As I write, we have now just entered in a brand new month which in this instance, is also the final month of the meteorological summer. As a result, it is now time for a brand new thread although the previous month's thread can still be used in the meantime to report any final totals for July.
Some parts of the UK have recently been getting some very welcome and much needed rainfall, but that is not the case everywhere in the UK and that is certainly not the case here in Edinburgh.
Looking back, we have been consistently seeing below average rainfall going all the way back to last summer. Edinburgh Gogarbank did get a wetter than average month in June but that wasn't replicated in July which has once again returned to being yet another below average rainfall month.
Even here in Edinburgh, not everywhere even had a wetter than average June. I normally leave Swanston in the south of Edinburgh for Jerry to deal with as that is in his neck of the woods but a quick glance of the data from there shows that Swanston had only 90.3% of its LTA (I'm not sure what average they go by there, so perhaps Jerry could enlighten me on that one) June rainfall in June and just 79.5% of its LTA July rainfall in July.
At the end of the day, I am sick and tired now of virtually always having to report below average rainfall on here and whilst others (such as Jerry) might seek yet more dry, warm and sunny weather (it is still summer after all), I would really like to be seeing a change from this consistent drier than average pattern which does no good at all for our farmers and growers, and I am aware that an ongoing lack of rainfall continues to be a real issue in many parts of the UK especially in those areas which are currently under a hosepipe ban as a result.
As a result, it is important that this thread continues to be available for reporting any issues regarding drought or an ongoing lack of rainfall and this is where any such reports such be made from now on. In addition to that, I will also continue to post the outcomes of any water scarcity reports on here which are released by SEPA throughout this month.
Looking ahead, the next few days are still looking very dry here on the latest model output. We might then see a little bit of rain from a weather front in the early hours of Sunday morning and then perhaps some more substantial rain from a major weather system on Monday but apart from that, there's not really all that much in the way of rainfall in the latest model output and it may even be that high pressure builds back in after Monday, thus reducing our chances of rain even further.
There is also some speculation going around that we might be heading into a La Nina ENSO state as we approach next winter. In past recent years, our wettest weather has tended to come under El Nino conditions with our droughts and water scarcity scenarios tending to come under La Nina conditions. If that pattern continues, this might not bode very well for those farmers and growers who are looking for a change to a much wetter pattern if La Nina does end up setting in but as far as this month is concerned, this is the very place to post those all important totals for your area regardless of how this month pans out in terms of rainfall, or a lack of it.
Originally Posted by: johncs2016