASL
Gooner
30 March 2020 19:48:05

Originally Posted by: doctormog 


 


Maybe it was a joke. 



Maybe a day or two early then eh?


Never known an Aprils fools day joke two days early lol ………...maybe it was that cryptic 


She actually opened the forecast and said we ended March on a bright note , so I doubt it, she just got her days of the week wrong , amusing all the same , then mentioned Tuesdays temps are a tad chilly for the start of April 


 


So maybe it wasn't 


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


AJ*
  • AJ*
  • Advanced Member
31 March 2020 09:44:39

Originally Posted by: Gooner 


Louise Lear just presented a forecast with tomorrow as April 1st 


 


Have I missed something 



I noticed that as well, yesterday.  I had to check the calendar just in case my memory was playing up, but no, I was right.


ETA: It might be a result of this current lockdown. I'm finding that with every day being pretty much identical to the previous one, I'm losing track of which day of the week it is.


Angus; one of the Kent crew on TWO.
Tonbridge, 40m (131ft) asl
ARTzeman
31 March 2020 10:14:50

The standard weather forecast prediction probably. 






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
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