CET wise today is probably going to be the 3rd or even 2nd coldest day so far this autumn/winter which is somewhat suprising given the 850s are in double figures! But thats what you get with inversions and a light cold feed of the continent (and the fog definately helps). 

CET probably isn't going to be reflective of national temps with some places very mild today (Pershore was a lot colder this morning than anywhere else in the vicinity - over 4c colder than nearby Pershore College - for example)

Anyway, I think my Dec CET guess is up the creek with not even a canoe ........

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CET wise today is probably going to be the 3rd or even 2nd coldest day so far this autumn/winter which is somewhat suprising given the 850s are in double figures! But thats what you get with inversions and a light cold feed of the continent (and the fog definately helps). 

CET probably isn't going to be reflective of national temps with some places very mild today (Pershore was a lot colder this morning than anywhere else in the vicinity - over 4c colder than nearby Pershore College - for example)

Anyway, I think my Dec CET guess is up the creek with not even a canoe ........

We just need to hope for a 2010 esque last week of December. 

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Met Office Hadley 6.5c.    Anomaly  1.6c.    Provisional  to  11th.

Metcheck             5.60c.   Anomaly  0.61c.

N-W                    6.26c.   Anomaly  1.16c .

My      Mean         1.16c..  

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Met Office  Hadley      6.6c.     Anomaly  1.6c.   Provisional to 13th.

Metcheck                   5.38c.   Anomaly  0.38c.

N-W                          6.57c.   Anomaly  1.47c.

My   Mean                  6.3c.

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Met Office Hadley     6.8c.   Anomaly   1.8c.  Provisional  to  13th.

Metcheck                 5.52c.  Anomaly   0.52c.

N-W                         6.67c. Anomaly   1.57c.

My  Mean                  6.5c.

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Once again this month the provisional Hadley data is reporting a figure that is far too high - about 0.4C too high at present.

My CET estimate is 6.44C as of today. Looking ahead every day in the next 2 weeks is expected to be above average, many well above average. The CET will therefore remain well above normal and is currently estimated to reach 6.8C by the 28th.

We are looking at possibly the warmest December since 1988 when we saw a CET of 7.5C. Prior to that we saw 8.1C in 1974 so this will in no way be a record breaking year but nonetheless a very mild December now seems very likely.

If the CET were to finish at 6.8C it would be the 15th equal warmest December on record since 1659.

Equally the second half of December looks very wet indeed with flooding likely to be a problem and frost almost non existent.

Once again this month the provisional Hadley data is reporting a figure that is far too high - about 0.4C too high at present.

My CET estimate is 6.44C as of today. Looking ahead every day in the next 2 weeks is expected to be above average, many well above average. The CET will therefore remain well above normal and is currently estimated to reach 6.8C by the 28th.

We are looking at possibly the warmest December since 1988 when we saw a CET of 7.5C. Prior to that we saw 8.1C in 1974 so this will in no way be a record breaking year but nonetheless a very mild December now seems very likely.

If the CET were to finish at 6.8C it would be the 15th equal warmest December on record since 1659.

Equally the second half of December looks very wet indeed with flooding likely to be a problem and frost almost non existent.

Some impressive stats here. Cheers Simon.

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Hadley still churning out same sort of figure.

Hadley   6.8c.    Anomaly   1.9c.   Provisional  to 14th.

Metcheck   5.79c.   Anomaly   0.80c.

N-W          6.86c.    Anomaly  1.76c.

My Mean    6.7c.

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Hadley still churning out same sort of figure.

Hadley   6.8c.    Anomaly   1.9c.   Provisional  to 14th.

Metcheck   5.79c.   Anomaly   0.80c.

N-W          6.86c.    Anomaly  1.76c.

My Mean    6.7c.

I reckon we might see the CET hit 7C in the next few days.

 

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Still on 6.8C

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

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Met Office Hadley  6.9c.   Anomaly  2.0c.   Provisional   to  15 TH..

Metcheck              6.16c  Anomaly  1.17c.  Monitored  every 30 mins 

N-W.                    7.18c. anomaly   2.08c.  Updated Every Hour..

My  Mean              6.9c                 From  NOAA  Monthly Summary

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Will the CET come in higher then November?

If so when was the last time that happend?

December 2012   CET  7.6c.

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 Thanks, must of erased last December from my mind with a CET that high.

The figure was from Met Office...

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A Rise Today

Met office Hadley    7.1c.   Anomaly    2.2c.   Provisional to  16th

Metcheck               6.18c.   Anomaly   1.8c.    Bar graph 16th 10.1c.

N-W                      7.15c    Anomaly    2.05c.

My   Mean              7.1c..

 

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A Rise Today

Met office Hadley    7.1c.   Anomaly    2.2c.   Provisional to  16th

Metcheck               6.18c.   Anomaly   1.8c.    Bar graph 16th 10.1c.

N-W                      7.15c    Anomaly    2.05c.

My   Mean              7.1c..

 

so we're over 7C now.

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December 2012 CET was 4.8. Last time December was milder than preceding November was 1993;

http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/cetml1659on.dat

Looks like this December 2013 will be the mildest since 1988 to me and yes, it could be milder than November as well.

 

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December 2012 CET was 4.8. Last time December was milder than preceding November was 1993;

http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/cetml1659on.dat

Looks like this December 2013 will be the mildest since 1988 to me and yes, it could be milder than November as well.

 

It's interesting that we have now broken 7C. I wonder if we can hold that.

 

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Down again Today...

 

Met Office Hadley  6.9c.    Anomaly  2.0c.   Provisional to  `17th.

Metcheck             6.13c.   Anomaly 1.14c.

N-W                    7.09c.   Anomaly  1.98c.

My Mean             6.9c.

 

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