BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Slowly becoming less wet and windy

_________________________________

Saturday 7 March – Sunday 15 March

Often wet and windy this week. Chilly at times.

An unsettled week ahead for many with above-average rainfall. It looks as though western areas will be the wettest with an ongoing risk of local flooding; river levels are likely to be high at times. Saturday will be mostly cloudy and breezy from the west with outbreaks of rain and drizzle, most widely in the north and west. Central and eastern England should see a lot of dry weather on Saturday and only occasional spots of drizzle. On Sunday, it will be brighter but it'll stay breezy with scattered blustery showers, heavy and thundery in places.

Despite being unsettled, this weekend will not be cold with temperatures generally a little above average. Next week will see further showers and lengthier outbreaks of rain spreading from west to east across the UK. The rain will be accompanied by brisk or strong winds at times too. However, after a relatively mild start to the week, it looks like it'll become chillier at times in the second half of the week. This means that the showers are likely to turn wintry at times. Hills in the north and west of the UK could see a little snow.

Monday 16 March – Sunday 22 March

Turning less wet and windy

Currently there is considerable uncertainty over the details of the forecast for the third week of March. However, it looks as though the jet stream will tend to weaken or meander more than it has done recently. This means that it should become less wet and windy. Rain and brisk winds can still be expected at times though but with drier and calmer interludes. The best of any lengthier dry and calm spells will be mostly likely across England and Wales through the latter part of the week. While Western Scotland and Northern Ireland are expected to be a little wetter than the seasonal average. Temperatures are likely to vary either side of the average, with the best of any mild or warmer weather possible in the second half of the week.

Monday 23 March – Sunday 5 April

Wet in the far-north but otherwise a little drier

An old proverb states that March comes 'in like a lion and out like a lamb'. This may come true this year, for some. There are signs that the jet stream could lift a little further north than recently. This means that areas of rain and strong winds should lift further north, too. England and Wales are favoured to have some drier and brighter periods of weather with rain at times. However, the weather in Scotland and Northern Ireland could well stay more like a 'lion' with more frequent rainfall and strong winds here. Winds from the west should keep temperatures mostly near or a little above the seasonal average for most.

For early April, we could well see a similar pattern persisting. The wettest and windiest weather is favoured to be focused over Scotland. Southern and south-western Britain appears to have the best chance of some lengthier dry and calmer periods of weather. As always, there is some uncertainty over the details of the forecast this far out. There is a risk that wet and windy conditions persist more widely.

Further ahead

We will take another look to see if most areas can still expect trend to less wet and less windy weather.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

Friday 13 Mar - Sunday 22 Mar

Staying unsettled at first with longer spells of rain and scattered showers interspersed with bright or sunny interludes. Across the north, some sleet or snow at times especially over higher ground. It will often windy with a risk of gales in the west and northwest, and along coastlines. Through the period, the south may see a gradual change to more settled conditions with longer periods of drier and brighter weather, though some rain is still possible. Further north, the wet and windy weather looks more likely to continue. Temperatures should be around normal or slightly below, especially in the north. If more settled conditions develop, there may be an increased risk of frost forming overnight.

Monday 23 Mar - Monday 6 Apr

More widespread settled conditions are most likely towards the end of March, bringing longer spells of drier weather to the south. However, it is still likely that there will be some rain at times across the south. Further north, unsettled spells are likely with scattered showers interspersed with longer spells of rain and sunshine. The heaviest rain and strongest winds will be in the northwest. Temperatures will be near normal. Large diurnal ranges with some overnight frost and fog, but also milder days.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Saturday 14 Mar - Monday 23 Mar

Staying unsettled at first with longer spells of rain and scattered showers interspersed with bright or sunny interludes. Across the north, some sleet or snow at times especially over higher ground. It will often be windy with a risk of gales in the west and northwest, and along coastlines. Through the period, the south may see a gradual change to more settled conditions with longer periods of drier and brighter weather, though some rain is still possible. Further north, the wet and windy weather looks more likely to continue. Temperatures should be around normal or slightly below, especially in the north. If more settled conditions develop, there may be an increased risk of frost forming overnight.

