Thanks very much for those links, Chunky and doctormog. That weather.us one is especially good - definitely one to bookmark. Hopefully not too much damage in my part of the world.

Keep in mind Lionel that you can generate an hourly meteogram for your backyard by clicking on your exact location on the Met map. Updates every 6 hrs or so. Their model has a 2km sq resolution grid. 

 

Keep in mind Lionel that you can generate an hourly meteogram for your backyard by clicking on your exact location on the Met map. Updates every 6 hrs or so. Their model has a 2km sq resolution grid. 

Thanks for that. I didn't know about that so I'll have a look. 

Before Lorenzo actually arrives, spare a thought for the Azores with severe damage and top winds of 110mph (and 128 mph at an unofficial station)

NHC has stopped following Lorenzo as it's now extra-tropical but not before posting this remarkable, not to say unique, wind speed chart.showing just how large Lorenzo's wind field is, and how far east it will penetrate. Weather Underground suggests sustained wind speeds of 70 mph for W Ireland and wave heights near shore of 35 feet (Wave hghts at sea were measured at 50ft and it is likely that individual waves were twice this)

Before Lorenzo actually arrives, spare a thought for the Azores with severe damage and top wind gusts of 110mph (and 128 mph at an unofficial station)

NHC has stopped following Lorenzo as it's now extra-tropical but not before posting this remarkable, not to say unique, wind speed chart.showing just how large Lorenzo's wind field is, and how far east it will penetrate. Weather Underground suggests sustained wind speeds of 70 mph for W Ireland and wave heights near shore of 35 feet (Wave hghts at sea were measured at 50ft and it is likely that individual waves were twice this)

 

Very interesting, DEW - thanks for posting that. Had this turned up last weekend when high spring tides were anticipated we might not have got off quite as lightly.

Roger

 

Very interesting, DEW - thanks for posting that. Had this turned up last weekend when high spring tides were anticipated we might not have got off quite as lightly.

Roger

Just checked the latest GFS and fax charts - looks like major disruption for Ireland and the Irish Sea areas - I am surprised there has not been more MSM commentary on this approaching storm.

Edit - the Irish press is commenting of course:

https://www.irishmirror.ie/news/irish-news/meteireann-weather-warnings-storm-lorenzo-20392946

 

Just checked the latest GFS and fax charts - looks like major disruption for Ireland and the Irish Sea areas - I am surprised there has not been more MSM commentary on this approaching storm.

Edit - the Irish press is commenting of course:

https://www.irishmirror.ie/news/irish-news/meteireann-weather-warnings-storm-lorenzo-20392946

 

Not sure about "major disruption", at least away from the West coast. It's only a yellow warning for wind for most of the country - we get a few of those each year. Certainly, this one's not going to be a patch on Ophelia(thankfully). By

 

Indeed. There is a really nice description highlighting the differences here: https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/A7.html 

Thanks, Doc. I knew that there was a difference, but didn't know exactly how it was defined. The article in the link you posted has extended my knowledge on the subject.

10m waves forecast for 7pm this evening in Achill Island...

https://www.surf-forecast.com/breaks/Keel/forecasts/latest

Guys, If Lorenzo had formed a couple of months ago when the air temperature was a good deal warmer would it have been possible for it to have made it here as a hurricane?

Guys, If Lorenzo had formed a couple of months ago when the air temperature was a good deal warmer would it have been possible for it to have made it here as a hurricane?

No.. that air was dryer and the seas cooler. 

Lorenzo clearly weakened substantially before reaching Ireland. A total non-event for me, "breezy" was about as bad as it got here. There were stormy conditions in the West alright. However, even there, as far as I can see, it was no worse that the kind of storm that you'd get a couple of times a year. For example, there are 7,500 homes without power according to RTE, so clearly stormy conditions but nothing catastrophic.  

Got a bit wild here earlier but seems to be easing up now again. 

 

No.. that air was dryer and the seas cooler. 

Ok, thanks for replying.

Move along - nothing to see

In the Pacific, Hagibis is a monster, perhaps could affect Japan later

https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/storms/HAGIBIS.html

In the Pacific, Hagibis is a monster, perhaps could affect Japan later 

https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/storms/HAGIBIS.html

 

Hagibis appropriately means 'speed' in Tagalog. It has just come close to the record for rapid intensification, from storm with 60mph winds to cat 5 with 160mph winds, but expected to be weaker when it reaches Honshu.

Three disturbances in the N Atlantic to watch, though the NHC doesn't expect them to develop significantly in the near future. The one in mid-Atlantic appears to have the best chance at 50% - if it makes it to named storm it will be Melissa.

SSTs in the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico still up around 30C, about 1C above normal 

 https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/sst/contour/namerica.cf.gif 

- it would seem that any LP to develop there would go up with a bang!

Not an Atlantic hurricane, but typhoon Hagibis is a monster headed directly for Tokyo - the England/France rugby match has already been cancelled because of it:

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/10/09/world/asia/japan-typhoon-hagibis.html

https://www.bbc.com/sport/rugby-union/49995604

Hagibis weakens a little but maybe just going threw the eye wall replacement cycle

Its a pretty storm with a huge eye

Hagibis - what a beast:

Massive outflow, whether with small or large 👁️. Now #Hagibis headed to #Japan. pic.twitter.com/6bfPCuolKj

— Stu Ostro (@StuOstro) October 10, 2019

Surprisingly good report here in The Sun:

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/10104792/super-typhoon-hagibis-path-tracker/

(By good, I mean informative).

Meanwhile back in the Atlantic (note - there's a separate typhoon thread for Japan) the depression off New England has just scraped in as storm Melissa before heading out into the Atlantic as a post-tropical depression