This is a challenging month to anticipate, on account of temperatures this weekend into next week being highly sensitive to exactly how high pressure shapes up and positions itself. While chilly or cold nights look likely regardless, daily maximums in the CET zone could be anywhere from the high teens to the high single digits.
Then, further out in time, we have the hints that
maybe lagged effects of a dynamic final warming of the polar vortex, which took place mid-March, could facilitate a -NAO episode and a run of relatively low temperatures. However, products such as the extended ECMWF suggest blocking highs could be centred anywhere from western Greenland to Scandinavia and as we're seeing these next few days, the latter can support warm days if the high positions and shapes up in the right way.
With all that in mind, good luck everyone!
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[email protected] https://twitter.com/peacockreports 2023's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.2°C 9th Sep (...!) | T-Min: -7.1°C 22nd & 23rd Jan | Wettest Day: 25.9mm 2nd Nov | Ice Days: 1 (2nd Dec -1.3°C in freezing fog)
Keep Calm and Forecast On