Tuesday 24 Mar - Tuesday 7 Apr

More widespread settled conditions are most likely towards the end of March, bringing longer spells of drier weather to the south. However, it is still likely that there will be some rain at times across the south. Further north, unsettled spells are likely with longer spells of rain interspersed with scattered showers and sunshine. The heaviest rain and strongest winds will be in the northwest. Temperatures will be near normal. Large diurnal ranges with some overnight frost and fog, but also milder days.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Saturday 14 Mar - Monday 23 Mar

Staying unsettled at first with longer spells of rain and scattered showers interspersed with bright or sunny interludes. Across the north, some sleet or snow at times especially over higher ground. It will often be windy with a risk of gales in the west and northwest, and along coastlines. Through the period, the south may see a gradual change to more settled conditions with longer periods of drier and brighter weather, though some rain is still possible. Further north, the wet and windy weather looks more likely to continue. Temperatures should be around normal or slightly below, especially in the north. If more settled conditions develop, there may be an increased risk of frost forming overnight.

Tuesday 24 Mar - Tuesday 7 Apr

More widespread settled conditions are most likely towards the end of March, bringing longer spells of drier weather to the south. However, it is still likely that there will be some rain at times across the south. Further north, unsettled spells are likely with longer spells of rain interspersed with scattered showers and sunshine. The heaviest rain and strongest winds will be in the northwest. Temperatures will be near normal. Large diurnal ranges with some overnight frost and fog, but also milder days.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Another very poorly written forecast. The 2nd paragraph is probably totally confusing to the average consumer.

Sunday 15 Mar - Tuesday 24 Mar

It will start unsettled and windy. Although rain may be slow to clear from southern and southeastern parts on Sunday, brighter showery conditions should spread across most areas. The showers probably turning wintry on high ground and perhaps to low levels in the far north into Monday. Through early next week there should be a change to more settled, drier and often brighter conditions than of late, particularly across southern and central areas. More changeable, windier conditions may persist across the northwest, whilst later in the period, these more changeable conditions may extend further south again. After a rather cold start, temperatures will probably recover to near normal or mild next week, with some pleasantly warm days possible despite some widespread overnight frosts.

Wednesday 25 Mar - Wednesday 8 Apr

Generally more widely settled conditions than of late are likely to continue. There will, however, be some interludes of more changeable, windier weather, especially across the north, bringing spells of rain interspersed with sunshine and showers. Temperatures will be generally near or somewhat above average. However, as is usual when we go into spring, there will be large ranges of temperature at times, giving some frosty nights followed by pleasantly warm days as well as some marked day to day changes in temperature.There is also the possibility of spells of east or northeast winds bringing rather cold, cloudy conditions to eastern parts.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

A gradual pattern shift to dry, fine weather

_________________________________

Wednesday 11 March – Sunday 15 March

Wet and windy, with wintry weather in the north.

The rest of this week will continue the unsettled trend from the first part of March, with frequent low pressure systems moving across the UK. This will bring plenty of wet and windy weather to most of the country, although the best of any lengthy dry spells will be in the Southeast. On Wednesday showers in western and northern parts of the country will turn more widespread and push further south and east overnight as a cold front advances.

Northern areas behind the front will be able to tap into a colder source of air that will see rain here turn more wintry from Wednesday night and into Thursday. This will bring snow and ice down as low as 150 metres for parts of Northern England, Northern Ireland, and Scotland. However, by Friday a weak ridge of high pressure will dry things out across the country and bring in some slightly milder air. This will be short-lived unfortunately, as low pressure is expected to move back in by Saturday and into Sunday, bringing rain to most of the country with some windier conditions in Scotland.

Monday 16 March – Sunday 22 March

Becoming more settled with some rain for the north

It looks like we will begin to see a pattern shift from early in the week as high pressure tries to build in from the southwest. However, as the area of higher pressure battles with the low pressure tracks to the north, some weak fronts will still be able to creep into Scotland and Northern Ireland. Midweek looks to be the best time for weak fronts to move in as the ridge of high pressure begins to shift eastwards into Central Europe.

It does not look like much, if any, rain will make it to the southern half of the country though. For the second half of the week including the weekend, a stronger ridge of high pressure is expected to build in from the west, keeping things fairly settled. There is one caveat for southern areas, in that we could see around midweek some rather sharp showers and cloudier skies. However, confidence is still pretty low regarding these downpours. Temperatures are expected to start the week near or a tad below average, but by the end of the week will tend to be above average for most, even Scotland.

Monday 23 March – Sunday 5 April

Dry for most with mild, more spring-like days.

The high pressure that is expected by mid-March should remain overhead or at the very least nearby through the rest of the month and into early April. The result will be a persistence of the more settled weather and some relief from our extremely wet February and early March. The high will likely shift around a bit as low pressure tracks near Iceland struggle to get closer to Europe. So, while it will likely be mostly dry and fine, a few rainy days will be mixed in.

These should be few and far between though, although if you're in northern Scotland you can except more frequent cloudy and wet weather. Temperatures will likely be a bit above average, and with it being late March, things will start to feel decidedly spring-like. Keep an eye on pollen levels for those with allergies, as weather will be favourable for pollen during the second half of the month. As always, there is some uncertainty over the details of the forecast this far out. There is a risk that wet and windy conditions persist more widely if high pressure strays too far away.

Further ahead

We will firm up on the detail and make sure our spring-like weather remains on course.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

Monday 16 Mar - Wednesday 25 Mar

Monday should be a largely dry day with most areas seeing a spell of fine weather with light winds. Sleet or snow showers could persist in the far northeast for much of the day, before further cloud, wind and rain pushes into western areas later. Through much of next week there should be a change to more settled, drier and often brighter conditions than of late, particularly across southern and central areas. More changeable, windier conditions may persist across the northwest, whilst later in the period, these more changeable conditions may extend further south again. After a rather cold start, temperatures will probably recover to near normal or mild next week, with some pleasantly warm days possible despite some widespread overnight frosts.

Thursday 26 Mar - Thursday 9 Apr

Generally more widely settled conditions than of late are likely to continue. There will, however, be some interludes of more changeable, windier weather, especially across the north, bringing spells of rain interspersed with sunshine and showers. Temperatures will be generally near or somewhat above average. However, as is usual when we go into spring, there will be large ranges of temperature at times, giving some frosty nights followed by pleasantly warm days as well as some marked day to day changes in temperature.There is also the possibility of spells of east or northeast winds bringing rather cold, cloudy conditions to eastern parts.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Tuesday 17 Mar - Thursday 26 Mar

Tuesday looks like remaining dry and settled across much of the south and east, with plenty of sunshine. Further north and west, it may turn windier and wet for a time, particularly over hills in the northwest. Temperatures generally mild in the south, but cold in the far north. Through much of next week the drier and brighter conditions may spread to most parts. More changeable, windier conditions are still possible from time to time, but mainly in the northwest. Later in the period, these more changeable conditions may extend further south again. After a rather cold start, temperatures will probably recover to near normal or mild next week. Feeling pleasantly warm on sunnier days after possible widespread frosts overnight.

Thursday 26 Mar - Thursday 9 Apr

Generally more widely settled conditions than of late are likely to continue. There will, however, be some interludes of more changeable, windier weather, especially across the north, bringing spells of rain interspersed with sunshine and showers. Temperatures will be generally near or somewhat above average. However, as is usual when we go into spring, there will be large ranges of temperature at times, giving some frosty nights followed by pleasantly warm days as well as some marked day to day changes in temperature.There is also the possibility of spells of east or northeast winds bringing rather cold, cloudy conditions to eastern parts.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Wednesday 18 Mar - Friday 27 Mar

Wednesday will likely see wet weather moving southeastwards across the UK, with sunshine and showers following behind in the north. Feeling fairly mild in the south, but much colder further north, enhanced by strong winds in the far north. Looking ahead, there is a strong signal for conditions to turn markedly drier and calmer towards the end of March, as high pressure becomes dominant over the UK. This will lead to plenty of sunshine for most, though clear skies by night will lead to some widespread frosts. Temperatures by day are likely to be on the cold side too, but it should feel pleasant in the spring sunshine. Weather fronts may approach the north and west occasionally, increasing cloud amounts, but these will likely be weak affairs with limited rainfall.

Friday 27 Mar - Friday 10 Apr

Generally more widely settled conditions than of late are likely to continue. There will, however, be some interludes of more changeable, windier weather, especially across the north, bringing spells of rain interspersed with sunshine and showers. Temperatures will be generally near or somewhat above average. However, as is usual when we go into spring, there will be large ranges of temperature at times, giving some frosty nights followed by pleasantly warm days as well as some marked day to day changes in temperature.There is also the possibility of spells of east or northeast winds bringing rather cold, cloudy conditions to eastern parts.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Wednesday 18 Mar - Friday 27 Mar

Wednesday will likely see wet weather moving southeastwards across the UK, with sunshine and showers following behind in the north. Feeling fairly mild in the south, but much colder further north, enhanced by strong winds in the far north. Looking ahead, there is a strong signal for conditions to turn markedly drier and calmer towards the end of March, as high pressure becomes dominant over the UK. This will lead to plenty of sunshine for most, though clear skies by night will lead to some widespread frosts. Temperatures by day are likely to be on the cold side too, but it should feel pleasant in the spring sunshine. Weather fronts may approach the north and west occasionally, increasing cloud amounts, but these will likely be weak affairs with limited rainfall.

Friday 27 Mar - Friday 10 Apr

Generally more widely settled conditions than of late are likely to continue. There will, however, be some interludes of more changeable, windier weather, especially across the north, bringing spells of rain interspersed with sunshine and showers. Temperatures will be generally near or somewhat above average. However, as is usual when we go into spring, there will be large ranges of temperature at times, giving some frosty nights followed by pleasantly warm days as well as some marked day to day changes in temperature.There is also the possibility of spells of east or northeast winds bringing rather cold, cloudy conditions to eastern parts.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

John Hammond's latest monthly outlook

• High pressure returns


• Much drier spell begins


• Temperatures remain uncertain

Full forecast as ever is here for subscribers* https://weathertrending.com/2020/03/13/john-hammonds-month-ahead-finally-dry-weather/

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Unsettled at first. Drier late March into April

_________________________________

Saturday 14 March – Sunday 22 March

Further rain for a time but settling down later

Over the weekend a weather system is expected to move across the country, bringing some heavy rain to northern and western areas on Saturday. Southern and eastern areas will stay mostly dry. By Sunday the rain will arrive here too, as a cold front heads southeast. Behind the front, high pressure will build in from the west with some cooler-feeling air.

For the first half of next week, there will be a bit of a north-south split in the weather for the UK. A frontal system will push into northern areas on Monday while high pressure keeps the southern half of the country fine, mild and dry. A weak front will slowly make its way southwards but it is unlikely to reach southern England until later on Wednesday. This will keep southern areas on the warmer, drier side of the front through midweek. Northern areas will be cooler but also fairly dry. Outbreaks of light rain are expected along the front, mainly in the Midlands.

The second half of the week and next weekend will see high pressure build in strongly from the northwest, pushing the weak front into Central Europe. Turning much drier throughout the country, with some sunny days, chilly nights and frosty mornings. There is a risk for a few showers along the east coast at times but these are not expected to push too far inland.

Monday 23 March – Sunday 29 March

Dry weather for many but some rain in the north.

The colder but drier end to next week will likely continue into late March as high pressure is sluggish to move away. However, this sustained dry period will bring some relief to flooded areas after the extremely wet winter. Temperatures will tend to be a bit below average for the start of the week, especially in the east where a brisk northerly wind will persist on the North Sea. But lighter winds for central and western counties will make for pleasant-feeling afternoons, despite the cooler air. Overnight it will continue to be chilly and some frosty mornings are likely throughout the country.

Later in the week, Atlantic weather fronts are likely to creep back in from the northwest, reaching Northern Ireland and northern Scotland. This will make for a wetter and windier close to the month for these areas but fronts will likely be on the weaker side so rain shouldn't be too heavy. However, this will also bring in some southwesterly winds that will help drag in warmer sub-tropical air into the UK, so the end of the week will turn milder.

Confidence for the end of March is overall pretty high with the models performing well recently. The main risk to the forecast is that high pressure stubbornly remains in place, preventing fronts from arriving. This will be a drier and calmer pattern for the north and west but it will also keep things cooler than normal.

Monday 30 March – Sunday 12 April

Spring-like days, chilly nights. Wet in the north.

As we head into April, the weakening high pressure is expected to make a comeback for a time, with the first part of the month seeing dry, calm and mild weather throughout. Weak fronts may be able to find their way into Scotland at times but there will be some lengthy dry spells here too. Temperatures will tend to be a bit above average for many however, western areas will tend to be nearer to normal.

Prolonged high pressure also means clear, calm nights, so it is likely the mornings will feel quite crisp. Frosts are still expected during some nights, even in the south but the days will quickly warm up in the mostly sunny afternoons. Pollen levels will begin to climb as well with some very spring-like weather.

Towards the middle of the month there are some early signs of a pattern change as high pressure declines slightly over northwest Europe. This means that Atlantic weather systems will begin to reach northern areas and possibly western areas too. Rain and winds will return but the winds will also stay mostly out of the southwest, so it will continue to be a bit milder than normal. The nights could be chilly but there will be a reduced frost risk.

However, confidence is low at the moment for high pressure declining and just how far south across the UK the fronts will reach. Southern areas may stay fairly dry and warm through mid-April but if high pressure retreats too quickly it could turn wet and windy again.

Further ahead

We will have some addition data for April to investigate how long high pressure may stick around into mid-month.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

Thursday 19 Mar - Saturday 28 Mar

Rain and drizzle should continue to clear southwards through Thursday, becoming restricted to the southwest later in the day. Elsewhere should be brighter with spells of sunshine and the odd blustery shower lingering further north. The dry spells are likely to continue into Friday and Saturday, with some wintry showers over the north and east. Looking further ahead, there is a strong signal for conditions to remain drier and calmer. This will mean plenty of sunshine for most, with clear skies overnight leading to widespread frosts. Day temperatures are likely to be on the cold side too, but feeling pleasant enough in the spring sunshine. Weather fronts may approach the north and west occasionally, increasing cloud amounts, but these are likely to be weak with limited rainfall.

Sunday 29 Mar - Sunday 12 Apr

Generally more widely settled conditions than of late are likely to continue. There will, however, be some interludes of more changeable, windier weather, especially across the north, bringing spells of rain interspersed with sunshine and showers. Temperatures likely to trend back towards a little above average as we head into April. However, as is usual in spring, there will be a large range in temperatures at times, giving some cold frosty nights followed by some pleasantly warm days, as well as some marked day to day changes in temperature.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Friday 20 Mar - Sunday 29 Mar

Rain continuing to clear the south on Friday. Elsewhere should be largely dry with sunny spells, and possibly a few wintry showers towards the north. Staying cold with widespread frosts overnight across central and northern areas. The drier and colder weather is likely to continue into the weekend with further overnight frosts. Looking further ahead, there is a strong signal for conditions to remain drier and calmer. This will mean plenty of sunshine for most, with clear skies overnight leading to widespread frosts. Day temperatures are likely to be on the cold side too, but feeling pleasant enough in the spring sunshine. Weather fronts may approach the north and west occasionally, increasing cloud amounts, but these are likely to be weak with limited rainfall.

Monday 30 Mar - Monday 13 Apr

Generally more widely settled conditions than of late are likely to continue. There will, however, be some interludes of more changeable, windier weather, especially across the north, bringing spells of rain interspersed with sunshine and showers. Temperatures likely to trend back towards a little above average as we head into April. However, as is usual in spring, there will be a large range in temperatures at times, giving some cold frosty nights followed by some pleasantly warm days, as well as some marked day to day changes in temperature.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Saturday 21 Mar - Monday 30 Mar

It should be a mostly dry and bright but cold start to the period with widespread frost and patchy fog possible overnight. Turning cloudier with patchy rain and strong winds possible across the far northwest and far southwest at times but any rain and strong wind should ease towards the middle of period. The best of any sunshine across southern and eastern areas. Periods of more unsettled weather are possible across northern parts at times. Further south should see the best of the settled weather but outbreaks of rain and strong winds are still possible at times throughout the period. Temperatures should recover to around average for the time of year towards the end of March.

Monday 30 Mar - Monday 13 Apr

Generally more widely settled conditions than of late are likely to continue. There will, however, be some interludes of more changeable, windier weather, especially across the north, bringing spells of rain interspersed with sunshine and showers. Temperatures likely to trend back towards a little above average as we head into April. However, as is usual in spring, there will be a large range in temperatures at times, giving some cold frosty nights followed by some pleasantly warm days, as well as some marked day to day changes in temperature.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Sunday 22 Mar - Tuesday 31 Mar

It should be a mostly dry and bright but cold start to the period with widespread frost and patchy fog possible overnight. Turning cloudier with patchy rain and strong winds possible across the far northwest and far southwest at times but any rain and strong wind should ease towards the middle of period. The best of any sunshine across southern and eastern areas. Periods of more unsettled weather are possible across northern parts at times. Further south should see the best of the settled weather but outbreaks of rain and strong winds are still possible at times throughout the period. Temperatures should recover to around average for the time of year towards the end of March.

Wednesday 1 Apr - Wednesday 15 Apr

Generally more widely settled conditions are likely to continue throughout the period bringing longer spells of dry and bright weather with an increased risk of mist and fog overnight. There is still the possiblity for some rain at times, most likely across the northwest. Temperatures should recover to around average for the time of year towards the end of the period.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

A drier, more settled end to March

_________________________________

Wednesday 18 March – Sunday 22 March

Rain for some, but a drier end to the week

A front will trail across the UK on Wednesday, this feature bringing outbreaks of rain to Wales, parts of South West England and perhaps to some areas of the Midlands and East Anglia. The same front will bring large areas of cloud to southern England, but it should be largely dry here with only a slight chance of the odd spot of drizzle. Northern England should be largely dry with bright spells, and Scotland and Northern Ireland will have sunny spells and showers. The showers will give some snow on higher ground in Scotland. It will be a windy day for both Scotland and Northern Ireland. One Thursday, the same front is expected to bring some rain to the south of the UK. There is some uncertainty over exactly which areas will be affected, but South West England and south Wales look most likely.

Other parts of the UK should be drier with the best of the sunshine in the north. Friday will see a similar pattern across the UK. The south-western quarter of the country is most likely to see rain, with other areas drier and with the north brightest. The weekend will see high pressure starting to have more of an influence on our weather. Saturday will probably see the remnants of Friday's rain still lingering in western areas, but by Sunday the vast majority of the country will be dry. We do expect there to be a spell of cool east to north-easterly winds across the country as high pressure becomes established over Scandinavia, so despite the emerging drier weather it will feel rather cool.

Monday 23 March – Sunday 29 March

Dry weather for many, but with some rain up north

The colder but drier end to this week will likely continue into next week as high pressure is sluggish to move away. This sustained dry period will bring some relief to flood hit areas after the extremely wet winter. Temperatures will tend to be a bit below average for the start of the week, especially in the east where a brisk north-easterly wind will persist on the North Sea. But lighter winds for central and western counties will make for pleasant-feeling afternoons, despite the cooler air. Nights will continue to be chilly and some frosty mornings are likely throughout the country. Whilst much of the country will be dry, there will be a chance of Atlantic weather systems pushing into some north-western areas at times.

This is most likely to happen later next week, when rain could affect Northern Ireland and North West Scotland. This will mean a wetter and windier close to the month for these areas, but fronts will likely be on the weaker side so rain shouldn't be too heavy. However, this will also bring in some southwest winds that will help drag some warmer sub-tropical air into the UK, so the end of the week will turn milder.
Confidence for the end of March is overall pretty high with some good performance in the models recently. The main risk to the forecast is that high pressure stubbornly remains in place, preventing fronts from arriving. Whilst this would result in a drier and calmer pattern for the north and west, but also keep things cooler than normal.

Monday 30 March – Sunday 12 April

Spring-like days, chilly nights.

There probably won't be too much change to the weather as we head into April, but we do expect a change in the pattern across Europe as we get a bit further into next month. The first week of the month will probably see further dry, calm weather for the UK. Temperatures will be around average for the time of year, with some cool nights and perhaps some frosty mornings. There will also be some warm and sunny afternoons. Pollen levels will begin to climb as well with some very spring-like weather. As we move closer to the middle of the month, it looks as though we'll see a decline in the high pressure which has blocked the flow of weather systems coming from the west. If anything, the focus of high pressure is more likely to be near west or south-west Europe with low pressure troughing nearer to the north and north-east.

What this means is that Atlantic weather systems will be able to have more of an influence on our weather. Northern parts of the UK might be most susceptible to wetter and windier weather, but we could see changeable conditions in the south too. Whilst it looks more wetter and windier towards the middle of April, it is worth stressing that at the moment, it doesn't look as wet or as windy as the it was at the end of winter. Finally, there is a chance that the low pressure troughing expected to be over Scandinavia could extend southwards. If this happens, it could bring a spell of more northerly winds to the UK. April can bring spells of cold weather and this year may be no exception.

Further ahead

Will the cold spell in April look more or less likely?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

Monday 23 Mar - Wednesday 1 Apr

It should be a mostly dry and bright but cold start to the period with widespread frost and patchy fog possible overnight. Turning cloudier with patchy rain and strong winds possible across the far northwest and far southwest at times but any rain and strong wind should ease towards the middle of period. The best of any sunshine across southern and eastern areas. Periods of more unsettled weather are possible across northern parts at times. Further south should see the best of the settled weather but outbreaks of rain and strong winds are still possible at times throughout the period. Temperatures should recover to around average for the time of year towards the end of March.

Thursday 2 Apr - Thursday 16 Apr

Generally more widely settled conditions are likely to continue throughout the period bringing longer spells of dry and bright weather with an increased risk of mist and fog overnight. There is still the possiblity for some rain at times, most likely across the northwest. Temperatures should be around average for the time of year with the risk of overnight frost likely becoming less towards the end of the period.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

Wednesday 25 Mar - Friday 3 Apr

Dry and settled conditions should dominate through the end of March and into early April, bringing plenty of bright or sunny spells across the UK, particularly in the south and east. Rain could spread to northwestern areas at times, and perhaps extending to the southeast. There is also a small chance of some showers for eastern areas should a strong easterly flow develop. Winds will be predominantly light, but for north and northwestern regions there could be periods of stronger winds. Mist and fog patches are possible, but these will be quick to clear given the time of year. Temperatures likely around average for the time of year with large diurnal ranges bringing a risk of overnight frosts.

Friday 3 Apr - Friday 17 Apr

Generally more widely settled conditions are likely to continue throughout the period bringing longer spells of dry and bright weather with an increased risk of mist and fog overnight. There is still the possibility for some rain at times, most likely across the northwest. Temperatures should be around average for the time of year with the risk of overnight frost likely becoming less towards the end of the period.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

The BBC forecasts are a woeful embarrassingly inaccurate joke these days.

This bears absolutely zero resemblance to reality https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/forecast-video/21416751

Practically the entirety of Scotland is stuck under cloud yet the forecast shows barely a cloud on the map. They also completely failed to show rain which affected the east coast overnight.

Met Office forecast for Grampian is complete nonsense as well:

 Frosty start for many away from east coast. A few showers initially around eastern coastal fringes, otherwise dry with bright and sunny spells, though these will be less widespread than Friday as higher cloud comes and goes. Southeast breezes freshening. Maximum temperature 9 °C

There is no higher cloud coming and going just a mass of thick grey gunk as is always the case with a toxic south easterly flow.

They could improve forecast reliability just by showing Nuclear Winter conditions every weekend because that is all we ever get nowdays